Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.92 $3.92  
CD-2   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.24  
CD-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.92  
CD-4   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
CD-5   Win (7/5/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.12 $4.12  
CD-6   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.44 $3.44  
CD-7   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.92 $2.92  
CD-8   Win (6/7/3/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $12.70 $12.70 2.70
CD-9   Win (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
CD-10   Win (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.82 $7.82  
CD-11   Win (9/8/7/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCOMING TRAIN 2 2 1½ 1nk   11 1hd (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.00 27% 2.80 0.96 W
WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER 4 3 2½ 2nk   21 2hd (rouck l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 3.04  
JAHEZ 5 4 42 3   33 34 (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 125 15.00 24.48  
LEGENDARY LORE 3 1 32 42   43 4 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 36% 1.80 1.84  
CRIMINAL DEFENSE 1 5 510 510   510 512 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 14.13  
SCR  CHITWOOD               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00    
 
CD-2   06/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:113 1:234   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER LOU ANN 5 5 53 5 53 4¼ 1nk (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.62  
FOR THE FLAG 4 3 42 4 3 3.2 2nk (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.71 P
NOT SO CLOSE 2 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 3 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 4.91  
BLING 3 1 21 21 2nk 2nk 43 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 34% 2.00 8.32  
NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) 1 4 3 32 4 5 5 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 2.42  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas ignacio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :471       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFTWIND 5 7 5 5   2½ 1 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 3.50 1.46  
MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 2 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 2 (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.58 P
FLASH WEAR 3 5 31 3   31 33 (vance d)LANERIE J 119 15.00 8.03  
WHITELICK ROAD 1 1 1½ 1nk   42 47 (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 15.25  
COMBATTANTE 7 4 4 4   54 5 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 7.03  
MERCY OTIS 6 6 74 7   6 6 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 31.52  
INDY'S UNIVERSE 4 2 6 6   76 711¼ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 71% 0.40 1.88  
SCR  EVIE'S EYEBROWS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  MY LADY BAE               (atras rob)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:101 1:223   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY WALK 1 2 3 33 11 1 1 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.45 W
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 2 4 21 2nk 31 2 2 (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 5.18  
WINDY BAY 5 1 11 1nk 21 3 3 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.05 S
CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 6 66 5 6 5 4 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.03  
THORNY 3 5 5 6 4 47 512¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 3.82  
LADY MERCEDES 6 3 4 4 57 69 618½ (forster t)LANERIE J 124 12.00 12.90  
SCR  CLASSIC PERFORMER               (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
 
CD-5   06/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTONTONIAN 7 7 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.06 W
DEEPLY HIDDEN 3 2 33 31   2½ 2 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 12.72  
MISSED THE TURN 2 5 56 4   4 35 (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.98  
OPTICAL 8 8 9 9   57 4 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9% 10.00 17.72  
SWEET FANTASY 5 3 1½ 2nk   33 59 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 20% 4.10 3.19  
MISTER WOODFORD 1 1 4 5   7 611 (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 15.00 41.58  
COMING IN HOT 6 9 87 6   6 713 (ennis john)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.23  
SERGEANT CAPPS 4 6 6 7   810½ 814½ (capps a)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 19.77  
10  MENDELLO 10 4 77 8   912 916½ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 82.10  
SAND CAST 9 10 1010 1011¾   1016 1027 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 9% 10.00 11.20  
 
CD-6   06/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :442       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.20 62% 0.60 0.72 W
BUSHIDO 2 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 10.68  
B D VALESKI 7 7 8 8   64 33 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.95 S
CHISELER 1 3 3 4   33 4 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 48.23  
RITHM NIC 5 4 7 5   54 5 (maker michael )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 21.77  
ZOOMBIE 3 8 63 7   75 6 (walsh d)TORRES A 121 12.00 12.61  
CLEAR THE AIR 4 5 52 6   8 75 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 16% 5.40 7.88  
COUNTERSTRIKE 8 6 4 3   4 8 (ennis john)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 3.86  
 
CD-7   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chicago Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:081     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAHVA 3 1 22 21   1nk 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00 51% 0.90 0.46 W
POSITANO SUNSET 5 3 4 4   33 2 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 17.58  
SOCIETY 1 2 12 11   2nk 3 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 23% 3.30 2.10 S
CHI TOWN LADY 4 5 58 59   57 4 (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.79  
ROYAL SPA 2 4 32 32   4 510¼ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 24.29  
 
CD-8   06/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLED 2 7 5 55 4 13 18 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 13% 6.60 5.35 W
GENETICS 4 3 43 4 2nk 23 28 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 41% 1.40 2.61 P
11  CARARRA 9 5 89 811½ 87 46 3 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 38.82 S
SUSTANCIA 7 1 2½ 21 1nk 33 412 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 125 10.00 8% 11.00 5.95  
KISS ME AGAIN 1 4 1½ 11 3½ 5 513¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 13.33  
10  NOT GUILTY 8 9 78 7 7 7 614¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 11.42  
QUEEN OF PARIS 5 6 65 6 64 6 716 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80 1.79  
MURPHY'S GIFT 6 2 32 3 53 810¾ 825½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 12.00 14.53  
JOELMA 3 8 910½ 912½ 919 925¾ 958½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 26.17  
SCR  PENNY ROYAL               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  SAVE TIME               (brown c)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
 
CD-9   06/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINK'S PALACE 2 5 5 5   3½ 14 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.35 W
HERE U COME AGAIN 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 24 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 46% 1.20 2.39 P
SHE CALLED 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 34 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 8% 11.90 4.57 S
BLUE SQUALL 1 7 4 3   4¾ 4 (morse randy)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.17  
AMY Z 6 1 6 6   5 59 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 33.07  
TIPSY TAMMY 3 6 31 4   6 611 (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 7.55  
10  GEORGE'S HONEY 7 4 7 7   7 717 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5.44  
SCR  CARESS               (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  HATTIE T               (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  WHAT'S CRACKIN               (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-10   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY IS A CHOICE 6 3 21 2nk   12 1 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 18% 4.40 2.91 W
SCOTLAND 3 4 3 52   22 2 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 35% 1.90 1.48 P
SURVEILLANCE 7 2 42 31   32 3 (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 5.20  
TRACK MATE 2 6 5 6   64 4 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 3.44  
RADICAL RIGHT 1 7 6 4   4 5 (bogle fergus)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.74  
EYE WITNESS 4 1 11 1nk   53 67 (caramori caio)TORRES A 121 12.00 21.18  
PAYNE 5 5 7 7   7 7 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 12.00 11% 7.90 12.01  
SCR  CHAMPLIN               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   06/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:131 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRANDA RIGHTS 6 1 21 21 2nk 12 12 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90 2.15 W
SCOOBIE QUANDO 2 3 43 4 32 3 22 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 9.74  
12  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 9 5 32 32 4 22 3 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.86 S
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 7 9 8 85 8 66 4 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 28% 2.60 6.06  
HARLOCAP 1 6 64 63 5 4 5 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 12.00 3.84  
TRES SOLES 3 4 7 7 6 7 6 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 20.09  
10  BAKWENA 8 8 9 9 9 8 7 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00 37.91  
FAIR DINKUM 5 2 11 11 1nk 56 8 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 17% 4.90 4.62  
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 4 7 53 53 7 9 910¼ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.63  
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer a)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH               (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.