Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.52  
ELP-2   Win (5/11/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $4.98 $4.98  
ELP-3   Win (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ELP-4   Win (8/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.30 $7.30  
ELP-5   Win (8/10/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.70  
ELP-6   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.46  
ELP-7   Win (11/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
ELP-8   Win (3/11/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.92  
ELP-9   Win (16/6/2/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 1 $5.42 $5.42  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SITKA 1 3 1 1½   1½ 1 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 1.26  
LEND IT TEWMEY 2 2 3 42   2½ 2 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.77 P
LIBERTANGO 4 4 4 31   4 3 (fletcher kevin)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 10.06  
TOWN BRANCH 3 1 2 2½   32 4 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 16% 5.10 2.48  
TAP THE CANDY 5 5 55 54   54 54 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.81  
SCR  BAYOU MAGIC               (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 108 6.00    
 
ELP-2   07/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:114 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CURLIN GUNNER 6 7 7 7 45 1nk 1 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 6.00 29% 2.50 1.49 W
MUNYHUNGRY 2 1 5 2 2 31 2 (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00 5.58  
VICTORY DASH 1 2 11 1 1 2nk 312¾ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 3.81  
DROBNY 3 4 21 3 3 4 417¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 29% 2.50 2.67  
GLYNE BEACH 5 5 6 6 5 57 523 (camejo jose)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17% 4.80 14.24  
MOR JAZZ 4 3 3 4 68 610 633½ (humphries thom)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 30.00 5% 19.00 20.12  
12  FASTER 7 6 4 5 714 718 755½ (tooley jenni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 14.12  
SCR  THREE POINT STRUT               (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL SALUTE               (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 2.50    
SCR  READY TO REIGN               (colebrook b)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  LET'S BOUNCE               (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  KAUAI BREEZE               (correas ig)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  GOLDENTOWN               (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
SCR  GET AHEAD NOW               (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE STRIKE               (santamaria carlos)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  GAGLIARDI               (mott i)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:122 1:262   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SENSE 1 6 7 7 6 5 1 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 45% 1.20 0.60 W
FLORIS 6 3 21 2½ 21 2 2 (duvall e)CASTANON L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 27.14 P
BYZANTINE 3 2 11 1½ 11 1 3 (morse randy)TORRES A 123 8.00 8.84  
MISSY BEE 4 4 5 6 5 45 42 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 20.00 34.29  
SHE'S MAGIC 5 5 32 4 3 3 5 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.50 13% 6.80 3.39  
I GOTTA BOLT 2 1 6 53 76 6 6 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00 9.94  
COLLECT A LIL 7 7 42 3 4 7 719¾ (roberson denn)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 10.00 12% 7.70 8.51  
SCR  ELLA FRANCES               (beckman whit)TORRES A 123 4.00    
 
ELP-4   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST RESORT 5 2 1nk 1nk   12 1 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 20% 4.00 2.65 W
JUJUBEE 3 3 4 4   22 2 (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.63 P
SHOGUN (IRE) 6 8 9 7   53 3 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 16.22  
CHARLIE TOLU 7 5 2nk 2nk   3 4 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 39% 1.60 6.30  
10  TREW VIOLENCE 9 4 5 3½   43 57 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 20% 3.90 2.70  
11  HAUNTED FLAME 10 6 84 9   8 611¾ (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 13.38  
EXTRADITION 8 7 7 8   78 711¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.99  
BORROWED TIME 2 10 6 5   66 814 (brisset rodol)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 9.26  
MAX MISCHIEF 1 1 3 6   9 916¾ (asmussen steve)TORRES A 119 8.00 19.79  
IMPROBABLE CAUSE 4 9 108 10   1014¾ 1026½ (andrade hugo)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00 56.02  
SCR  EL CORDOBES               (chavez)FRANCA ERIELTUN 119 30.00    
 
ELP-5   07/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHMEUP 3 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 1¾ (miller jerom)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 2.85  
GOD OF WINE 4 2 32 3 3.2 21 2¾ (davis christo)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 5.00 39% 1.60 1.63 P
10  GAMETIME GLADIATOR 5 6 5 5 4 4 3 (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 30% 2.30 3.44 S
11  INTERLOCK EMPIRE 6 5 64 6 5 5 44 (colebrook ben)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00 5% 17.60 4.40  
TWIRLING TROILLET 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 32 5 (king barry )TORRES A 118 12.00 7.40  
ORESTES 1 3 43 4 6 6 611¼ (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 21.38  
SCR  FRANK JR               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN BUCK               (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
SCR  NOBLE GENTLEMAN               (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  RIGEL               (sancal murat)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.50    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY               (mott i)TORRES A 123 3.50    
 
ELP-6   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:224 :471 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE ALABAMA 4 1 31 3.2   1nk 1 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 2.73  
LADY ABERDEEN 6 2 5 4   4 2 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 120 15.00 8.87  
SO FAR SO GOOD 3 3 2nk 2nk   3.2 3 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 14.40  
STARCOURT 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 4 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 59% 0.70 0.81  
MIDWAY VOW 2 4 42 5   5 5 (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 8.00 11% 8.50 8.87  
CORRI FELICE 5 6 6 6   6 610 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.04  
SCR  DARK FURY               (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
SCR  LA FORET               (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
SCR  NIGHT CRY               (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEDAZZLE 'EM 5 5 42 32 3½ 2nk 1 (mott i)TORRES A 118 3.50 17% 4.80 1.10 W
ON COMMAND 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 2.38  
FEELING BEACHY 3 4 55 5 54 44 3 (casse w)LANERIE J 118 15.00 17% 5.00 10.29 S
10  PENNY'S SMILE 6 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 32 45 (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 4.34  
MY SEXY BLONDE 2 2 32 4 4 5 511¼ (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 30.00 32.43  
FASHION AFFIRMED 4 7 78 710½ 68 610½ 621 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 48.64  
11  SCREAMING MIMI 7 6 6 6 710 718½ 751¼ (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 24% 3.20 7.70  
SCR  WHAPPEN               (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  TOFFEE APPLE               (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  PUBLIC ASSEMBLY               (brown c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
SCR  MO CHAT               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  MISS HEBRIDES               (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  ITS SATISFACTUAL               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  WHERE'S THE WINE               (catalano m)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:22 :453 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERASOL SUGAR 1 7 7 5   12 1½ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 120 15.00 5.96  
TWEETSTER 3 6 5 31   22 2½ (casse w)LANERIE J 120 4.50 64% 0.60 1.05 P
RIPERTON 6 1 2nk 2nk   32 3 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 6.00 5.04  
LITHE SPIRIT 2 5 4¾ 4   54 4 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 19.10  
BELLA HAZE 4 4 1nk 1nk   43 510¾ (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 5% 19.00 16.82  
10  SABRINA 7 8 8 8   6 610¾ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 12.29  
HOME GAME 5 2 3.2 7   7 711 (morey e)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 6% 15.30 17.98  
11  PEIGNOIR 8 3 6 6   8 817 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 7% 13.50 4.45  
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE               (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
SCR  MIAH MIAH               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:123 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  STORMIN TANDA 8 7 31 3½ 2nk 2nk 1hd (stall m)TORRES A 118 3.00 34% 1.90 1.71 W
SICILIAN DEFENSE 4 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2hd (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 20.00 12.32  
SWEET FREEDOM 2 4 5 6 4 31 3½ (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.73  
OSCARWORTHY 3 1 63 7 53 43 4 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 31% 2.20 5.48  
10  HALF DOME (IRE) 5 6 4 41 7 6 5 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 13.70  
13  TEEN IDOL 6 5 2nk 2nk 3½ 5 610¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.28  
LOU'S LEGACY 1 3 7 8 65 7 710¾ (andrade hugo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 10% 9.30 4.36  
15  HIGGINSVILLE 7 8 8 5 8 815¾ 844½ (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 4.21  
SCR  MIDWAY LIGHTS               (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 15.00    
SCR  PROVISIONAL               (matejka pavel)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  ROCKY JOY               (lobo paulo )TORRES A 124 1.60    
SCR  SAN MARTIN               (sancal murat)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGNS JOY               (maker michael )TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  TELESCOPIC               (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  TWO BEERS BY TEN               (maker j)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE               (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.