Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-3   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-5   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-6   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
TDN-7   Win (2/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TDN-8   Win (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $20.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR NOVEL 5 2 21 2nk 1 1½ 1¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 36% 1.80 0.60 W
BOSS BEAR 6 7 7 7 5 3 2¾ (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 11% 8.00 6.20 P
ITASCA 1 1 11 1nk 2 2½ 3 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 5.00 3.10  
CANDY CRUSHEM 4 5 6 4 4 4 4 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 23% 3.30 6.10  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 3 3 3 31 32 5 5 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 37.90  
DUEL FUEL 7 4 44 6 75 6 6 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
SAY HEY KID 2 6 5 5 65 7 711 (szczepanski e)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 24.70  
 
TDN-2   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR LAOBAN 4 5 43 31 2nk 1½ 1 (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 64% 0.60 1.20 W
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 3 3 2 2nk 1nk 2½ 2 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 12% 7.40 1.30 P
ELEGGUA 1 2 54 5 4 49 3 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 19.80  
DONAHUE 2 1 1 1nk 3 3 48 (faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 5% 19.00 3.20  
RAMBLIN CHROME 5 4 33 43 510½ 512½ 517½ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 14.70  
SCR  DOMI               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.00    
 
TDN-3   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY KISS 4 2 2 1nk   1 1 (cline c)BRACHO A 115 1.20 31% 2.20 0.90 W
AZ WE SPEAK 1 5 4 3   32 2 (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 1.80 3.00  
BIG FACTS 5 1 1 2nk   2 3 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 6.00 22% 3.50 1.90 S
STICK AROUND 3 4 3 4   44 4 (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.50 12.70  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 3 5 511¾   515 522¾ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
 
TDN-4   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALIZED 5 2 2½ 1nk   1 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 54% 0.90 0.70 W
STUNT MAN 4 3 1½ 2nk   2 2 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 1.80 1.70  
ELLIOT THE DRAGON 2 4 32 31   3 3 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19% 4.10 6.50 S
MAY MAYHEM 3 1 43 42   43 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 6.90  
RED COMET 1 5 55 511   512 516¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.50  
SCR  MEDIA DARLING               (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCITEMENT 2 3 24 2   1nk 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 32% 2.10 0.60 W
WILDCAT EXPRESS 4 1 14 1   2nk 2 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.30 P
RAISE THE PURSES 5 2 48 49   35 36 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.70 S
CRYPTO COPY 3 4 3 38   4 4 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 7.90  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 1 5 5 515½   517¼ 522 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 27.60  
SCR  MUTINY               (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00    
 
TDN-6   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION GIRL 3 4 32 31   21 1¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 16% 5.40 3.80 W
PRETTY PATTY 2 5 1½ 1½   11 2¾ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 1.10  
PANAMANIAC 7 1 4 43   4 3 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 40% 1.50 7.30 S
BOX STEP 6 2 2½ 2½   3 4 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 3.70  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 5 6 75 5   6 56 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 12% 7.40 25.20  
DANZA MAGIC 4 3 6 7   5 6 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 7.70  
BOSSY LADY 1 7 5 6   7 715¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
 
TDN-7   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE 2 7 2nk 1½   1nk 1nk (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 52% 0.90 2.60 W
SPARKLING JEWEL 6 2 5 5   2nk 2nk (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 7% 12.80 7.50 P
NEECHI 3 6 1nk 2½   31 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 13% 6.80 1.60 S
OAXACA 4 5 3.2 3½   42 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 5.60  
QUARANTINA 1 8 8 6   6 54 (casalinova)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 77.50  
SOMUCHSUGAR 8 1 7 8   8 68 (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 59.10  
KICHI KITSU 5 4 4¾ 4¾   5 7 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 32.40  
CORNER KICK 7 3 6 7   7 8 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 3.10  
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE               (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SWEET EMPIRE 8 1 2nk 1nk   1 1 (radcliff l)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 9.40  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 4 4 32 36   3 2 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 121 6.00 19.30  
OUT FOR FUN 6 2 6 6   58 3 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 3.70 S
BAY MAGIC 3 5 1nk 2nk   2 4 (cald)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 8% 11.30 2.90  
CONGRATS JENSEN 2 7 4 47   4 5 (cline ro)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
CAT'S RHYTHM 7 6 5 58   6 6 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 69% 0.40 1.60  
CATABOUT 5 3 74 711   7 7 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 9.30  
COSTUME JEWELRY 1 8 86 812   815¾ 819½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 15.40  
SCR  BAREFOOT BEACH               (radosevich j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
SCR  KISSTHECROSS               (cline c)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.