Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - January 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENGUIN         (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
THORN OF ROSE HILL         (espinosa victor)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 6% 16.50    
MR. SNAP         (scott l)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
MASTER YOO         (downie lofflin)CECIL Y 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SONDE ST BLUES         (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 1.00 61% 0.60    
LIL MR MATT         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 4.50    
KITE SURFER         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
 
CT-2   01/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODSONG'S CASTLE         (pearson mic)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 15.00    
SWISS HORIZON         (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 117 12.00    
YOLO CHARLOTTE Jan01         (lyster st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.80 44% 1.30    
TUESDAY TOO Jan12         (kopecki sar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 33% 2.10    
S S ENERGY         (cain cryst)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
LIL BUNNY         (collins tim)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
IN THE NEWS Jan12         (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 30.00    
 
CT-3   01/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE OF MUSIC         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 71% 0.40    
LOOKIN BACK Jan12         (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
CHRISTINE'S COSMO Jan14         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 122 1.20    
MISSING MY POINT         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00    
WHO'S YOUR DADDY Jan12         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00    
DAMISELA Jan12         (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
GRANDMA SCHNUR Jan12         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SWEETS         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
MISS BEE HIVING         (shanley mark)MARRERO R 124 10.00    
RHYTHM AND POWER         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
GOLDEN GLOW         (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
OHH BEEHAVE         (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
COOKIE DUNK DUNK         (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 20.00    
SHE'S A BIRDIE         (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 124 15.00    
SWEET ASHLEY Jan14         (austin steve)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 30.00    
PLANETARY         (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
CT-5   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CHANGE Jan12         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.40 56% 0.80    
ISHIHARA         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
EVENT PARTY Jan17         (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
AMICUS BRIEF         (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 30.00    
ZORB         (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
SAVATIANO Jan12         (malgarini)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  SILVER TAURUS         (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 120 50.00    
 
CT-6   01/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE HEIRESS         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 117 10.00    
BEARCAT KITTEN Jan12         (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 120 50.00    
SILVER CASTLE Jan12         (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
SINGANOTHERSONG Jan12         (johnson fred)DIAZ JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SOMERSET BAY Jan12         (joy j)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
WARM SUNNY BREEZE Jan15         (jones m)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 12.00    
BE BE BOP         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 0.80    
ALL ABOUT READY         (cain crysta)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00 18% 4.70    
 
CT-7   01/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S NOT CURLY         (jones m)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 20.00 5% 17.50    
TAPPING THE GLASS Jan12         (capuano a)ACOSTA D 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
CHARGING LION Jan13         (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
UNEQUIVOCAL         (aguirre a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
I AM THAT I AM         (williams ab)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 12.00    
SCR  FIND YOUR BOAZ         (demario ch)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
IRISH MEADOW         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 22% 3.40    
MARTIN MAN Jan14         (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPERA NITE         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  RIDING CLOUD NINE         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
ELLIE'S LIL MAN         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
CAYENNE CREEK         (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
SCR  RIP THORN         (collins)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 15.00    
SCR  POTENTIAL GRIZZLY         (meehan elizabe)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
OUT OF CENTS         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
AWSOME FAITH         (allen jeff)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
CHARITABLE SPENNY         (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
10  AARON'S TAP         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
11  BUFF'S EYE VIEW         (walters david)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00    
SCR  JEFFERY SCOTT Jan13         (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   01/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEHEATOFTHENIGHT         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 20.00    
DEO FORTE         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
TRUTH SERUM         (johnson fred)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
CHURCH OF MANY         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
QUAD EIGHTS         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 6% 17.10    
TRUE CROSSING Jan12         (knoblauch-perez)LIMA FELINO 117 15.00    
YOUREOUTOFCONTROL         (sandova)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 15.00    
DISTANT THUNDER         (bass w)WHITACRE B 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
ONE MORE FACTOR Jan20         (maldonado )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
10  SWING YOUR SWORD         (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.