Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIE SPICE         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
2  R DOC         (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 120 6.00 ★    
3  SMART STORM         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
4  FAZARO         (breen j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
5  WRITEITONTHEICE         (rodriguez rudy )MENA E 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  KING OF HOLLYWOOD         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
7  NECROMANCER         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-2   01/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY MONET Jan01         (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 6.00 ★    
2  STENCIL         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  SUMMARY JUDGMENT         (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
4  BOSS CARA Jan01         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
5  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE         (summers )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 3.50 ★    
6  LINNY KATE         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 8.00 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-3   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S BATTLE Jan01         (barrera )DAVIS A 123 15.00    
2  SWEET MIA         (baker charlt)MORRISON AILSA 110 8.00    
3  QUALITY STONES Jan02         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 ★    
4  AWESOME INDRA         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50 12% 7.50    
5  GREATEST LOVE         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  GUNS BLAZING Jan06         (barrera osca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 6.00 12% 7.30    
7  BABA         (vazquez juan )FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE CREATOR         (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
2  LAOCHI         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 0.80 44% 1.30    
3  GALAXINA         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 ★    
4  COSTANTI         (bond har)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 15.00    
5  TEMPERMENTAL         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  OVER THE SAND         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 ★    
7  MISS MALALA         (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYER BOOK         (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 10.00    
2  CHASE THE CAT         (sciacca )DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROYAL REALM         (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.20 26% 2.80    
4  ROCCO STRONG         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
5  MISTER WINSTON         (arriaga antonio)MENA E 120 15.00 19% 4.30    
6  PURPLE HEARTED         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
7  GOOD CULTURE         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
8  BIG CASTLE         (depaz horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
 
AQU-6   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPETITIVE SAINT         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 ★    
2  RUNNINGWSCISSORS         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
3  WUDDA U THINK NOW         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.00 53% 0.90    
4  MR PHIL         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 ★    
5  SECRET RULES         (mott william)MORRISON AILSA 108 3.00 17% 4.70    
6  BIG ENGINE         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGIT (IRE)         (lynch natali)SAMUEL L 120 3.50 ★    
2  MAGNETRON Jan02         (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
3  FLOWERS FOR LISA Jan01         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  TRAPPEZE ARTIST Jan01         (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 30.00    
5  BLOOD MOON         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
6  MARBLE MOON         (englehar)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 12.00    
7  INVEST         (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 9% 10.80    
8  PLAYWRIGHT         (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
9  THREETHEHARDWAY         (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-8   01/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXOTIC WEST         (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 18% 4.70    
2  KISS THE GIRL         (trombetta mic)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  VIENNA CODE         (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
4  BATTLE BLING         (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 ★    
5  MISS LESLIE         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 ★    
6  ITS COLD IN DEHERE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-9   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIE THE GREAT         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  KONG LOVES A FIGHT         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SILVERMILL         (nev)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  SOUTHERN CIVILITY         (reynolds patri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
5  MIRACLE NICKY         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
6  SELL SOMETHING         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EMPIRE STATION         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 15.00    
8  CAGNEY (BRZ)         (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
9  RESILIENT COURAGE         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
10  BENCH WALK         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.