Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK ON ANNA         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
2  DARN THAT SONG Jan08         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
3  HUDSON CANYON         (abreu r)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
4  KISSES FOR EMILY         (linder jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
5  CINDY'S CHOICE         (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 ★    
6  LAOCHI Jan16         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  KEEN DANCER Jan14         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 50.00    
8  EASY PLAY Jan08         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 10.00    
 
AQU-2   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS MO         (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 12.00    
2  AIR SHOW         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  MY FIRST GRAMMY         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00 ★    
4  FINGAL Jan13         (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  BOURBON BAY         (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
6  BINGO JOHN         (pregman jr)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
7  OPT         (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
AQU-3   01/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUDY ROD         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  MO MISCHIEF Jan02         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 ★    
3  COLORMEPAZZI Jan08         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
4  HANDY Jan05         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  ROYAL REALM Jan16         (kantarmac)VARGAS A 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  FAIR HAIRED BOY         (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
7  CHARGER Jan04         (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
8  F F ROCKET         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL PRIDE         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
2  HOT ROD RUMBLE         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  MISTER LARRY         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
4  SARATOGA SKY         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
5  JUGGLER         (vazquez c)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  MOPED DENNIS         (englehart)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★    
7  CLASH A. J. Jan09 Jan01       (jones eduar)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 ★    
8  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
 
AQU-5   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE THERAPY         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 123 1.40 35% 1.80    
1A  CARLY HUSTLE         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 1.40    
2  BETTY'S SMILE Jan02         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
3  APPRECIATE         (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
4  MISSION TRAIL Jan02         (mc alle)NAVARRO J 123 10.00    
5  QUEENTIGUA Jan02         (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 13% 7.00    
6  PAZZION         (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00 11% 8.20    
7  COOKIE COVE         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 6.00    
8  DAZZLING SPEED Jan09         (simmonds mich)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00    
9  GOING GOING GONE         (ashton patrick)CORREA JULIO 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
10  TOOTSIE'S SONG Jan02         (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
11  STORMI CAT LADY         (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 123 12.00    
 
AQU-6   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH SEA         (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
2  SUMMER BOURBON Jan01         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  GRAN CASIQUE         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
4  COOL QUARTET         (hennig mark)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
5  COPA         (lax)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
6  SPEEDING KID Jan01         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
7  MOONACHIE         (vazquez )DAVIS A 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
8  RAGTIME BLUES         (cruz )HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
9  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI)         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
10  NEXT FLIGHT Jan01         (barker ed)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
11  LOHENGRIN TWO Jan01         (barrow pa)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   01/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY WHY PAUL WHY         (pearce penny)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  FIRST CONSTITUTION (CHI)         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  SPLICETHEMAINBRACE         (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00 ★    
SCR  EMPTY TOMB         (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00    
5  CORE CONVICTION         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  TWELVE VOLT MAN         (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 10.00 ★    
7  FOREWARNED         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50    
 
AQU-8   01/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY'S GARDEN         (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
2  STERLING SILVER         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 6% 16.00    
3  THINKING IT OVER         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
4  THIN LEGS         (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00    
5  FLIP MY ID         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
6  LEELOO         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  MOAM         (depaz horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
8  MERAVIGLIOSO         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHESAWILDJOKER         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 6.00    
SCR  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER         (cash russell)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPOLEON COMPLEX         (metivier richar)MENA E 122 30.00    
2  REUNION TOUR         (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 122 12.00    
3  SHINJUKU         (depaz ho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  ADDICTED TO YOU         (sciacca )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 15.00    
5  SIR WILLIAM Jan09         (ferraro jam)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
6  BELL BOY Jan02         (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
7  WAR NOVEL         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 7% 12.80    
8  OLIVER'S FORTUNE         (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★    
9  BOHEMIAN RUBY Jan02         (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
10  FORESTWOOD LANE Jan02         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.