Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.68 $6.68  
CD-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.46 $3.46  
CD-3   Win (10/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.36 $8.36 2.36
CD-4   Win (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.74 $9.74 1.74
CD-5   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $12.36 $12.36 4.36
CD-6   Win (8/11/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
CD-7   Win (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.66 $6.66  
CD-8   Win (10/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $12.64  
CD-9   Win (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $3.88 $3.88  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIXWILLBERICH 3 2 11 1½ 11 1 1¾ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 125 2.00 12% 7.60 2.34 W
QUEBRANCHO 1 4 3 3 32 3 2¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 11% 8.10 2.92 P
MASTER OF THE NITE 5 5 21 2½ 21 2 3 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.88 S
AMERICAN RAIDER 6 3 6 64 54 44 4 (santamaria carlo)ASHTON GAVIN 125 3.50 52% 0.90 2.99  
COAL BOSS 4 1 4 42 4 5 515¾ (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 13.29  
SKY KEY 7 6 52 5 6 612 626 (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 32.51  
RIGHT ON TARGET 2 7 7 74 77 716 736¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 3.82  
 
CD-2   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER ROSE 3 2 1½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 54% 0.90 0.73 W
SISTER KISSES 1 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 11.37  
SING A LITTLE SONG 2 4 5 4   32 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 10.80  
LA LA ROSE 5 6 3 32   43 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30 2.29  
MUSTANG LADY 4 5 6 6   5 5 (newton troy)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 32.14  
MARMALADE SKYE 6 3 4 5   66 610 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 123 3.00 6.36  
 
CD-3   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURSE THIEF 3 3 3 3   2nk 1 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 18% 4.60 3.18 W
CONCRETE CRUISER 2 6 54 5   3 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.31 P
BEIJING BOSS 4 1 1½ 1½   1nk 3 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 17.82  
13  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 10 10 6 4   42 4 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 3.00 3.04  
10  AKINMUSIRE 8 9 10 77   6 5 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 57% 0.80 1.88  
FINANCIAL WHIZ 5 2 2½ 2½   5 6 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 66.21  
11  TURNBUCKLE 9 8 9 10   8 78 (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 41.47 DH
REB 7 4 75 8   7 78 (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 33.20 DH
NO MOR STONES 6 5 44 65   10 914¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 17.28  
SPIRIT RAGS 1 7 8 9   9 1015¼ (salas feli)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 21.35  
SCR  GALLO DE FUEGO               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  GALPIN SUNDAY               (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
SCR  MISBEHAVIN               (andrade hugo)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
SCR  SERATA SIX               (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  SKYNET               (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  SWEET FANTASY               (casse mark)TORRES A 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
END OF INNOCENCE 1 1 1 11   1 1 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 34% 1.90 3.87 W
DESPO'S DREAM 2 4 4 57   3 2 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7.33  
BOLD APPEAL 3 2 2 21   2 3 (moquett e)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 10% 8.70 4.13 S
PATTY VAN TWINKLE 5 5 57 4   45 48 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 2.00 23% 3.40 0.77  
HEDGE THESE BETS 6 6 67 6   610½ 514 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 124 20.00 51.47  
GALADINI 4 3 35 3   5 616¾ (shirer a)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 18.40 17.17  
SWEET LILIBET 7 7 7 711   712½ 719¼ (walsh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 17.41  
SCR  SPICEY VALENTINE               (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   06/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELUSIVE TARGET 4 3 4 7 5 4¾ 1¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.30 5.18 W
BLACK POWDER 3 5 21 21 1nk 1nk 2¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.08 P
PHANTOM RIDE 1 1 31 31 4 3.2 3¼ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00 7.96  
INEXORABLE 6 6 7 5 6 5 4 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 35% 1.90 6.03  
BACKGROUND 2 2 11 11 2nk 2nk 5 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 5.56  
MASTER GAME 7 7 8 8 7 8 6 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 10% 8.70 9.25  
O P FIRECRACKER 5 4 6 6 8 6 73 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 3.00 3.34  
PERFECT FLIGHT 8 8 53 4 3½ 7 813 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.17  
 
CD-6   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:212 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LITE IT UP LOUIE 8 2 5 2   2nk 12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 11% 8.10 2.20 W
SHERBET FOUNTAIN 6 4 4 1   1nk 22 (joseph saffie )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 6% 15.80 7.20 P
MOTOWN MIKA 4 5 6 4   33 3 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 7.04 S
12  QUIERO DINERO 9 7 8 7   44 4 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 52.00  
VIRASANA 5 8 7 65   55 5 (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.60 61% 0.60 0.89  
R QUEEN CANDY 2 6 3 55   68 614¼ (van tho)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 18.80  
10  COLLECT A LIL 7 9 911¼ 910¾   812½ 718 (roberson dennis)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 75.43  
ALMOND FUDGE 1 3 1½ 33   7 822¼ (gowan william)ROCCO S 118 20.00 39.41  
DO YOU REALIZE 3 1 2½ 8   915 930½ (tooley jenni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 56.22  
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 123 15.00    
SCR  ICED MOCHA               (werre )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 12.00    
SCR  MRS. RIP               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :454 1:092     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE FORCE 7 1 1½ 1½   13 15 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.80 22% 3.50 2.33 W
DISCREET MISCHIEF 1 5 77 6   6 25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 42% 1.40 0.67 P
EDIFIED 4 6 32 3½   23 3 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11.74  
RISK IT 2 2 42 4   3 46 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 15% 5.50 6.54  
MISSION BEACH 6 7 54 53   5 5 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
EPIC BATTLE 5 4 2½ 2½   44 68 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 20.00 39.94  
MAGIC GRANT 3 3 6 710½   713½ 716 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 62.30  
 
CD-8   06/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:114 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY'S FABLE 2 4 56 54 54 1½ 1½ (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 5.32  
RECKONING FORCE 7 2 43 32 32 4¾ 2½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 15% 5.90 4.82 P
GEORGIE W 5 5 1 1 1 3½ 3 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 28.87  
DEER DISTRICT 3 1 2 2 2 2½ 4 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 29% 2.40 2.57  
GENTLE SOUL 8 8 811 9 8 7 5 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 15.51  
EL KABONG 6 7 7 6 66 6 65 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 9.57  
10  CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) 9 3 33 42 4 5 7 (moger jr)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.50 33% 2.00 5.99  
RISK MANAGER 1 9 911¼ 8 9 8 8 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5.08  
AMERICAN DIAMOND 4 6 6 7 7 9 9 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.39  
SCR  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN               (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  FAIR DINKUM               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  HARLOCAP               (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer a)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  LINCOLN HIGHWAY               (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  SCOOBIE QUANDO               (colebrook b)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   06/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  UP ON THE EDGE 8 5 42 4   21 11 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 70% 0.40 0.94 W
GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 1 8 11 1   11 21 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 5.11 P
QUEEN ANNA T 5 6 21 2   54 3 (mckeever andrew)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 6.57  
NAUGHTY MISS 2 7 7 7   6 43 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.72  
COMPUTADORA (ARG) 6 2 52 3   3 54 (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 5.16  
CHIQUITA REINA 4 3 6 6   44 6 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 12.00 17.19  
BRIGHT LADY DAY 7 1 86 5   7 75 (jackson chris)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 70.40  
KATE'S CONCERTO 3 4 3 8   8 811 (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
12  UNION DAME 9 9 9 9   911¼ 918¾ (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 18.00  
SCR  GRACE GIVEN               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.50    
SCR  MIKEY'S MAGIC GAL               (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  MISS MAXIMUS               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA               (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.