Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.84 $12.84 4.84
CD-2   Win (3/7/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.68 $7.68  
CD-3   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.54 $6.54 0.54
CD-4   Win (9/10/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $15.38 $15.38 5.38
CD-5   Win (14/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.64 $7.64 1.64
CD-6   Win (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.38  
CD-7   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
CD-8   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.82 $3.82  
CD-9   Win (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $13.16  
CD-10   Win (6/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.88 $4.88  
CD-11   Win (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $21.90 $21.90 13.90
CD-12   Win (9/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $11.78 $11.78 3.78
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:113 1:364   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONTEVALLO 5 3 21 21 21½ 21½ 1¼ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 13% 6.70 5.42 W
4  COPPER ECHO 3 1 11 11 11½ 11½ 2¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.15 P
7  MO RHODES 6 5 52½ 52½ 54 33½ 31 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 5.59  
5  I'M YOUR MAN 4 6 75¼ 76 66 56½ 42½ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 5.97  
8  HITTING BOMBS 7 4 42 41½ 32½ 44 53½ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 27% 2.80 3.04  
2  DR KRINGLE 2 7 62¾ 63 43½ 67½ 610¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90 1.78  
1  NEW BERN 1 2 31 31½ 76½ 717½ 739 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 29.93  
SCR  MY FRIEND LOUIE               (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
 
CD-2   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:38   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAQEEL 6 6 52 52½ 41 1nk 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.20 2.84 W
8  ALL WEST 7 2 31 31 1nk 2nk 2½ (vance thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 13% 6.80 32.26 P
1  KAHALA 1 4 41½ 41½ 51½ 3½ 31½ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 10.00 9% 10.70 8.85 S
6  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 5 8 74 74½ 63 53 43 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 2.72  
3  HAROLD'S CLOUD 2 9 96½ 97 76 64 53¼ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 30% 2.30 2.36  
5  GREY STREAK 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 42½ 65 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.86  
11  BIRD KING 9 7 84½ 86½ 98 99½ 713½ (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 28.99  
10  CANDY FOR CARMEL 8 5 62½ 64 86½ 88½ 815¾ (margolis stephe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 28.02  
4  HOME RUN TRICK 3 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 77 923¾ (brennan terry)TORRES A 118 6.00 15.89  
SCR  BOOGIE BODE               (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN               (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
 
CD-3   06/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:092     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KAVOD 5 4 31½ 41½   21 11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 56% 0.80 2.27 W
7  CAN'T HUSH THIS 7 1 42 31   11 21 (morse l)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 14% 6.10 2.19 P
8  PIPES AND DRUMS 8 3 2½ 21   32 35¾ (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 18.33  
3  EXPENSIVE CUT 3 8 64½ 53   55 46 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 ★ 5.64  
6  BACKSIDE BUZZ 6 2 1½ 11   43 56¾ (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 5.00 7.08  
4  READY TO POUNCE 4 5 75½ 75¼   65½ 66¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00 21.03  
2  TAKE THE CHARGE 2 7 53½ 63¼   77 711½ (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5.12  
1  ALL IN SYNC 1 6 87½ 87¼   89 813¼ (hernandez rey)TORRES A 118 15.00 16.05  
 
CD-4   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:213 :443 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MUGEN 9 1 2½ 1nk   13 16½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 27% 2.70 6.69 W
9  TWO SHARP 8 11 41½ 2nk   23 26½ (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 33% 2.00 0.62 P
4  HEY OLIVIA 3 9 52 31½   33 37½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 13.68  
1  SALLY O'MALLEY 1 8 94½ 65½   46½ 49 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.42  
5  MORINGA 4 2 73½ 54½   56¾ 59¼ (pribble j)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 11% 8.50 20.33  
6  BARSTOOL BABE 5 5 117 1112½   712¾ 616½ (bogle fergus)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 30.00 5% 19.00 70.09  
11  BEACH BUNNY 10 6 31 42½   69¼ 719½ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 19.21  
7  DREAM ON STORMY 6 4 1½ 77   914¼ 824½ (winston d)RIQUELME J 124 30.00 47.29  
12  MINK STOLE 11 7 105½ 1011½   1116 926 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 46.57  
3  ENDLESS GLOW 2 3 62 89   812¾ 1026½ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 6.77  
8  CATHCART 7 10 84 910   1015¾ 1127¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 13.54  
SCR  CALATHEA               (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  DANCING PRINCESS               (spicer t)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00    
SCR  GHOSTRIDER               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  MISS ENCHANTED               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.00    
SCR  MISS MONROE COUNTY               (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
CD-5   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SCALABLE 5 8 51½ 52 41¾ 31½ 1nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.70 2.82 W
12  YES INDEED 10 5 83¾ 94¾ 51¾ 2nk 2nk (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.88  
3  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 3 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 3½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 13.12  
4  HERE'S THE SPIDER 4 11 105¼ 105¼ 115 75¼ 44½ (fernandez edward)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 44.15  
10  LEMON MUFFIN 8 7 93¾ 73¼ 83½ 53½ 54¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 ★ 5.22  
11  LIUZZA 9 1 31 31½ 3.2 42½ 65 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 118 15.00 29.26  
1  SANCTIFY 1 10 41½ 41½ 62 65 76 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 34.39  
9  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE 7 6 115¾ 115¾ 94 85¾ 86 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 7.77  
2  VINOBELLO 2 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 96¼ 914 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 11.68  
7  FLOORED 6 9 72¼ 63 73 1010¼ 1028 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 74.94  
14  SIMPLY ENCHANTING 11 4 61¾ 83¾ 104½ 1114¼ 1134¼ (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 56% 0.80 2.51  
SCR  AMERICA'S VOW               (hamm timothy)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSNESS               (lovell michell)TORRES A 120 15.00    
SCR  MONARCH               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION               (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
 
CD-6   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COOKE CREEK 6 2 31 21 2½ 11½ 15¾ (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 3.19  
4  BIG BLUE LINE 3 6 66½ 64 53 33½ 25¾ (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 38% 1.60 5.44 P
6  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 5 1 11 11 1½ 21½ 37 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50 ★ 3.02 S
3  SANTOS DUMONT 2 4 42½ 42½ 32 44 48¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 3.71  
5  HURRY HURRY 4 9 911¼ 99 97 67 59¼ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 37% 1.70 5.14  
9  BABA VOSS 8 8 89¼ 76 74½ 56½ 612 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.22  
8  ONTHESTAGE 7 7 76¾ 86 86½ 88½ 713¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 20.24  
1  HERN 1 3 21 31½ 43 77 815 (haran john)BEALMEAR C 115 30.00 65.24  
11  O P FIRECRACKER 9 5 54½ 53½ 63½ 98¾ 915¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 15.00 ★ 21.60  
SCR  ARROWTHEGREAT               (blacker daniel)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  PHANTOM RIDE               (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 30.00    
SCR  STOWAWAY               (beckman whitw)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
 
CD-7   06/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Wise Dan Purse ($500K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:114 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 11½ (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.00 51% 0.90 0.70 W
3  CHASING THE CROWN 3 5 64 63 64 23 21½ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 17% 5.00 3.07 P
1  STRONG TIDE 1 1 2½ 31½ 42½ 33 32¾ (lauer micha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00 43.09  
5  WIN FOR THE MONEY 5 4 53½ 42 32 43¼ 44¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 4.90  
6  EXAULTED 6 6 42½ 52½ 53½ 66¾ 510 (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 6.00  
4  JOHNY'S FIREBALL 4 3 32 2½ 2½ 54¾ 611¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00 20.45  
 
CD-8   06/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Fasig-Tipton Fleur Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:124 1:364   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SCYLLA 4 6 64½ 64 62¼ 1½ 1¼ (mott i)CASTELLANO J 121 1.20 53% 0.90 0.91 W
2  SHOTGUN HOTTIE 2 4 31½ 31½ 41¼ 51½ 2¼ (devaux cherie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 3.12  
3  TAXED 3 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 31¼ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 13.09 S
5  OCCULT 5 2 42 42 31 3½ 43½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8.63  
6  XIGERA 6 5 53½ 52½ 51¾ 41 55 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 4.14  
1  FREE LIKE A GIRL 1 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 64½ 66¼ (pomier dev)LANERIE J 119 6.00 14% 6.40 11.90  
 
CD-9   06/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM American Derby Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:12 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BRILLIANT BERTI 8 6 53½ 52 31 1½ 12¼ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5.58  
7  FIRST WORLD WAR 7 5 42½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 22¼ (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.00 33% 2.00 4.19 P
1  GREEN LIGHT 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 33¼ (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.40 0.83 S
4  LAGYNOS 4 3 32½ 41½ 41½ 42½ 43½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.50 12.04  
5  AGATE ROAD 5 8 76 74½ 62¾ 54 54½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 16% 5.10 6.83  
6  DEPICTION 6 4 64½ 63 72¾ 64¼ 64½ (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 16.17  
3  FREEDOM PRINCIPLE 3 2 21 3½ 51¾ 75¾ 79¼ (garoffalo jose)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 53.12  
2  MOONLIGHT 2 7 87½ 86 86¼ 88¾ 810½ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 22.03  
 
CD-10   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kelly's Landing Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:22 :44 1:082     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 6 1 32 31   12½ 11½ (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 41% 1.40 1.44 W
7  ANGKOR 7 3 42½ 43   22½ 21½ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 9.30  
5  HOIST THE GOLD 5 7 53½ 53½   32½ 32 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 17% 5.00 4.73 S
4  TEJANO TWIST 4 8 811 88½   65¼ 43¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 4.00 5.10  
3  RYVIT 3 5 1nk 1nk   43 56¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 27.71  
1  ANARCHIST 1 4 2nk 2nk   53¼ 68¼ (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 6.00 3.65  
2  SPANKSTER 2 6 65½ 67½   78¼ 710 (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 121 15.00 66.56  
8  BANGO 8 2 76 78   810¼ 812½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 8% 11.20 8.73  
 
CD-11   06/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Stephen Foster Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:114 1:353   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KINGSBARNS 6 3 41¾ 42 31 11½ 12½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 12% 7.30 9.95 W
1  PYRENEES 1 4 31½ 31½ 51½ 33 22½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 10.33  
9  SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 8 6 2nk 2½ 2½ 43½ 32½ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 4.26  
2  FIRST MISSION 2 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 21½ 43¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.20 58% 0.70 0.93  
8  STEAL SUNSHINE 7 2 52¾ 63 73½ 56 56¼ (dibona robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 35.82  
4  DISARM 3 8 62¾ 52½ 41½ 66½ 67¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.07  
6  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 5 5 84 73½ 62½ 77½ 78½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 124 30.00 42.51  
5  DREAMLIKE 4 7 73 84 85 89 89¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 11.55  
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN               (pessin l)LANERIE J 124 30.00    
 
CD-12   06/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tepin Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DANCING N DIXIE 7 5 65½ 77 73¼ 72¾ 1¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 32% 2.10 4.89 W
2  MO FOX GIVIN 2 1 54 55 51¾ 31 2¼ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.95 P
3  KATHYNMARISSA 3 8 76 67 61¾ 41½ 3¾ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 7.07  
5  POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) 4 3 43½ 44½ 41¼ 51½ 42¼ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 10% 8.90 2.25  
11  JUST BETTER 8 6 21 21 1nk 2½ 52½ (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 10.90  
6  MY BRAZILIAN GIRL 5 7 87 89 85¼ 84¾ 62½ (wadsworth kathle)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00 81.44  
1  SIMPLY IN FRONT 1 4 32½ 33½ 2nk 1½ 72¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 5.96  
8  PIPSY (IRE) 6 2 11 11 3.2 61¾ 88 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 26% 2.80 2.47  
SCR  DOZEN DIAMONDS               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE)               (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  VOODOO MAGIC (FR)               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.