Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.02 $6.02 0.02
ELP-2   Win (2/7/12/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $8.40 $8.40  
ELP-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.42 $6.42 0.42
ELP-4   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $27.72  
ELP-5   Win (6/8/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $10.42  
ELP-6   Win (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
ELP-7   Win (8/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $16.78 $16.78 8.78
ELP-8   Win (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $26.84  
ELP-9   Win (8/10/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.62  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 1 2 11 12   1 1hd (hiles rick)BEALMEAR C 113 4.00 10% 9.00 2.01 W
CHANISA 4 1 31 3   2 2hd (shirer a)TORRES A 122 3.00 61% 0.60 1.02 P
DEFAULT 5 5 44 45   4 33 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 2.85  
TAMARA'S WAY 2 3 21 22   34 4 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 15.00 5% 19.00 11.42  
ONE STORMY LADY 3 4 5 510   513½ 533 (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 20.70  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL               (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  TROTTER               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
 
ELP-2   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SAVA 9 9 63 6 4 11 1 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 5.00 10% 9.00 3.20 W
GRAND PRAIRIE GAL 5 6 9 93 6 4 2 (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 13% 6.50 2.81 P
SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) 1 1 3 4 2 3 3 (radosevich )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 43% 1.30 4.73 S
10  SUCRE CECILE 7 3 11 1nk 1 21 45 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 12.97  
AMERICAN SPLENDOR 4 7 7 72 8 6 5 (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 8.00 5.13  
MALICE MAMA 3 5 8 83 7 5 6 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00 7% 12.50 41.70  
CASINO ANNIE 2 2 52 5 5 7 7 (parker dona)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
KISS ME KATIE 6 4 21 2nk 3 8 813½ (ortiz alexa)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 6.96  
11  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND 8 8 4 3.2 9 911¼ 916 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00 14.96  
SCR  JOIA RARA               (caramori eduar)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 20.00    
SCR  MOON FLEET               (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
SCR  NO SHOW               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE BERNADETTE               (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA               (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC PLEASURE 2 5 5 4   32 1 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 57% 0.80 2.21 W
UPPER CASE 3 6 6 3.2   1½ 2 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.51 P
STREAMING NOW 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 34 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 4.00 14% 6.00 2.36 S
ALWAYS ANGELS 1 4 3 5   4 45 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 122 1.80 1.28  
GUNESH 6 1 4 6   67 5 (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 14.90  
HARTFUL HOPE 5 3 2½ 2nk   5 614 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 40.18  
 
ELP-4   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:214 :444 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WENDELSSOHN 5 2 3.2 12   1 1 (delima e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 12.86  
DUKE OF DUVAL 2 5 5 6   3 2 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
SHORTSTOP 6 3 4 35   48 311½ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50 4.02  
MORUNNING 3 6 2nk 22   2 412¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00 2.10  
BERNIN HOT 4 1 6 45   5 515½ (davis christop)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.79  
BIG SALT LICK 1 4 1nk 57   613½ 626¼ (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 33% 2.10 2.15  
SCR  CAPITAL CONNECTION               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50    
 
ELP-5   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING SING 1 1 1nk 1nk 11 11 1½ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 4.21  
GIOCOSO 3 8 7 6 64 44 2½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 3.23 P
COURAGEOUS CLAY 2 4 4 4 3 21 3 (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 28.45  
BRIGHT SKITTLE 6 2 2nk 2nk 21 3 4 (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 2.50 35% 1.80 2.04  
13  MAXIMUM PROMISE 12 11 1110 11 9 5 5 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.22  
HOMER'S ODYSSEY 5 3 5 5 43 6 69 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 13% 6.50 11.80  
THUBOOT 4 10 9 8 8 7 7 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 11.76  
STRUMMIN 8 5 8 9 11 1110 811½ (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 28% 2.60 8.74  
11  COLONEL YORKE 11 12 6 7 7 9 912 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
10  RAG TREE 10 7 1210½ 1210¾ 10 109 1012 (hamilton sarah)TORRES A 119 20.00 37.07  
BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 7 9 3½ 3 53 8 1112 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 27.05  
PATRIOTIC JERRELL 9 6 10 10 12 1213 1218¼ (hancock l)MONCADA IRVING 109 30.00 90.16  
SCR  CLOCK TOWER               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
SCR  REMAINING NAMELESS               (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
SCR  SOUND CAUSE               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
 
ELP-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING A LITTLE SONG 4 4 4 4   1½ 1½ (wilkes ian )TORRES A 118 3.50 15% 5.70 2.60 W
POPPERINA 2 7 7 6   3 2½ (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 51% 0.90 1.46 P
TELL ME WHEN 1 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 122 5.00 3.75  
JE SUIS RAPIDE 7 6 6 5   52 4 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 34.75  
MOTOWN DYNAMIC 6 3 3½ 31   6 514¾ (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 13% 6.80 8.81  
THREE POLKS 5 1 2½ 2nk   42 615¾ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.21  
ANIMAL FRIES 3 5 5 7   7 721¼ (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 13.91  
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY               (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 6.00    
SCR  DEVIL BLUE DRESS               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:102 1:22   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 8 4 2 23 2nk 1nk 1 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00 7.39 W
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 7 6 88 7 7 4¾ 2 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 3.50 36% 1.80 3.61 P
EXCELLENT QUESTION 1 8 7 86 8 5 3 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 3.08  
CROWN IMPERIAL 2 1 44 4 4 3.2 4 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 6.00 2.52  
SAMAY (PER) 4 2 1 13 1nk 2nk 54 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 10.71  
HONEY HAULER 5 5 34 33 3.2 6 64 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 13.02  
PEACOCK LASS 3 3 55 5 5 7 7 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 12% 7.40 6.42  
HOLY FOLEY 6 7 6 6 6 8 8 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.87  
SCR  BRU NA BOINNE               (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION               (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.50    
SCR  YESTERNIGHT               (schultz lin)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
 
ELP-8   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:222 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S GLORY (GB) 8 1 3.2 31   1nk 1¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 8.00 12.42  
BAD BOY FRANK 7 9 9 54   42 2¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 124 6.00 8.00  
ATTACHE 3 4 1nk 1½   2nk 31 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 24% 3.10 2.05 S
MIRACLE WORKER 1 5 6 42   3½ 4 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 8.91  
SAHALAT 2 3 4 7   7 5 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.39  
REGAL REY 9 7 7 64   6 65 (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 46.97  
TIGER'S LEGACY 4 2 2nk 2½   5 7 (davis christop)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.17  
LAKOTA TERRITORY 6 6 5 88   8 811¾ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 28% 2.60 4.13  
MOREAU 5 8 8 9   9 914¾ (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00 28.99  
 
ELP-9   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:12 1:35   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO HOLLYWOOD 3 1 54 64 5 2 1nk (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 5.00 3.31  
10  KEHOE BEACH 8 7 1 1 11 1 2nk (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.55 P
GOLD LIGHTNING 1 4 9 9 95 6 3½ (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 10% 9.10 6.50 S
KALISPERA (IRE) 7 8 7 8 74 5 4¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 35% 1.80 5.46  
WEIGH THE RISKS 5 5 2 2 21 3 51 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 3.22  
SASSY PRINCESS 4 2 4 53 32 4 6 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 10.83  
QUIETLY 2 3 86 4 43 7 7 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.12  
12  FEDERALISM 9 9 6 7 8 8 86 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 14.56  
FROSTED VICTORY 6 6 3 3 6 910¼ 914½ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 34.22  
SCR  EGYPTIAN CANDY               (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY SPEECH               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.