Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
CD-2   Win (3/2/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.32 $7.32  
CD-3   Win (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.38 $10.38 2.38
CD-4   Win (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.18 $4.18  
CD-5   Win (2/6/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $17.10  
CD-6   Win (10/4/7/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.78 $5.78  
CD-7   Win (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.22 $3.22  
CD-8   Win (3/9/4/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.36 $8.36  
CD-9   Win (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.86 $6.86  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADEERA 3 1 1nk 1nk   13 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 12% 7.20 1.74 W
SALTED 4 3 2nk 2nk   23 2 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.93 P
SUPER MAXIMA 5 2 34 35   36 35 (seglin e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.24 S
COMBATTANTE 6 6 46 4   49 410¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 26.04  
MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN 2 4 69 610½   511 513 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 4.65  
HEY SCOOTER 1 5 5 5   612 614¼ (cash l)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 11.68  
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY               (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50    
SCR  TOODLE LOO               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:103     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITE IT UP LOUIE 2 4 3 4   2nk 1 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.66 W
PATTY VAN TWINKLE 6 5 64 5   1nk 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00 10.04 P
GRACE GIVEN 1 10 9 105   5 38 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 17% 5.00 8.46 S
PRISON BOUND 5 11 7 7   45 4 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 12.99  
GALADINI 4 3 1½ 1nk   33 510 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 4.18  
NO MAP NEEDED 8 9 10 9   8 612 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 8.00 11.63  
14  MOON FLEET 11 8 85 8   7 712½ (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 5.27  
10  MIRANDA 9 1 4 3½   6 815½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 31.61  
RETAIL THERAPY 3 6 53 6   9 918 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 25% 3.10 12.59  
MISS RUTH 7 2 2½ 2nk   1010¾ 1025 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10.25  
11  ANDREA BEACH 10 7 11 118   1115¼ 1133¼ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 124 20.00 7% 12.90 20.19  
SCR  BELIVE N THE DREAM               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLDYS LOCK               (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO               (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00    
 
CD-3   05/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAGAN'S FLAME 6 5 2nk 32   23 11 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 44% 1.30 4.19 W
THREE POLKS 5 1 1nk 1½   13 21 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 4.92  
SHE'S COOL 3 8 6 44   46 3 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 23% 3.40 2.12 S
BALLADRY 1 4 5 2½   33 4 (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.19  
QUIERO DINERO 8 7 8 6   6 510½ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 12.82  
MRS. RIP 2 6 7 88   710½ 610¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
BEST KISS YET 4 3 4 5   5 712½ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 4.10  
SISTER ELLA 7 2 31 7   812 819¾ (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9% 9.90 9.40  
SCR  RED HOT JEANIE               (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00    
 
CD-4   05/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALINA'S FORTE 3 2 3 1½   12 12 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 23% 3.30 1.09 W
TANYA SHOWERS 4 7 64 3   22 22 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 5% 17.30 7.50 P
TRIAL 6 5 5 5   44 3 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 15.30  
LET THEM WATCH 1 4 2 42   3 48 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 31.36  
MS. TART 5 6 76 7   77 58 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 6.96  
HONEY DIJON 7 3 43 6   66 610 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 16% 5.30 7.27  
HOT BEACH 2 1 1 2½   5 714¾ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.58  
 
CD-5   05/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND BEST 8 6 9 9 6 5 1nk (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 7.55  
PIKE PLACE 2 2 5 5 42 41 2nk (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 35% 1.80 3.09 P
EXPENSIVE CUT 4 5 2nk 2nk 2½ 1nk 3½ (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 2.30  
PERFECT FLIGHT 6 8 4 31 3½ 2nk 4 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 6.80 3.37  
HERN 1 1 8 8 7 6 55 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 12.00 8% 11.70 26.51  
PIPES AND DRUMS 5 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 3½ 6 (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 16.50  
HE'S GOT THIS 9 7 7 6 5 7 711¾ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 10.15  
SOUTHERN SUNSET 7 9 6 7 88 812¾ 831¼ (shorter aaro)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.51  
COLOSSEO 3 4 3.2 4 9 915¾ 938¾ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11% 8.40 11.42  
 
CD-6   05/31/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPICTION 4 10 11 11 5 32 1¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.89 W
11  UNLEASH THE POWER 11 11 7 7 8 44 2¼ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 12.69  
10  DOUBLE CLUTCH 10 1 11 11 1 12 3¾ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 28% 2.50 2.86 S
TIVERTON (GB) 1 6 5 3 3 22 4 (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 21.05  
12  CARCANO 12 8 12 12 12 8 55 (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 9% 9.70 19.29  
THREE ON THE TREE 3 9 84 8 11 10 66 (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 38.86  
DECANTED 9 3 6 4 42 5 76 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.50 6.91  
RANSOMWARE 6 2 21 21 2 6 8 (damato philip)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 9.41  
GO BALI GO 8 7 10 9 9 9 9 (nance jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 124 30.00 92.73  
GATLINBURG 7 5 42 63 6 7 108 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 10.00 15% 5.80 7.12  
BOLT FROM ABOVE 2 12 95 10 10 12 11 (brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 15.00 48.33  
ROYAL MENDE 5 4 31 5 75 118 1212¼ (davis christophe)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 25.27  
SCR  BEAN MACHINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  BROWN LIQUOR MAN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR               (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (mott i)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:093 1:22   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 1 1 3½ 32 2½ 1nk 1 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 56% 0.80 0.61 W
RUNNIN' RAY 6 4 42 4 54 43 2 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 17% 4.80 8.60 P
HAPPY AMERICAN 3 3 5 56 42 2nk 3 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15.77  
DENINGTON 5 6 617½ 621 614 6 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 2.59  
U. S. ARMY 4 5 2nk 2nk 1½ 3 55 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 13.35  
HOWLING TIME 2 2 1nk 1nk 3 5 6 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 11.05  
SCR  PATS PROPERTY               (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 30.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 117 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/31/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:251 :513 1:16 1:392   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT SAY THEE 4 6 42 3 32 1nk 1¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 15% 5.70 3.18 W
12  NOISES OFF 9 3 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 2¼ (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 3.25  
MIRANDA RIGHTS 5 2 31 4 42 5 3¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 5.53  
BEUYS (IRE) 3 5 6 63 5 4 4 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 29% 2.50 4.02  
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 7 8 8 8 8 7 52 (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 21% 3.80 4.96  
DESERT DUKE 6 1 21 2½ 2½ 3.2 6 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 21.42  
FREEDOM'S WAY 1 4 5 5 6 6 7 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 8% 11.00 17.50  
O P FIRECRACKER 2 7 7 74 7 8 84 (medina rober)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 11.99  
11  BAKWENA 8 9 9 96 9 9 95 (miller darri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.21  
SCR  CAMARO Z               (foley greg)LANERIE J 116 15.00    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  HUGE BIGLY               (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50    
SCR  VERBAL               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:122 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR GREYLIND 7 2 21 21 2½ 1 1 (forster t)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.43 W
LIAM'S JOURNEY 4 1 11 11 1½ 2 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 42% 1.40 4.10 P
10  BAYTOWN BRUISER 8 5 32 43 3 3 3 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 48.28  
BRILLIANT MAN 2 8 85 87 67 5 4 (reed r)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 5.29  
MO RHODES 6 7 6 6 55 6 5 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00 13.16  
WHO'S THE KING 1 3 42 3 44 4 6 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 2.61  
MONTEVALLO 5 6 53 55 77 7 710½ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.25  
I'M YOUR MAN 3 4 7 76 8 8 811 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
SCR  HAWKS CREEK               (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SCR  PATCH O'BRIEN               (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.