Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - January 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPSTER         (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
WICKED HAPPY         (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00    
GAILHORSEWIND         (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 112 6.00 13% 6.80    
SUPERBLOODWOLFMOON         (metivier ri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
SCR  THATSJUSTLOVELY         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MY DELICIOUS         (summers )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
FLOWER MOON Jan02         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-2   01/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK IRISH         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
LITTERBOX         (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
BROCKMONINOFF         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
MAJESTIC TIGER         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
I'M BLAMING YOU         (falcone rob)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 4.00    
MR FANTASY         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 10.00    
SCORPION DYNASTY         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00 7% 12.70    
 
AQU-3   01/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATA DEAL         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
TAMBURRO'S SOX         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 5.00    
BOOM BOOM KABOOM         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SIR WILLIAM         (ferraro jam)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
REMEMBERMOM         (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
HARDLY WORKING         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
SONIC SPEED         (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
GHOSTMON         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
 
AQU-4   01/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDILYN         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  EFFIEMEISTER         (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
MISS PEPPINA         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 43% 1.30    
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Jan02         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 123 10.00    
SCR  QUANTITATIVBREEZIN         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
MEBS WEB         (avila a )GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 12.00    
DAZZLING SPEED         (simmonds mic)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
AWESOMENEWYEAR         (richards marv)FUENTES ERICK 113 20.00    
 
AQU-5   01/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGOTTEN MISSION         (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50    
VICTORY BUILT         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
COACH BAHE         (barrera s)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
MATTY'S MARAUDER         (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
OUCH OUCH OUCH         (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
GOTANDA         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00    
SCR  FLIPPING FUN         (davis edmun)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
RICKYS REVENGE         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
AQU-6   01/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERCHANTS OF COOL         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
STEELERSFANFORLIFE         (gyarmat)NAVARRO J 120 12.00    
DEPUTY FLAG         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.00 10% 9.40    
EXXTOP         (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
IRISH GIANT         (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  EUCHARIST (IRE)         (giangiulio )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 6.00    
PAPA TOM B         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 123 10.00    
OUR AMERICAN STAR         (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
QUINTARELLI         (henry ne)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
 
AQU-7   01/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BURN         (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
KING KUMBALAY         (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 13% 6.50    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
DUST DEVIL         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
WAXMAN         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
WINTER POOL         (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
TOP GUN TOMMY         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 16% 5.30    
AUBURN HILLS         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
 
AQU-8   01/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS CHARMING         (johnson clevela)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
G MUNNING         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
CUT THE CORD         (englehart)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
UNIQUE UNIONS         (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
BARESE         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
BALI'S SHADE         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND         (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 7% 13.10    
AGILITY         (abreu r)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY         (atras rob)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
 
AQU-9   01/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMINENCY         (rodriguez rudy )MENA E 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
BERT BERT BERT         (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
HE'S GOT IT         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
CAVE MAN         (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00    
STATE PLANNING         (vazquez c)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
RAW COURAGE         (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
BEACH BOY AL         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
DEVIOUS BANKER         (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00 8% 11.10    
CLASH A. J. Jan01         (jones eduar)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
10  HOT STEPPER         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.