Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 1 $4.38 $4.38 2.38
CD-2   Win (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $15.12  
CD-3   Win (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.44  
CD-4   Win (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
CD-5   Win (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
CD-6   Win (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.94 $11.94 3.94
CD-7   Win (4/3/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $23.44  
CD-8   Win (8/10/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.76  
CD-9   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.48  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 4 3 3 2   1 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.19 W
HONEY RUN 2 4 44 4   2 2 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 4.50 1.05  
COINMAKER 1 2 2nk 32   4 311 (heitzman eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 11.60  
HOPE OVER FEAR 3 1 1nk 1   3 418½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 4.27  
SCR  LA TOURISTA               (pino michael )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX               (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINEGAR HILL 3 2 1½     1½ 1 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6.56  
INDIGO WIND 6 4 2½     2½ 2 (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 13% 6.60 4.99 P
CHADO 8 5 32     32 35 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70 6.50 S
EL DANDI 7 7 43     45 49 (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 10.00 5% 19.00 5.86  
ACE IT 4 8 8     5 5 (chapman jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 5.98  
COST OF WAR 1 3 6     6 6 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.96  
SLANDEROUS 2 1 7     89 711¼ (mccutchen )SANTANA JR 116 12.00 19.07  
SWEET MO B 5 6 5     7 816¼ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 8.63  
 
CD-3   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE COOL DUDE 6 2 4 4   2½ 1 (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 7.72  
SPYCRAFT 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 2 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 39% 1.60 2.31 P
MAN ON THE MOON 5 6 66 53   42 3 (vance thomas)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 20.97  
SAMURAI PRINCE 7 3 3 3½   3½ 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 30% 2.30 1.63  
RAM 4 7 76 7   5 5 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 3.36  
UPSTRIKER 3 5 5 65   66 6 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.48  
TROPIC STORM 2 1 2½ 2½   7 712 (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.94  
 
CD-4   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUNDS IN TOWN 5 2 2nk     13 1 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
INDY'S UNIVERSE 2 7 6     4 2 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.50 2.48 P
GLAMOURCENTS 3 4 3     23 3 (lightner mar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 44% 1.30 2.35 S
DELICATE 1 3 7     3 4 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 8% 11.30 6.48  
SEVILLA 7 6 5     6 5 (gutier)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 11.52  
BAYTOWN STORM 6 5 43     55 6 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 12.00 10.52  
VONGOLE 4 1 1nk     7 716 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 6.20  
SCR  EMY               (torres erick )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
SCR  STIRRING UP DUST               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PELICAN LANE 3 4 4 3½   1 1 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.55 W
GRAYTON 5 2 1½ 1½   2 2 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 19% 4.40 2.00 P
MIDWAY VOW 4 3 53 44   4 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 12% 7.50 4.93 S
ROCKAWAY REEF 1 5 3 5   5 4 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 8.45  
CLOSING PRAYER 7 1 2½ 2½   34 5 (baker james)ROCCO S 118 12.00 13.65  
E B ZOOM BABY 2 6 77 6   611 615¼ (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.24  
CHIC N DA WADDA 6 7 6 7   716 727¾ (toye lin)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 15.00 25.98  
SCR  VINO VERITAS               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
CD-6   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS CRUISER 2 1 21 21   1½ 1 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.97 W
LEND IT TEWMEY 5 3 42 31   2½ 2 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 18% 4.60 13.42 P
SPURRIER 1 4 11 11   32 3 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 5.46  
CANAVALL 3 5 32 4   4 4 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.80 27% 2.70 0.76  
SAINT ROCCO 4 6 5 53   5 512 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 19.30  
LAZARUS 6 7 64 64   6 613 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 10.00 9.31  
FIRE WIRE 7 2 75 7   79 714 (roberson de)BEALMEAR C 113 20.00 34.78  
MAKE IT SPEND IT 8 8 811 810   812 825¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.31  
 
CD-7   05/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE UNITED 6 1 21 21 2 22 1nk (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 10.72  
CARNITINE 3 2 11 11 1 12 2nk (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 29% 2.40 3.22 P
ASK ARTHUR 7 4 43 5 4 3 3 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 18.24 S
GLENBROOK GERRY 5 9 8 7 6 5 411¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.11  
REYNOLDS CHANNEL 4 3 5 32 3 4 512½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.66  
10  YELL COUNTY 9 7 65 6 55 69 616½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 17% 4.80 10.18  
MR SCATTER 1 8 9 9 99 712 716¾ (correas ig)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 41.87  
ACCONA 2 5 7 8 89 814 828½ (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 53.34  
CODE WORD 8 6 32 42 77 916½ 929¾ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 30.40  
SCR  TAPIT FOR THE WIN               (danner kels)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:133 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 3 1 21 2 21 1 1 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 2.38  
ZAWISH 5 4 4 4 4 32 2 (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.33 P
GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) 8 6 65 65 6 7 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 66% 0.50 3.71 S
EMBRACE ME 6 9 76 76 77 6 4 (rutledge la)TORRES A 122 15.00 13.72  
SECRET STATEMENT 2 5 32 3 3 42 5 (baker james)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 6.86  
10  QUALITY STAR 10 10 109 10 1010½ 8 6 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 7% 13.50 9.09  
BEST PERFORMER 4 3 54 5 54 5 7 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.38  
WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 9 7 87 9 89 9 8 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 29.01  
HONEY HAULER 1 2 11 1 11 2 9 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 13.56  
FLATTER ME SILLY 7 8 9 8 910½ 10 1010 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10.75  
SCR  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB)               (motion graham)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
SCR  STEEL RACER               (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  SUNNY ISLE BEACH               (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OATH OF ALLEGIANCE 3 1 1 11   12 13 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 2.74  
ROCKABILLIE 2 3 4 5   22 23 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.39 P
LIL TOWN SIS 1 5 3 3   3 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.50 2.91  
R QUEEN CANDY 4 6 53 4   44 4 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 33% 2.00 3.46  
WEST COAST HARBOR 5 2 2 21   55 515½ (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.50 17% 4.80 5.91  
VERY WEALTHY 6 4 6 6   610½ 624½ (lucas wayne)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 9.74  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL               (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  ESME               (king l)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.