Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.30 $2.30  
FE-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.30  
FE-3   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
FE-4   Win (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
FE-5   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
FE-6   Win (1/6/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $8.80 $8.80  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONBRIGHT 5 5 31 21   1½ 13 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 1.40 33% 2.00 0.15 W
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 3 1½ 11   2½ 23 (robillard josh)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00 7.30  
LOUEMMA 3 1 2½ 42   3 3 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 15.25  
BIG BELL 1 4 42 3   4 4 (silva )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 33% 2.00 6.60  
MY GIRL GABBY 4 2 52 5   54 510½ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.35  
 
FE-2   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS BU CHERRO 4 4 4 4   2nk 1 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 3.65  
TACHYON SPEED 3 5 5 5   5 2 (leblanc warren)SINGH S 122 1.80 54% 0.90 0.70 P
ALMONTE PRINCESS 5 1 3½ 1nk   1nk 3 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 7.55  
I'M PHANTOM 1 2 1nk 3.2   3.2 4 (davis m)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
FAITHFUL GIFT 2 3 2nk 2nk   4¼ 5 (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 18% 4.60 4.90  
 
FE-3   07/02/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:141     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOTTY AND NICE 3 1 13 13   16 110½ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 16% 5.30 1.45 W
IT'S ME 6 2 23 23   26 210½ (agostino georg)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.45 P
LUCKY LOUISE 4 3 3 34   38 314½ (davis m)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 13% 6.40 8.00 S
WAR VOW 2 5 612 610½   513 416½ (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 38% 1.60 2.35  
FEROCIOUS QUEEN 1 6 510 58   613 520½ (newland george)MAILHOT P 122 20.00 13.05  
ALWAYS MY FAULT 5 4 4 47   412 633½ (robill)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50 4.30  
SCR  TWIRLING PIPER               (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00    
 
FE-4   07/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE BABY 6 1 2nk 1nk   11 1 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 17% 4.70 1.20 W
BIG GINGER 1 3 4 6   42 2 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 4.25  
J M R GEMMA 4 6 62 2nk   21 3 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00 3.65  
SNELL FLICKA 2 2 1nk 4   32 4 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 26% 2.90 18.15  
LOADED QUESTION 3 4 3 5   5 5 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
BODACIOUS MISS 5 5 5 31   6 610 (voyce )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 9.35  
HEADING WEST 7 7 7 7   7 710½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 29% 2.40 8.35  
 
FE-5   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:22 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY JOHNY 5 3 32 3   1 1 (davie)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 10.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 1 7 67 6   32 2 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 65% 0.50 1.55 P
BELLASPINA 7 1 1½ 11   2 3 (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 3.05 S
T'PRING 4 2 43 43   5 4 (clemmer krista)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 15.30  
LULU'S LULLABY 2 6 77 7   6 58 (squires su)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 7% 12.90 9.15  
LOADED SECRET 3 5 2½ 21   4 6 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 18.75  
CREATIVPERFORMANCE 6 4 5 54   7 713¾ (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 7.45  
 
FE-6   07/02/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:133     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILBERFORCE 6 9 66 5   1 1 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 23% 3.30 3.40 W
GUS'S GAMBLE 3 7 3 33   2 2 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
THY KINGDOM 7 8 79 710½   6 3 (shirley )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 52.70  
HARDWARE GAP 5 4 44 44   44 4 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 6.50  
BAJAN BULLET 1 1 1nk 11   32 510¾ (squires a)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 0.80  
BAIT N SWITCH 9 5 911½ 811½   8 612½ (alderson anthon)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 8% 10.80 6.60  
TWO YEAR CONTRACT 4 2 5 6   7 714¼ (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 ######  
I LIVE BY FAITH 2 3 2nk 21   5 815¼ (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00 9% 9.60 17.65  
SANTIAGO SALSA 8 6 811 913   910 922½ (keen howard)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 20.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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