Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.12 $3.12  
ELP-2   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.76 $6.76  
ELP-3   Win (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.78 $3.78  
ELP-4   Win (6/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.38 $6.38  
ELP-5   Win (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $14.76  
ELP-6   Win (8/10/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $9.18 $9.18  
ELP-7   Win (9/3/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $8.12  
ELP-8   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.08 $3.08  
ELP-9   Win (2/11/3/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $3.96 $3.96  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:123 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE GIVEN 1 2 33 33 32 31 1¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.80 42% 1.40 0.56 W
7  LADY ROBO 6 4 21½ 21½ 2½ 2nk 2¾ (holden darra)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50 8.01  
4  KISS ME KATIE 4 3 11½ 11½ 1½ 1nk 31½ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 124 6.00 6.99  
3  ZIVA 3 6 77¾ 78 74¼ 53 41½ (hughes byro)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 7% 13.10 20.89  
8  CASINO ANNIE 7 5 65¼ 66 63¼ 63¼ 51¾ (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
6  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 5 8 55 54½ 53 41½ 62¼ (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 3.00 26% 2.80 4.20  
2  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN 2 1 43 43 42 73¼ 74¾ (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 17.97  
9  TAPWRIT WARRIOR 8 7 89¼ 811 89¼ 89¼ 822½ (vasquez ge)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 66.99  
SCR  VIVIS IN FRONT               (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL FLAME 1 2 11½ 1½   12½ 11½ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.80 38% 1.60 2.38 W
6  GOOD DIRECTIONS 6 6 63¾ 42   22½ 21½ (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 31% 2.30 3.83 P
5  PURSE THIEF 5 7 42 53   52¾ 33 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 3.17  
2  CATAMOUNT 2 3 21½ 3½   42¾ 45 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 10% 8.90 2.71  
7  LA MARINERA 7 1 74¾ 74¼   64¼ 55 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.79  
3  SWEET MO B 3 4 32 2½   32½ 67¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 7.51  
4  MONEYLINE 4 5 52¼ 63¼   74¾ 710 (caramori caio)TORRES A 120 10.00 23.90  
SCR  DREAMAWAY               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.80    
 
ELP-3   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PONDERING 4 4 3.2 3.2   11½ 12¼ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 25% 3.00 0.89 W
1  SHIRLEY ANN 1 3 41¾ 41¾   21½ 22¼ (ortiz john )TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.62 P
2  ELECTRIFYING LADY 2 1 2nk 1nk   31½ 34½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 15.09  
5  BIG AIR 5 6 52¾ 53¼   44½ 410¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.22  
9  FUGITIVE STAR 7 7 74¼ 75¼   76¼ 511¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 4.10  
8  LUCY MCGEE 6 5 62¾ 63¼   65¾ 614¼ (lovell michell)TORRES A 119 10.00 21% 3.70 8.19  
3  PAX AMERICANA 3 2 1nk 2nk   54¾ 717 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 4.65  
SCR  GIVE HER ANOTHER               (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  POPPY THE PRINCESS               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
 
ELP-4   07/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:213 :45 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MO HAIR SAM 5 2 42 41¾   21 11¾ (hancock joh)TORRES A 119 2.50 40% 1.50 2.19 W
7  FIRMANTOWN 6 3 31½ 31½   11 21¾ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.00 26% 2.90 1.44 P
9  STASHU 8 4 1nk 2nk   43 34¼ (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 30.00 22.84  
1  MR. COLOSSAL 1 7 74¾ 73¾   54 45½ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 12.86  
8  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS 7 1 2nk 1nk   32 56¼ (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 116 30.00 5% 19.00 9.77  
2  HANK HILL 2 6 86¾ 88¼   78 612¼ (brennan ter)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00 5% 19.00 9.83  
5  MENDELLO 4 5 63¼ 63¼   67½ 712¾ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 34.68  
4  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY 3 8 53 53¼   89 816¾ (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 109 6.00 5.13  
SCR  SAND CAST               (leonard i)ROMAN A 119 8.00    
SCR  STUNNING BRUNO               (torres conce)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  VERY BOLD               (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
 
ELP-5   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:121 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WITS AND WAGERS 6 8 76 63 31½ 1½ 13¾ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 6.38  
1  EYES OF GOLD 1 1 86½ 84¼ 74 32 23¾ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00 5% 19.00 10.62 P
4  PAM PAM 4 6 32½ 32 2½ 2½ 34¼ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 27% 2.60 3.88 S
8  EAST SHORE 8 7 64½ 73¼ 42 42 46¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 2.00 37% 1.70 4.52  
3  LADAN 3 5 53½ 53 64 52½ 58½ (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 8.04  
5  BIRDIE ROSE 5 3 21½ 21 1½ 63 612¾ (salas felipe)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 7% 13.90 8.41  
2  PLEASESTOPTALKING 2 2 43 42½ 86 76 720 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 2.46  
7  MISS PEABODY 7 4 11½ 11 53½ 87 829¼ (newton troy)TORRES A 123 8.00 9.01  
 
ELP-6   07/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:112 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MIKA 9 7 42½ 32 31 1½ 11 (maker michael )TORRES A 119 5.00 7% 14.40 3.59 W
7  SERGEANT CAPPS 6 4 65 42 41¼ 31 21 (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00 14.80  
9  SPIRIT RAGS 8 9 76½ 73¾ 62¾ 52½ 31½ (salas felipe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 22.76  
5  HARD AS LIFE 4 6 813 89¾ 85½ 63½ 42¾ (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 6% 15.60 11.14  
8  ART FAIR 7 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 52¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 57% 0.80 1.51  
4  ANYTIME ANYWHERE 3 2 32 52¼ 51¼ 42 63¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 18.20 14.39  
3  CASE ACE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 76½ 714½ (ennis john)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00 5% 19.00 23.21  
1  CUPID'S THUNDER 1 5 54 63¾ 75¼ 810 816½ (hancock jack)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 27.67  
6  SPRINT OUT PASS 5 8 927 921¾ 915½ 916 923¾ (medina robe)TORRES A 119 6.00 2.72  
SCR  COFFEE TALK               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  NO MO MOOLAH               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50    
 
ELP-7   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:102 1:231   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECKER POINT 3 4 42½ 41¼ 31 2½ 1½ (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00 ★ 3.06  
8  CAN'T HUSH THIS 7 3 21½ 2nk 2nk 1½ 2½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.29 P
3  UNDERHILL'S TAB 2 1 74½ 63¼ 63¾ 43½ 31 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 4.50 16% 5.40 4.84 S
6  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 5 2 11½ 1nk 1nk 31 43½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 6.66  
7  GILMORE 6 7 64½ 73¾ 75¾ 86½ 54½ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 6.89  
2  WINTERS LION 1 9 97 95¾ 97¼ 66 65¾ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 17.72  
11  INVULNERABLE 9 6 53½ 51¾ 43½ 55½ 75¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 27.31  
9  FORT WARREN 8 5 32 3.2 53¾ 76 86 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 54% 0.80 3.18  
5  ETHEREAL ROAD 4 8 86 85¾ 86¾ 98½ 98¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12.62  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
SCR  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS               (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Twin Bridges Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  YOUR SO SILLEA 3 2 1½ 11   12½ 15½ (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 51% 1.00 0.54 W
6  SWALL 5 3 2½ 21   22½ 25½ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 14% 6.10 3.33 P
5  AMERICAN BAND 4 1 52½ 43   34½ 36½ (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 126 12.00 12.60  
3  PISTOL 2 5 42 33   45 47¾ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 7.40  
7  SECRET STATEMENT 6 4 31 53¼   56½ 59½ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.59  
2  ALTERED SHOT 1 6 67½ 610¼   610 615½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20.03  
SCR  AMARETTI               (mott willia)TORRES A 122 3.00    
SCR  NON VIOLENCE               (calhoun willia)TORRES A 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/22/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:103 1:342   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DASHMAN 2 3 41 51¾ 31½ 11½ 11¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 22% 3.50 0.98 W
7  AK SAR BEN DERBY 7 8 62¼ 73¼ 52¾ 21½ 21¼ (ortiz alex)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 30.18  
10  CLOUDY HOLIDAY 10 10 105¼ 105¼ 106 32½ 31¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 5.00 12% 7.10 17.52 S
9  THE DOVER SPECTER 9 7 72¾ 62¼ 62¾ 43 41½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 21.70  
11  ENGLISH CHUNNEL 11 9 83¾ 84¼ 74¼ 74 55¼ (catalano wa)TORRES A 118 6.00 20% 4.00 3.98  
6  BOMB CYCLONE 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 53 65¾ (molloy thom)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.68  
1  FRENCH BREAD 1 1 31 41½ 41¾ 84½ 78¼ (bicknell whitne)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00 35.08  
3  REDEMPTION SPEIGHT 3 2 94¼ 94¼ 84½ 95½ 88¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 124 8.00 16% 5.40 14.46  
5  REMARKABLE MO 5 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 63½ 99 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 5.62  
8  AWOL 8 11 116¼ 115¾ 116 106 1011½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 13.51  
4  SON OF A MAN 4 6 51¼ 3½ 95½ 1123 1147½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 82.94  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.