Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
SAR-2   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-3   Win (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
SAR-4   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $31.60  
SAR-5   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
SAR-6   Win (1/8/10/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
SAR-7   Win (2/3/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
SAR-8   Win (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $39.20  
SAR-9   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
SAR-10   Win (3/1/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 3.00
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMCHI CAT 1 4 11 11   13 13½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 27% 2.70 4.00 W
2  ELEMIAH 2 5 21 21   33 23½ (giddings melani)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 3.95  
4  SILVER CIRCLE 4 1 32½ 32½   43½ 33½ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 18% 4.40 10.60 S
8  LA CARA 8 3 43½ 42½   23 46 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.15  
6  BOSSY PANTS 6 8 75 65   56½ 59¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 ★ 8.30  
5  SHE'S A GAMER 5 6 87 89   77½ 611 (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 17.30  
7  PRACTICAL LOV 7 2 65 78   89 711¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 21.20  
3  GOING STEADY 3 7 54 54   67 813¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 24.50  
 
SAR-2   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIVY 4 2 1½ 11½   15 1½ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 42% 1.40 0.75 W
1  RIDER'S SPECIAL 1 3 55½ 69   47½ 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 27% 2.70 1.85  
5  MAGNIFICENT MILE 5 7 67½ 58½   37 32¼ (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 11.20  
6  BOURBON'S HOPE 6 1 2½ 21½   25 46 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00 33.50  
2  INDEPENDENT PAUL 2 4 34 37   58½ 58¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 8.50  
1A  BLOWN COVER 7 6 45½ 47½   610½ 614 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 ★ 1.85  
3  SCREAMING UNCLE 3 5 79 713½   720½ 722¾ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER               (persaud ran)BOCACHICA J 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUSSI 1 6 64 53   3½ 1¼ (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 34% 2.00 1.75 W
6  TWISTED FILIGREE 6 2 1½ 1½   2nk 2¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 ★ 4.00 P
3  YOUR MAN ALEX 3 4 42½ 42   1nk 3¼ (giddings melanie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90 7.00 S
7  FINAL DENILE 7 8 75½ 84¾   72¼ 41¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80 2.65  
4  TWO'S A CROWD 4 7 85½ 74½   41½ 52¼ (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 17.80  
1  ALLIED ATTACK 2 3 32 32   61¾ 64½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
5  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 5 9 97½ 95¾   83¾ 75¼ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 53.00  
8  SARATOGA BANKER 8 1 2½ 2½   51¾ 89 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 10.00 9.40  
9  CASHEL KITTEN 9 5 53 63½   95¼ 911¾ (englehart je)RIVERA R 122 20.00 40.75  
SCR  BOSS TWEED               (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.80    
SCR  COLLECTED SPECIAL               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  LAUNCH CONTROL               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  LIMIT UP               (englehart s)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 6 2 41½ 33   23 1¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 14.80  
6  MIGHTY MADISON 7 1 2½ 2nk   13 2¼ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 19% 4.20 1.05 P
2  SIGNAL FROM NOISE 1 6 62½ 65   38½ 36½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 44% 1.30 2.10 S
3  BACKYARD MONEY 2 4 31½ 43½   512 410¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
4  INTO HAPPINESS 4 7 712½ 715   612 511 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 22.20  
1A  STARSHIP DEFIANT 5 3 1½ 1nk   411½ 618½ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 5.30  
1  MOSIENKO 3 5 52 54½   715 718¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 5.30  
 
SAR-5   07/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ITZA MIRRAKLE 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 11½ 12 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 29% 2.50 4.40 W
7  PROTECTIVE 6 2 31 31 31 21½ 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 34% 1.90 0.85 P
1  MILITARY ROAD 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 37 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 2.45  
5  ELKO COUNTY 4 5 64½ 66½ 69 49 413¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 16.10  
6  TRULLI WARRIOR 5 6 52 53 57½ 614 525½ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
2  HAIZUM 2 4 41½ 41½ 43½ 512½ 634¼ (matz r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 23.00  
SCR  SALACIOUS               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
 
SAR-6   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:121 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DEEP SATIN 9 5 21 2½ 2nk 12 13 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.00 0.85 W
8  STRIFE 8 6 63¼ 72¾ 72¼ 33½ 23 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 18% 4.60 6.90 P
1  PISCIOTTA (GB) 1 1 74¾ 83¼ 82¾ 55 33¼ (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 0.85  
3  APPELLATE 3 11 106¼ 104¼ 104½ 65½ 44¼ (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
11  LA SALVADORENA 12 7 53 51½ 3½ 22 54½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5% 18.00 9.20  
10  LATTE LIZZIE 11 10 118¼ 116¾ 126 75½ 65 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7% 13.60 10.40  
2  COIF 2 2 31 41 51¼ 86 77 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.80  
7  MISS HEBRIDES 7 12 129¾ 127¾ 115 98 88¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 52.25  
6  OUT TOO LATE (GB) 6 4 41½ 31 41 44½ 98½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 26.50  
5  SUNDAY TIFF 5 8 95¼ 93¼ 93 1012 1015 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 34.25  
9  HOLLYWOOD DREAM 10 9 84¾ 62½ 62¼ 1115 1121 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 42.25  
4  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 1216 1232¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 36.75  
SCR  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:381 2:022 2:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BATTLE OF NORMANDY 2 51½ 42½ 42½ 42½ 1½ 1¼ (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 30% 2.30 2.50 W
2  TRULY QUALITY 1 73 64 65½ 64 41½ 2¼ (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60 P
4  SIX MINUS 3 93¾ 86¼ 87 85 63 31¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 11.20  
6  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) 5 103¾ 108¼ 109½ 108 73½ 41¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00 43.25  
7  RELAMPAGO VERDE 6 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 53¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00 15.40  
8  MONDEGO (GB) 7 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 31 63½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 ★ 4.30  
10  CRABS N BEER 8 83½ 96¾ 98 96 95½ 75 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 12% 7.10 7.00  
5  DAUNT 4 41½ 31½ 32 32 53 85 (ribaudo robert )VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 9.90  
12  BAY STREET MONEY 10 62½ 74¼ 76 75 105¾ 98¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 40.50  
11  LUCKY CURLIN 9 31 52½ 54 53½ 85 1011¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
SCR  CALIFORNIA FROLIC               (avila ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  CYBER NINJA               (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
SCR  GILDED AGE               (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 30.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNSTABLE PRINCE 7 7 89½ 99 56 21½ 13¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00 18.60  
10  STREET SWAGG 10 2 11 11 14 11½ 23¾ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 11.10  
3  PROVE WORTHY 3 9 1014 1016 1010½ 67 35 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 125 1.20 56% 0.80 1.80 S
2  SOUTH STREET 2 5 65 54 34½ 33½ 47¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
1  SKI COUNTRY 1 10 910½ 88½ 68 88 510¾ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 15.00 16.20  
8  THANK YOU JON 8 3 32½ 32 44½ 45½ 611¼ (romero jesus)RIVERA R 123 12.00 15% 5.50 6.50  
6  KENTUCKY JOKER 6 8 79½ 78 78½ 77½ 712 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 ★ 19.60  
4  STOP THE SPREAD 4 1 21 21 24 57 815¼ (caramori edua)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 40.25  
5  MAGIA NERA 5 4 43 42½ 89 913 921 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 ★ 2.50  
9  PHILHARMONIC 9 6 54 64 99½ 1013½ 1023¾ (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00 28.00  
SCR  WARRIOR RICHARD               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC12 FIRM Quick Call Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:211 :44 :55     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) 5 3 55½ 55   1nk 11½ (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 0.80 62% 0.60 0.65 W
5  MANSA MUSA (IRE) 4 2 22½ 22½   2nk 21½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 7% 12.60 7.50 P
3  FANDOM (GB) 3 6 67 67   63¾ 33¾ (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.00 3.65 S
7  AMERICAN RASCAL 6 7 77 77   74¼ 45¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 14.90  
2  SMOKEY SMOKEY 2 5 44½ 44½   52¾ 55¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 27.25  
8  SET 7 4 33½ 33   32 65½ (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 27.00  
1  NO NAY METS (IRE) 1 1 12½ 12½   42½ 710¾ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★ 6.60  
SCR  APOLLO TEN               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 117 15.00    
SCR  BARAYE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.40    
SCR  FELTRINELLI               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20    
 
SAR-10   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:364     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BARNSTORMING 8 6 52½ 63½ 73½ 41¼ 1nk (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00 DQ↓2
7  WRITE OFF JERRY 7 10 107¼ 107½ 104¾ 62¼ 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 8% 11.00 5.50 W
6  BEARY FUNNY 6 3 42 41½ 41½ 2nk 31¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 14.90  
4  YOUR MISSION 4 11 129¼ 117¾ 84 51¾ 42¾ (bernardini ju)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 18.20  
2  BIG BIG STAR 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 53½ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 15% 5.60 10.30  
10  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES 10 12 118¼ 128¼ 125¾ 84¼ 64¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 3.90  
5  DOWNING STREET 5 5 84¼ 85½ 115¾ 94¼ 75 (d'angelo fran)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 6.80  
9  OCTOBER BLISS 9 7 74 74½ 62½ 104½ 87¼ (brown r)LUZZI J 125 30.00 41.25  
11  ERIC FROM MIAMI 11 9 95¾ 96½ 94¼ 125½ 98¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5.10  
3  VALUE ENGINEER 3 4 31 3½ 31 73¾ 1010 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 24% 3.20 6.70  
12  VINCE THE PRINCE 12 8 62½ 53 52 115½ 1111 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 16.80  
1  LA MAQUINA 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 31 1211½ (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 19% 4.40 9.50  
SCR  MASTERWORK               (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
SCR  PRICING POWER               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.