Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SURPRISE         (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
2  ET'S PREMONITION         (miranda luis)MORRISON AILSA 110 20.00 ★    
3  SEALITHIC         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
4  RVALENTINA         (keithan rachael)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00 6% 16.50    
5  AFILADA         (falcone robert)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 19% 4.20    
6  SOLID TUNE         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 54% 0.90    
 
AQU-2   01/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH GIANT Jan09         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BLAKE B.         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
2  CONFORMIST         (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 ★    
3  CONFECTIONER Jan08         (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 20.00    
4  PRINCE JAMES         (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 1.80 ★    
5  GREAT WORKOUT         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
6  DEMO DOCTOR         (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-3   01/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TONY'S GIRL Jan02         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 11% 8.40    
2  THE GLENMORE         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 14% 6.10    
3  GAME THEORY         (grusmark karl)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
4  LOT OF HONEY         (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
5  HORSESHOE FALLS         (mc allen)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
6  HEY IT'S TATI         (gargan danny)MORRISON AILSA 110 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  SUDDEN IMPULSE         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTION TO STRIKE         (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
2  MY COUSIN RICH         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 12% 7.50    
3  MISTER J T         (donk david)MORRISON AILSA 112 6.00    
4  ROMANTIC MAN         (martin f)MENA E 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  I AM THE CASH MAN         (progno christophe)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 18.60    
6  WE READY         (parker joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  KENTUCKY KNIGHT         (potts wayne)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
8  TOUGH WORKOUT         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   01/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B B'S BUSTED         (brennan regin)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 14% 6.40    
2  CHOOSE HAPPINESS         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 6.00    
3  FROST ME         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 ★    
4  DANCING KIKI         (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  HONEY MONEY         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  EPONA'S DREAM         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   01/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDATORY PAYOUT         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
2  SUPER JOHN         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY         (grusmark)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
4  IT'S MANDATORY         (englehart)VARGAS A 123 4.50 7% 12.60    
5  ROMAN EMPIRE         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  ORB IN THE TOWER         (pletcher)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 10.00    
SCR  FINGAL Jan13         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 7% 12.50    
8  FAMISHED         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-7   01/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PLUME         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  FIRING CAROL         (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
3  MORE MOONSHINE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  KEPT WAITING         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  MY ROXY GIRL Jan08         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  PRIMACY (ARG)         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 ★    
7  TIMED OUT         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
8  BRAVO REGINA         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
9  MADERA         (miranda luis)MORRISON AILSA 113 20.00    
 
AQU-8   01/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMMEDAMONEY         (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  WALK THE BANK         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
3  WILD CARP DIEM Jan01         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  DANCING WITH RICO         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
5  BOSSHIP         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
6  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
7  CROSTATA B C         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 7% 13.90    
8  BOINTHEBACK         (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
9  RIA'S ANGEL         (martin f)MENA E 120 15.00 7% 13.90    
10  WINETASTIC         (abreu jo)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.