Handicappers' Race Results

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Miles City
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MC-2   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MC-3   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
MC-4   Win (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $13.00  
MC-5   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.80  
MC-11   Win (5/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
MC-13   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.20  

Simulator Race results

 
MC-2   05/19/2024 1980ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:311         :311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREFLOWER 2 2       1 1 (meineke jessica)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.40 4.30 DQ↓3
ALWAYS A TIZ 3 4       2 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 3.00 30% 2.40 1.00 W
BIG BLUE NOTE 4 1       3 3 (warren kay)BENN J 126 8.00 2.70  
LA ROSA DRIVE 1 3       4 46 (falls jos)JOURNET JARRED 126 9.00 28% 2.50 4.20  
POSEIDON'S MAGIC 5 5       510½ 515 (fitzpatrick r)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 12.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
SCR  FINISHWHATUSTARTED               (conway e)GAMEZ M 126 3.50    
SCR  KISS RIDE GOODBYE               (conway e)BEETEM BRIAN 126 10.00    
 
MC-3   05/19/2024 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN CORDELIA 4 1 31 3½   31 1 (brewer j)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.50 25% 3.00 4.00 W
LONESHILOHSPECIAL 1 2 2½ 1nk   21 2 (haar amanda)WOOD DAKOTA 126 7.00 9.90  
STOLEN HALO 5 4 4 42   43 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 2.00 45% 1.20 2.40 S
SASSY CAT 2 3 1½ 2nk   11 45 (johnson robert)BETHKE A 126 4.00 10% 9.50 1.10  
BONNIE AND 3 5 5 55   57 513¾ (haar j)DELORME L 126 5.00 3.80  
 
MC-4   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
1:251         1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC IN A HAT 6 6 1½ 12   12 1 (schindler jeff)WOOD DAKOTA 121 3.50 5.50  
BIG HEARTED FACTOR 3 5 4 22   22 2 (brewer j)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
ASTERN BANKER 1 2 5 33   34 3 (olson kenn)BENN J 126 12.00 6.60  
ZOE'S PAPA CEE 5 3 3 4   46 47 (allery mar)SEESTHEGROUND KOBY 126 3.00 17% 4.90 8.60  
WITCHY WINDSOR 2 4 710½ 65   510 513 (crooked dale)GAMEZ M 121 4.50 4.60  
NATE'S REVENGE 7 7 2½ 5   613 617½ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 6.00 14% 6.30 4.90  
EL CENTENARIO 4 1 6 7100   7100 7100 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 2.50 30% 2.30 1.90  
 
MC-5   05/19/2024 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH SEA 5 3 54 22   2 1nk (nelson buck)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 3.90  
FASCINATED 2 2 1 12   1 2nk (schindler )SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 126 3.00 24% 3.10 9.00 P
ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY 6 1 2 3   3 36 (hanson m)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 S
KREWS PASS 1 4 3 4   4 4 (cavanaugh perry)GAMEZ M 126 6.00 7.30  
AS LUCK HAPPENS 3 5 43 56   511½ 515½ (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.00 18% 4.50 1.20  
BIG CITY BOY 4 6 610 610   612½ 616¾ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 3.50 2.80  
 
MC-11   05/19/2024 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:02
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAYETTE WARRIOR 4 1 3 2nk   2nk 1 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 8.00 26% 2.80 3.50 W
WISKEY CROWN 6 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2 (warren kayla)DELORME L 126 2.50 4.20  
SHARP WARNING 1 6 5 33   32 34 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 126 6.00 13% 6.60 8.10 S
SAN GIORGIO 5 5 67 4   43 4 (warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 35% 1.90 4.00  
BIBLEMAN 2 2 4 6   54 5 (jones j)LARSEN S 126 12.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
ARIZONA STEPHEN 7 4 2½ 5   6 67 (greer randy)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.50 5.10  
THE BONDSMAN 3 7 79 7   7 712½ (cross p)GAMEZ M 126 4.50 10.40  
 
MC-13   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
1:251         1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 6 4 3 1nk   2½ 1 (crooked da)BETHKE A 126 2.50 2.60  
BRUIN MAGIC 5 1 12 2nk   1½ 2 (johnson ro)BENN J 126 3.00 36% 1.80 1.40 P
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE 2 3 4 43   44 3 (schindler jeff)WOOD DAKOTA 126 6.00 6% 15.50 6.20 S
DAAHERS BULLY 4 2 22 32   3 4 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 4.50 20% 3.90 2.60  
CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 5 5 56   58 511½ (nelson buck)IRONEYES R 126 8.00 10.30  
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 3 6 611½ 612   614 633 (falls jo)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 3.50 13.40  
SCR  CHISMOSO               (fitzpatrick ry)JOURNET JARRED 126 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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