Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONDON GOLD         (persaud )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 15.00    
2  S OH S         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★    
3  BAD BRETH         (barrow paul)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  LORDHEARMYPRAYER         (barrera osca)MORRISON AILSA 110 10.00    
5  DARIO'S ANGEL         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  FROSTED WILD RIDE         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 8.00 ★    
7  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE         (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-2   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT TRAVERS         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
2  ALCOOLS         (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 34% 1.90    
SCR  COMPETITIVE SAINT         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★    
4  BANYAN BREEZE         (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 10.00 ★    
5  JUST RIGHT         (arriaga anto)HARKIE K 123 8.00 7% 12.40    
6  SOMEBODY         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
7  EASY SHOT         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHULUQ         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 53% 0.90    
2  MISS INVINCIBLE         (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 120 30.00 ★    
3  MASABEEH         (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 24% 3.30    
4  TAROT CARD         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 12.00    
5  INTO HAPPINESS         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
6  EARLY GLOW         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
7  OH MRS. MAISEL         (depaz horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PADDY'S PRINCESS         (klesaris ro)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
2  STARSHIP GODDESS         (barrow pa)CAMACHO JR 123 8.00 6% 15.00    
3  CARTWHEEL         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
4  SHADOLAMO         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00    
5  COVER PHOTO         (miranda luis)MORRISON AILSA 110 12.00    
6  STARSHIP REINA         (mc allen)DAVIS A 120 15.00 6% 14.70    
7  GENTLE ANNIE         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  PEACHES AND SPICE         (quiles j)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 30.00    
9  AMOS         (martin f)MENA E 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM SHOOTER         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 60% 0.70    
1A  DEEP COVER         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.00    
SCR  TACO BEAN         (kelly j)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
3  TAPIZEARANCE         (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00 ★    
4  FORTY COMETS         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  LOOKIN FOR TROUBLE         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
6  OUR MAN MIKE         (depaz horac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 ★    
7  PAPA SMOOTH         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 8.00 ★    
8  REGGAE MUSIC MAN         (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
 
AQU-6   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDROS         (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  STREET CULTURE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
3  BREW PUB         (arenas marcelo)MENA E 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  B C GLORY DAYS         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  THE COBBLER         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
6  SCHERZANDO         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 10% 9.00    
7  FEATHERS ROAD Jan06         (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  MY MAN MATTY         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIEROGLYPHICS         (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
1A  MO GOTCHA         (chatterpaul )SAMUEL L 123 15.00    
2  MUSICAL AMERICA         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  LOST IN ROME         (parker joseph)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
4  MEXICAN WONDER BOY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
6  HAMMERIN AAMER         (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
7  STRIKING SPEED Jan08         (jones e)MENA E 120 20.00    
8  TWO THIRTY FIVE         (englehart)VARGAS A 123 6.00 ★    
9  MONEY RIDE         (gonzalez cl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
 
AQU-8   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN LILIES         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
2  BAD GUY         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
2B  YANKEE DIVISION         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE         (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
4  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
5  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 12.00    
SCR  BLEWITT         (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
7  NO SALT         (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 17.40    
8  WATER'S EDGE         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDLESS CRUSADE         (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 5.00    
2  STRONG ALPHA         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
3  ROCK LOBSTER         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 10.00 ★    
4  HALF BIRTHDAY         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
5  MIDMON         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 15.00    
6  PALS ALLY         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
7  KEEN DANCER         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
8  EUDAIMONIA Jan01         (schosberg richa)MENA E 120 15.00 27% 2.70    
9  BOOM ROASTED         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
10  SWEETIE PIE         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
11  THE HONORABLE RUTH         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
12  TAP THE HEART         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
14  LOST ANCHOR         (klesaris ro)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.