Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER         (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50    
2  J T'S LA NENA Jan03         (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
3  OUTSIDE THE LAW         (campo stacy)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  M FAST         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
5  RAIDERETTE         (moore john )SCRIVER L 122 20.00 7% 13.20    
6  IN THE RED         (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
7  RIVER JUMPER         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★    
8  LAST PUNCH         (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  IN THE WIND         (toye joe)MAWING A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-3   01/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($35.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARNQUICK         (rogers d)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 ★    
2  ANNIE'S BOY         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jan10         (evans just)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 ★    
4  MINISTER OF SOUL Jan01         (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  TIZHOTNDUSTY         (kruljac e)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
6  HEY PILGRIM         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAMP SOUFFLE Jan11         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 8% 11.40    
2  TOIL AND TROUBLE         (tate mary)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
3  DON'TTEASETHETIGER         (ferguson cu)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
4  TOP OF THE GAME         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 52% 0.90    
5  HOUSE LIMIT         (dennison h)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  DARK HEDGES         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
7  CAPTAIN RED         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
8  MISSED THE BOAT         (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TUP-5   01/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE ON THE FLY         (baze robert)SCRIVER L 124 20.00    
2  LADY JADE Jan04         (leon priscilla)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
3  GOLDEN GODDESS         (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
4  EARLYNTHEMORN         (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
5  PANCAKES AND BEER Jan03         (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
6  LEMON DROP TINI         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  HEART RIVER         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 4.00 9% 9.80    
8  AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH Jan04         (ecoffey gilb)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
9  STREET SONATA         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★    
10  CANTERBURY GOLD Jan05         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
SCR  REDHAWK Jan07         (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI BRAVA Jan08         (si)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
2  SEENEVA THE CAT         (mcdaniel l)CARTER KYLE 121 20.00    
3  SOARIN DIVA         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 12.00    
4  WORKIN NINETOFIVE         (sepich edwa)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWEET LADY LANA         (eikleberry)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
6  MIST OONA B         (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 20.00    
7  CRITICAL CONDITION         (ross courtney)MAWING A 121 10.00    
8  MYRICKLESDOHAPPEN Jan07         (kubinova el)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 20.00    
9  ZIP BAYOU         (gleason m)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
10  SHACK'S CHICA LOCA Jan07         (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
11  MISCHIEVOUS KITTY         (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.00 5% 18.00    
 
TUP-7   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPPER Jan05         (evans justin)VERGARA P 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  NORTH FORK Jan05         (kereluk edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
3  MONTANA JACK         (macdonald j)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
4  WED O'S CHAMP         (soto antoni)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
5  LOOKIN FOR GOLD         (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00    
6  SHAKELAS DESTINY         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
7  LT. BULLITT         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
8  LAZARUS COME FORTH         (dillenbeck)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
9  THEY'RE GRRREAT         (lucarelli fr)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
10  AUTISM SAVANT Jan05         (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 5.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  ADD ON Jan10         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  ACHILLEUS Jan10         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   01/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUDACE Jan04         (homer jaso)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
2  I'M LEAVING YOU         (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  STITZY         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  MAD AT MONEY         (gangidino l)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
5  VICENTE'S SHADOW         (stevens satchell)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FINAL ROSE         (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 8.00    
7  DILLON ROCKS         (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 8% 12.30    
8  CHEST CANDY         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
9  OPTIMISTIC VALOR         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
10  OSTINI         (weaver gordon)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
SCR  SLY Jan17         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.