Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $2.86 $2.86  
ELP-2   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.32  
ELP-3   Win (5/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $11.10 $11.10 3.10
ELP-4   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.18 $8.18 2.18
ELP-5   Win (9/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.86 $8.86 0.86
ELP-6   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
ELP-7   Win (2/8/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $11.36 $11.36 1.36
ELP-8   Win (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.62 $6.62  
ELP-9   Win (7/5/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $10.04  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAZOKU 6 2 31½ 1½   1½ 12 (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 117 0.60 57% 0.80 0.43 W
4  STAND BY YOU 4 6 42 42½   43 22 (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 17% 4.80 7.06 P
2  SHIP IT 2 3 21 31   32½ 33 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 8.65  
3  CRACKALACKING 3 1 11 2½   2½ 43½ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 6.38  
1  HONEY RUN 1 7 77 77½   67½ 510 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.59  
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 5 5 64 66½   77½ 613 (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 32.30  
7  GOSHEN 7 4 53½ 54   56½ 713½ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 10.00 5% 19.00 11.53  
 
ELP-2   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOON FLEET 2 2 23½ 22½   1½ 18 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 119 4.50 4.16  
4  BOLD APPEAL 3 1 13½ 12½   2½ 28 (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.40 61% 0.60 0.58 P
7  VINO VELOCE 6 3 611 511½   49½ 39¾ (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 5% 19.00 9.81 S
1  LOW KEY FLEX 1 4 36½ 38   36½ 410½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 4.21  
5  NIGHT CRY 4 6 49 411   512½ 519 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 26.47  
6  RISK THE WIND 5 5 510½ 616   618½ 645½ (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 13.93  
SCR  E STORMY               (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 109 12.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS               (cano muno)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CONTINUITY 5 5 3½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 10% 8.70 4.55 W
2  LOVEBUG 1 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 8.11  
5  IBUKI 3 4 42½ 54¼   46¼ 39¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00 46% 1.20 3.51 S
4  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS 2 2 2nk 34   36 410 (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.45  
9  WAVER 6 1 53 44¼   57¼ 514¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.50 5.27  
6  STATLER INN 4 7 75½ 68¼   69¾ 614¼ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 10.00 3.01  
10  INDY'S UNIVERSE 7 6 64 711¾   717¾ 733 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 3.86  
SCR  ANONIMA               (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU               (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE               (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 3.00    
 
ELP-4   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAGLIATELLE 5 4 42¼ 4¼   12 12¾ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 25% 3.00 3.09 W
2  EXPRESS CRUISER 2 6 64¼ 62¾   63¼ 22¾ (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 4.50  
1  BOBWHITE BOBBY 1 5 52¼ 51¾   53¼ 35¼ (von do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.33 S
6  EDDIE M 6 1 3.2 3.2   33 47 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 31% 2.20 4.96  
3  WESTERN COMMAND 3 3 1nk 1nk   22 57½ (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 3.00 2.25  
4  CITY OF CLOUDS 4 2 2nk 2nk   43 68¾ (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 4.21  
 
ELP-5   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:211 :441 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY ORIENT 3 9 62¾ 52½   31½ 1nk (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 18% 4.50 3.43 W
10  DON'T CALL ME BABE 8 3 41½ 41½   1nk 2nk (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★ 5.79 P
9  BOIS BLANC 7 1 1nk 1½   2nk 3¼ (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 40% 1.50 3.80 S
11  PRINCESS SKAYA 9 7 74¾ 76¼   64 44 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 6.59  
2  FIXIN TO BEE 2 10 87¼ 87¼   75 55½ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 18.51  
1  CITY COCKTAILS 1 8 52½ 62¾   42 67½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.11  
12  PRESHA 10 6 3½ 31½   86½ 710¾ (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 6.33  
4  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 4 2 2nk 2½   52½ 811 (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 17% 5.00 7.06  
7  SWEET BEBSI 5 5 1011¾ 1014¼   1015 917¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 12.15  
8  BY REQUEST 6 4 97¼ 97¾   912½ 1023 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 23.60  
SCR  PAX AMERICANA               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
SCR  PONDERING               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL CHARM               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.00    
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICAN RAIDER 1 2 55 33½ 31 2nk 11½ (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 22% 3.50 5.60 W
7  QUEBRANCHO 4 5 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 21½ (bahena ismael)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 6% 14.60 6.92 P
4  ENDLESS REIGN 2 3 43 44 44½ 44½ 34¼ (lynch brian )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 1.80  
5  CHULLIGAN 3 1 21 2½ 2nk 32 48 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.02  
8  TIE BREAKER LENNIE 5 4 33 54½ 55 58 516¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00 10.82  
SCR  PENROD               (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
SCR  QUIET RUSH               (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.00    
SCR  WEEKEND FLAME               (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PLAYBACK 4 2 52½ 42 2½ 1nk 11 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 4.50 19% 4.30 4.68 W
5  CHURNING BERNI 5 9 107½ 94¾ 42½ 32 21 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00 28.04  
9  BABY AVERY 9 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 2nk 33 (vance thoma)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00 24.75  
1  PENNY ROYAL 1 5 74½ 83¾ 63½ 65¾ 45¼ (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 10% 8.70 4.20  
3  PRETTY PERTINENT 3 1 32 31½ 52½ 53¾ 55½ (molloy thom)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 11.82  
7  SKYLAROSE 7 7 85 105¼ 96½ 87¼ 68¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.58  
2  BOLT'S BROAD 2 6 96 63¼ 75 76¼ 78¾ (delima e)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 28% 2.60 6.09  
8  SUSTANCIA 8 3 1½ 1nk 31½ 43½ 89½ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 22% 3.60 3.91  
6  AVALON GIRL 6 12 129¾ 127 109 1010¾ 914 (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 14.52  
10  SHEZALITTLESTINKER 10 10 63½ 73¾ 86 99¼ 1015 (catalano wayn)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 9.46  
12  POLITICAL SPIN 12 11 117¾ 116¾ 1111 1113¾ 1123¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 39.08  
11  VIABLE 11 8 42 52¼ 12100 12100 12100 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8.36  
 
ELP-8   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:22 :442 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAKEUP 2 7 74 84¾   52½ 1½ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 23% 3.30 2.31 W
4  LA LA ROSE 3 3 42 41¾   42 2½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 28% 2.50 3.95 P
6  CABERNEIGH 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 31 (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 8.32 S
5  PLUM TRICKY 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 41¾ (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 9.16  
7  FLUENT 6 4 31½ 31½   31½ 52¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 26.93  
8  DETERMINED CANDY 7 5 53 63¼   72¾ 62¾ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30 3.60  
2  SACOS STOGIE 1 6 63½ 52¾   62¾ 73¼ (acevedo israel)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 32.18  
9  OUR DOTSIE 8 8 84½ 74¾   83¼ 84½ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 3.55  
SCR  ARMY GIRL               (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
SCR  SICKLE DANCE               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:10 1:22   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY MERCEDES 3 4 63½ 64 63¼ 42 11 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00 4.02  
5  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 5 3 31 31½ 2nk 1nk 21 (salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 123 6.00 20% 4.00 3.64 P
2  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 2 7 85½ 85½ 84¼ 52½ 31¾ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 8.59  
7  MISS TAPPY TONE 7 8 98 96½ 95¾ 74¼ 41¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 30% 2.40 2.93  
1  BELLA CRUELLA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 52 (williamson bri)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00 8% 12.10 4.54  
10  LIL TOWN SIS 9 5 52½ 53½ 41½ 31½ 62½ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 10% 8.70 8.83  
8  RUN RUN RABBIT 8 6 42 42½ 51¾ 62¾ 73¼ (fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 5% 19.00 43.16  
4  ALAMO 4 2 2½ 2½ 3½ 84¾ 88¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 12.35  
6  HATTIE M 6 9 74 74½ 74¼ 96¾ 98¾ (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 15.69  
SCR  LUCKY ANA               (douaihy mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.