Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
ELP-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.22 $4.22  
ELP-3   Win (1/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $37.78  
ELP-4   Win (12/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40
ELP-5   Win (10/2/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.08 $6.08  
ELP-6   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.24 $3.24  
ELP-7   Win (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.14  
ELP-8   Win (4/3/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $19.60  
ELP-9   Win (9/1/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $11.58 $11.58 1.58

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:252   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANKS FRANK 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 12 1 (shirer a)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 3.50 15% 5.90 1.75 W
AVAILABILITY 8 5 21 2½ 2½ 22 2 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.51 P
AUDEN 5 6 5 5 36 3 36 (newton troy)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 8.76  
CHARNICO 2 7 8 7 6 5 4 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 19% 4.30 3.04  
VINO FA DANZA 1 1 6 6 48 46 5 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 20.00 13.38  
LEFT POCKET MONEY 7 4 42 44 58 612½ 631 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.05  
MALINALCO 4 8 77 89 814¼ 718½ 741½ (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 21.18  
GUATAPE 3 3 31 32 714¼ 824½ 868¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 17.84  
SCR  SECRET EDGE               (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR OLLIE 5 2 1nk 1nk   21 1 (vanden berg )CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 55% 0.80 1.11 W
UPSTRIKER 4 3 31 3½   11 2 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.15 P
COOL RAGS 3 4 4 4¾   3 34 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 11.81  
MAN ON THE MOON 2 6 5 5   43 45 (vance d)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 5.16  
COMMANDER CARL 6 1 2nk 2nk   53 59 (shirer a)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 10.00 6.77  
KYGO (GER) 1 5 6 6   611 625¾ (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 10% 8.90 18.07  
SCR  DONTKISSDAMINISTER               (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC 6 8 41 2nk   1 1 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 17.89  
COACH CAMPBELL 3 6 8 7   55 2 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 4.91  
NOT SO HOLY 1 5 1½ 1nk   2 3 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00 2.39 S
ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 2 4 2½ 3   4 4 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 3.94  
MALIBLUE 8 1 5 5   6 510 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.78  
INCURSION 7 2 31 44   3 610 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 16% 5.10 2.22  
SOUL SNATCHER 5 7 78 812¼   713 722½ (ortiz alexa)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12% 7.30 14.98  
BELLO 4 3 64 6   820 864½ (santamaria ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 22.54  
SCR  SECOND SERVICE               (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50    
 
ELP-4   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FLIP FLOPS 12 7 8 8 4 1½ 1 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 45% 1.20 4.20 W
DERRY GIRL 7 11 97 9 6 31 2 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 5.76  
LOVE TEMPO (IRE) 1 10 11 11 97 7 3 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 4.92  
ALWAYS PRACTICAL 8 5 3 3 1nk 2½ 4 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 7% 12.80 13.95  
CHATTANOOGA CREW 3 6 5 5 31 41 53 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 15.24  
ALONGCOMESAWOMAN 2 8 7 6 75 6 6 (kenneally eddie)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.72  
11  GHOSTTAPPER 11 9 10 10 8 5 7 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 4.15  
TAKE NOTE OF THIS 4 2 43 4 52 8 87 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 27% 2.70 6.60  
GROVE CITY SUNSET 9 12 1211½ 12 109 9 9 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 10.73  
MATCH FIVE 6 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 10 1016¾ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00 42.99  
TALKSALOT 5 4 6 7 1214 1115¼ 1126½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 27.05  
10  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA 10 3 2½ 2nk 1112 1216¾ 1233½ (mcentee paul)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00 18.19  
SCR  MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
 
ELP-5   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICH CITY GIRL 2 2 1nk 11   1 1 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 20% 3.90 2.04 W
10  PRAYING 7 5 4 4   2 2 (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 34% 1.90 2.22 P
MISCHIEF NIGHT 5 7 7 64   4 34 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.93 S
WARRIOR'S JUSTICE 1 1 31 3   34 4 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 8.80  
11  OKLAHOMA LOGIC 8 6 5 5   69 512 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.33  
LALILY 3 3 2nk 21   5 612 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 63.12  
ONE HAPPY ISLAND 4 4 6 77   711 714¾ (kordenbrock matt)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 10.06  
HEY LIL LADY 6 8 8 89   811½ 815¾ (ewing an)CASTANON L 119 30.00 41.93  
SCR  VIXEN               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SCR  WHITELICK ROAD               (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
SCR  WITH KINDNESS               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
ELP-6   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:101 1:22   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOISES OFF 2 2 44 52 2nk 1nk 1¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.40 49% 1.00 0.62 W
KITODAN 6 6 6 63 61 3 2¾ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 5.13  
TATANKA 4 4 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 3 (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 30% 2.30 4.82 S
DESERT DUKE 1 5 55 4 4¼ 4 4 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.98  
FOWLER BLUE 5 3 2 3½ 5½ 5 5 (o'neill doug)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 24.21  
CHIRON 3 1 1 1nk 3.2 6 612¼ (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 16.93  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
SCR  ETHEREAL ROAD               (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  RECKER POINT               (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00    
SCR  TAPSASIONAL               (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
 
ELP-7   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ENCHANTED 3 4 32 2nk   12 1 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50 2.07  
UNZIPPED 5 6 5 4   22 2 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 36% 1.80 2.04 P
CALATHEA 1 9 9 8   5 3 (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 37.78  
QUIET CONFIDENCE 8 1 43 3.2   44 410¾ (walsh brenda)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 19.11  
PRESTWICK 9 2 86 6   67 511¾ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 15.20  
LIFE'S FOR LIVING 7 5 1 1nk   34 615 (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 26% 2.90 3.64  
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 4 8 6 7   710 720¼ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 7% 13.90 51.96  
CANDY LANDY 6 7 7 9   810½ 821½ (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8% 11.30 15.40  
ELLA ELIZABETH 2 3 2 5   911½ 927¾ (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 6.95  
 
ELP-8   07/06/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pea Patch Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:211 :433 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKI NINE DOORS 6 1 42 4   21 12 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 8.80  
QUIMICHIS 5 6 5 54   4 22 (gutierrez fausti)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 19% 4.40 5.29 P
11  MS. TART 11 10 9 9   7 3 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 7.82  
MOONLIT LADY 4 5 2½ 2nk   11 4 (gutierrez f)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 23% 3.40 1.89  
10  READY FOR TROUBLE 10 12 10 10   8 5 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 57.52  
12  VISUALLY 12 11 12 129   127 6 (barocio librado)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 8.59  
TWIRL AROUND 3 3 32 32   53 7 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.51  
HIGH FASHION KATE 1 4 1½ 1nk   31 8 (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 33.12  
TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 7 8 11 11   11 9 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 27.10  
THESE APPLES 2 9 75 7   6 109 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 49.77  
FIELD LASS 8 7 8 8   10 11 (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10% 9.40 10.69  
CAROLINA CANDY 9 2 64 6   9 1213½ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00 50.60  
 
ELP-9   07/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:35   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSCAR'S WORLD 1 1 2½ 2 2nk 1 14 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 27% 2.70 4.79 W
PURE POETRY 3 3 5 5 5 42 24 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 13% 6.50 5.44 P
FORTUNE SELLER 5 5 1½ 1 1nk 2 35 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 6.54  
COPPER MISSILE 2 4 65 6 8 53 4 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 6.16  
ROUSSETTE 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 (simms jr)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00 55.85  
KARLWITHANARL 4 2 32 43 4 32 6 (medina robert)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 7% 13.60 11.07  
RAGUEL 6 6 42 3 31 7 7 (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
KID CAIRO 8 9 910¾ 8 6 8 8 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 33% 2.10 1.99  
10  MIKEALICIOUS 9 8 8 9 9 9 914¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 10.06  
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT               (amoss m)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB)               (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.