Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MAMA         (schosberg richa)MENA E 122 4.00 ★    
2  MADAME ROSE Jan02         (jon)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 ★    
3  FROSTED BOURBON Jan02         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  ARDUOUSLY         (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 122 8.00 ★    
5  U SHOULD B DANCING         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  BANK STATEMENT         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   01/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MENACE         (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 ★    
2  HIEROGLYPHICS Jan14         (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 14% 6.40    
3  STRIKING SPEED Jan14 Jan08       (jones eduar)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 20.00 ★    
4  ZOOMER         (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 46% 1.20    
5  SOMEDAY JONES         (vazquez c)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY FELINE         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 ★    
2  TO A T         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
3  CLOUT CHASER Jan05         (st lewis)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 12.00 ★    
4  CADEAU DE PAIX Jan01         (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 11% 8.10    
5  R WORKING GIRL         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  FLOWER MOON Jan09 Jan02       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00    
 
AQU-4   01/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT KAT         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.60 ★    
2  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Jan16         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  GLASS CEILING         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.20 ★    
4  VILLANELLE         (trombetta mic)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
5  LETMETAKETHISCALL Jan02         (ferraro jam)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 113 15.00 8% 11.00    
6  OXANA         (hills timot)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-5   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOKUTAI         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
2  BISTRITA         (englehart)VARGAS A 120 2.50 72% 0.40    
3  GRACIE O'MALLEY         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
4  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR)         (bond har)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 3.50 ★    
5  LINARITE         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
6  CLOSING DEALS         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
7  MAJESTIC SPIRIT Jan01         (schosberg richa)MENA E 120 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   01/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUAL MEASURE         (avila c)SAMUEL L 123 12.00 ★    
2  BLUE PAYNT         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00 ★    
3  BEE BIT         (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  CHARGE ACCOUNT         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  ANNIKA GOLD Jan13         (simmonds mic)MORRISON AILSA 110 10.00    
6  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 14% 6.30    
SCR  MAKINGCENTS         (englehart)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   01/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT BROWN Jan01         (donk dav)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 20.00    
2  ENTER SANDWOMAN Jan01         (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SNICKET Jan01         (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  CAPTIVATING CARA         (friedman mitche)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 ★    
5  THAT IS KEY Jan13         (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
6  CAZILDA FORTYTALES Jan01         (vazquez c)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  MIA BEA STAR         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00    
8  BELLA PRINCIPESSA         (klesaris robe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
 
AQU-8   01/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC CIRCLE         (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 28% 2.50    
2  WATERS OF MEROM Jan06         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
3  MORNING MATCHA         (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  GAMESTONKS Jan05         (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 ★    
5  REIGNING CHICK         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 15.00    
6  ROSEBUG         (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-9   01/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELLAPERFECTTALE         (potts wayne)HARKIE K 123 12.00    
2  WRITE THIS DOWN         (englehart)VARGAS A 123 5.00 ★    
3  RED PEPPER GRILL         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS         (simmonds mich)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 10.00    
5  VIOLENTIAM         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  HALF DAY PAM         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  HANDLE THE TRUTH         (metivier ri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
8  SEAHORSE D'ORO         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
9  MAZAL EIGHTEEN         (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.