Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - January 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKEMEISTER Jan12         (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
SCR  ARANJUEZ Jan06         (gutierre)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50 51% 0.90    
SCR  CREATIVE MAGIC Jan06         (parker joseph)BAEZ JOSE 120 30.00    
ANY MINUTE Jan06         (rodriguez rudy )MENA E 120 2.00    
R BOY CHEEKUM Jan06         (thompson mar)HOWELL TALBERT 120 12.00    
BONEYARDHOLLER         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
ANALYSIS Jan06         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
 
AQU-2   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINTRACK         (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
ALWAYS CHARMING Jan09         (johnson clev)SAMUEL L 120 10.00    
RUNNINSONOFAGUN         (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 28% 2.50    
BUSTIN PIETRE         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
SILIPO         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
HOBOKEN JACK         (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 
AQU-3   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAIT A MINUTE Jan13         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
BIG AL'S GAL         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
GRINGOTTS Jan13         (goberdhan ch)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
SARATOGA BEAUTY         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.40 27% 2.60    
PEACHES AND SPICE         (quiles j)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 30.00    
JEN'S BATTLE Jan16 Jan01       (barrera )DAVIS A 123 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
AQU-4   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZING DREAM         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
NO MORE MISCHIEF         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
LUZ Jan06         (arriaga anto)MORRISON AILSA 110 12.00    
QUEEN CASHMERE Jan01         (allard t)MENA E 120 8.00    
SARATOGA KISSES Jan06         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.40 23% 3.30    
ALICIA'S WAY         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 15% 5.50    
ROYALLY BLUE         (klesaris steve)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-5   01/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan16         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
GOOD SKATE         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
GUN MAESTRO         (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
KOBE'S LEGACY         (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00    
IRIE SPICE Jan16         (persaud randi)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 30.00    
SENSIBLECONCLUSION         (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD TIP         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   01/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH BAHE Jan09         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME IT ON BRUTUS         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
BELLAMY DOLCE         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 120 30.00    
BREAKING STONES         (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 14.30    
MR. FIDGET         (henry ne)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
ACTUARY (GB)         (arriaga anto)HARKIE K 120 5.00    
SCR  ESOR         (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
JERUSALEM GATES         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
INDOCTRINATE         (davis edmun)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
10  MUCHO SUNSHINE         (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
 
AQU-7   01/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KODIAK BROWN         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
STRAIGHT SKINNY         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 120 5.00    
MAKE IT IN NY         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
SON OF AN EX Jan06         (persaud rand)HARKIE K 123 5.00    
RUN FOR BOSTON         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
THERISASTORMBREWIN         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 29% 2.40    
 
AQU-8   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P J ADVANTAGE         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
DARK MONEY Jan01         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 15% 5.70    
GOLANI BRIGADE         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 9% 10.20    
DREAM BIGGER Jan01         (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
MISSALPHA Jan01         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 28% 2.50    
SICILIA MIKE         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
MANIFEST DESTINY         (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
STEAM ENGINE         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
WRITER'S REGRET         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 15.00    
10  GANDY DANCING         (pregman joh)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 30.00    
11  BINKSTER Jan01         (richards mar)MORRISON AILSA 110 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.