Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.36 $12.36 6.36
CD-2   Win (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.32 $3.32  
CD-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.94  
CD-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.28 $2.28  
CD-5   Win (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $10.52  
CD-6   Win (13/5/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.04 $9.04  
CD-7   Win (8/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $41.50  
CD-8   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.20  
CD-9   Win (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $20.94 $20.94 12.94
CD-10   Win (8/3/1/14/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $16.06 $16.06 6.06
CD-11   Win (8/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.68 $6.68  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 4 2 1nk     1½ 14 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 109 3.00 20% 3.90 5.18 W
BOTTOMS UP 3 1 2nk     2½ 24 (mccutchen )SANTANA JR 119 12.00 2.05  
HERB ELIAS 1 6 4     4 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.52 S
AMERICAN CITY 2 5 66     5 4 (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 12.00 16.91  
BAYTOWN AMY ROSE 5 3 3½     3 511¼ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
CASE ACE 6 4 55     610 617¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 4.01  
SCR  DEDOS               (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILA 106 1.80    
 
CD-2   05/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:144 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN LIGHT 2 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 16 110¼ (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 46% 1.20 0.66 W
CLOUDY HOLIDAY 4 3 6 6 4 26 210¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 12% 7.40 34.27 P
SUGAR HOOK 5 2 3 3 3 3 311¾ (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 29.93  
CABERNAYDO 3 9 9 7 75 49 411¾ (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 20% 3.90 20.25  
SPIN IT 7 7 52 42 5 510½ 515 (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6.03  
11  AK SAR BEN DERBY 11 10 10 9 10 913 615½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 61.77  
CALL ME CASSIUS 9 8 74 8 8 813 715½ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 15.00 61.16  
ACCIDENT 8 6 42 53 63 712 819½ (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.59  
UNBRIDLED PLEASURE 1 4 1½ 1nk 2½ 611½ 920¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 34.02  
SARDIS 6 11 11 11 11 1014 1021 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 7.08  
10  BOOKIE BRENT 10 5 8 10 9 1114½ 1121¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 6.00  
SCR  AMERICAN MEMORIES               (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE NEAT               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  HALF DOME (IRE)               (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY               (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:142 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT TANGO 6 3 3 3 1½ 1 1¼ (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 1.47  
ROCK STAR DOCTOR 1 5 4 42 4 2 2¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 2.64 P
DREAMING ALWAYS 4 6 6 64 6 46 3 (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 6.22  
THE CLUB 3 1 21 2½ 2½ 34 412 (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.00 41% 1.50 3.78  
CARIBBEAN NIGHT 5 4 5 5 5 611½ 524¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 123 10.00 21% 3.90 16.80  
RED SUN DRESS 2 2 11 1½ 3 511 631 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 6.74  
 
CD-4   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:254 :52 1:162 1:40   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARM 1 1 11 1 1 1½ 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 0.80 57% 0.80 0.14 W
ONTHESTAGE 3 2 21 2 2 2½ 2 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.60 P
BABA VOSS 2 4 3 32 32 32 3 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 4.89  
TEXAS RED HOT 4 3 4 4 4 4 412 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 9.93  
SCR  ALEJANDRO               (cash norman)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00    
SCR  HOWLING TIME               (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAN THE FIRE 2 3 4 52   2nk 1 (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 4.26  
WESTERN COMMAND 6 5 52 3   1nk 2 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 5.71  
PICO D'ORO 5 6 7 74   5 32 (caramori ca)TORRES A 123 3.50 52% 0.90 4.70 S
SHUFFLE DANCE 8 1 3½ 2½   42 4 (moquett e)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 11% 8.40 5.01  
SUTHERLAND 1 4 6 6   6 5 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.79 DH
BETTERING 7 8 8 8   8 5 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18.37 DH
TRUE JEDI 4 7 2nk 1½   3 7 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 12% 7.10 3.71  
ONCOMING TRAIN 3 2 1nk 42   75 810¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 9.41  
 
CD-6   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE TIME 7 7 6 6 6 3 1 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 8% 11.30 3.52 W
STRASSE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 2 (lukas way)TORRES A 118 10.00 7.57  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 5 3 86 8 5 54 3 (stewart da)SANTANA JR 126 3.00 13% 6.50 2.81 S
13  SAGITTARIUS 10 6 53 54 32 23 4 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 126 5.00 55% 0.80 4.82  
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 3 5 97 9 7 7 5 (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 27.14  
AUDEN 2 9 7 76 95 8 610 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 20.00 5% 19.00 17.86  
SIR ROCK 4 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 4 710½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 126 10.00 5% 19.00 4.64  
MASTER OF THE NITE 6 8 4 3 4 66 810¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 24.25  
10  PUCKSTER 8 1 3 4 8 9 913½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 9.43  
12  NOW IMA BELIEVER 9 10 10 10 1013 1023¾ 1047 (margolis step)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 24.22  
SCR  ADMIRAL HALL               (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILA 108 12.00    
SCR  MOVING TO KENTUCKY               (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 126 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY               (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 118 6.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito nichola)ASMUSSEN J 126 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Louisville Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:154 1:411 2:054 2:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGOI 5 2nk 1 1 11 1½ 1 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 19.75  
11  STRONG TIDE 9 4 2 2 31 2½ 2 (lauer micha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 40.32  
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 7 6 7 7 43 4 3 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.86 S
BOLD ACT (IRE) 6 95 42 4 21 3 4 (appleby charle)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.00 42% 1.40 0.70  
10  UTAH BEACH 8 8 8 8 65 55 5 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 26% 2.90 1.91  
KING CURLIN 1 31 63 6 77 7 6 (vanden brit)ROCCO S 118 30.00 24.53  
RECKONING FORCE 4 5 5 53 5 66 710¼ (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 12.00 10% 9.20 20.83  
QUADRA ISLAND 3 1nk 3 32 88 89 815¼ (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 51.28  
GUNTOWN 2 7 9 96 910 912½ 919¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 43.78  
SCR  AVENUE               (mccarthy michael)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
 
CD-8   05/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTOS DUMONT 5 2 21 21 2nk 13 1 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 2.60  
ELUSIVE TARGET 2 7 7 74 7 54 2 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 4.10  
ACCIDENTAL HERO 3 3 52 5 3 3 3 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 7.30  
KITODAN 7 6 42 3 5 44 47 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.16  
BACKGROUND 4 1 11 11 1nk 23 5 (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.99  
FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 1 5 3 4 42 6 613¼ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 45% 1.20 4.08  
AMERICAN BLAZE 6 4 6 63 6 78 719¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 17.90 11.22  
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER               (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  TRIDENT HIT               (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO LOVE 4 1 22 1   13 1 (littlefield de)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.47 W
HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 5 5 6 5   23 2 (stall m)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 45% 1.20 1.24 P
MARMALADE SKYE 1 6 4 32   3 3 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00 11.60  
VIRASANA 6 2 53 4   44 4 (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 17% 5.10 2.63  
COZEE RAGS 8 7 8 810½   5 5 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 9% 10.60 8.67  
DAZZLINGDOMINIKA 7 8 76 77   710½ 618¼ (damato philip)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 28.12  
MOTOWN DYNAMIC 3 3 12 2   6 722½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 6.22  
FLUENT 2 4 32 6   818½ 839 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 23.96  
 
CD-10   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER 8 12 107 10 74 3 1 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 7.03 W
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 6 11 12 12 9 53 2 (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 10.96  
GRAY'S FABLE 3 6 9 9 4 1nk 3 (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 5.24 S
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 7 10 11 11 12 9 4 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.29  
SCOOBIE QUANDO 2 3 84 8 11 7 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 9.46  
ESCAPE ARTIST 9 2 21 2½ 11 2nk 6 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 10.27  
LOYAL COMPANY 1 1 4 42 5 6 7 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 13% 6.50 12.36  
10  FAIR DINKUM 10 4 52 31 21 4 87 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 3.29  
14  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 12 8 7 6 63 8 910½ (esquivel je)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 8% 11.70 21.59  
12  POWERFUL 11 9 63 7 8 10 1012¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 30.00 38.72  
PACKS A WAHLOP 5 5 3 52 10 126 1113¼ (morey e)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 4.35  
MALIBU SPRINGS 4 7 11 1½ 3 11 1220½ (sweezey k)TORRES A 124 12.00 14.33  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  EXTRA ANEJO               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
 
CD-11   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:133 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUSNESS 7 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 1nk (lovell michelle)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.34 W
LETSTALKABOUTME 5 2 4 31 31 1nk 2nk (green troy)LANERIE J 118 2.50 21% 3.80 2.25 P
SANCTIFY 6 4 21 21 2½ 33 3 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 19% 4.30 7.37 S
ALICIT INTENTION 1 5 5 5 5 56 4 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 3.50 5.73  
WINE AND WAVES 3 3 31 4 42 4 5 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.77  
TIME FOR MAGIC 2 7 7 7 7 6 610½ (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 16.51  
BABY AVERY 4 6 6 6 6 712 729¾ (vance d)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 6.50  
SCR  DEFINING JOY               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.