Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
CD-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.64  
CD-3   Win (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $18.70 $18.70 10.70
CD-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.36 $9.36 3.36
CD-5   Win (10/14/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.48  
CD-6   Win (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
CD-7   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.06  
CD-8   Win (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.32 $12.32 4.32
CD-9   Win (3/1/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $23.74  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL DISPATCH 1 2 6 6 31 1 14 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 49% 1.00 1.15 W
COACH CAMPBELL 2 3 5 4 42 32 24 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.62 P
SEVEN TAYLORS 7 5 31 3 1½ 2 3 (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 12.00 12.42  
LEBOMBO 3 6 4 52 6 45 4 (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 11.99  
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 4 7 7 78 7 6 5 (atras rob)TORRES A 118 8.00 4.34  
MALIBLUE 5 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 5 618¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00 13% 6.80 7.24  
DROBNY 6 4 2nk 2½ 54 79 721 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 11% 8.50 5.33  
SCR  OATHBREAKER               (margolis r)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER HOME 4 1 1nk 1½   12 1nk (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.00 4.82  
KYLE BEAUTY 1 4 2nk 2½   22 2nk (shirer matt )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 41% 1.50 1.98 P
KITTEN CALLS 5 5 69 6   4 32 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.13  
ROSE PALACE 3 3 4 3   35 4 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.25  
ABITIBI 2 6 55 56   57 5 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 23% 3.30 2.79  
GOSHEN 6 2 3 45   69 618 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 6.76  
 
CD-3   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VODKA WITH A TWIST 4 1 1½ 1   1 11 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 14% 6.00 8.35 W
MURPHY GIRL 7 6 3 3   2 21 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 11.14  
ACHIEVE 1 3 5 54   4 3 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 38% 1.70 1.85 S
SLANG 6 2 2½ 2   55 48 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 3.40  
ANAKARINA 3 5 4 42   3 59 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 119 4.00 26% 2.90 2.41  
LA CARA 2 4 7 7   68 610¾ (casse mark)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.08  
SWIFTWIND 5 7 6 6   7 714¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 11.29  
SCR  LALILY               (hancock dan)CORREA L 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSHED ICE 2 2 4 5   2nk 1 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 6% 15.80 3.68 W
RETAIL THERAPY 4 6 2½ 1nk   1nk 2 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 61% 0.60 6.64 P
ROSE ALABAMA 1 3 31 4   31 3 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 4.40  
GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 5 4 5 2nk   4 4 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 1.42  
VINO VELOCE 6 1 62 6   5 511¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.49  
LOW KEY FLEX 3 5 1½ 3½   617½ 638 (falcone robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.29  
SCR  ARGAN               (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00    
SCR  PAM PAM               (moquett e)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR RIVER 1 1 1½ 1½   1 1¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5.24  
COMMITTEE OF ONE 6 2 6 7   2 2¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 5.00 6.06 P
RUN CARSON 2 8 3 32   3 3 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 25% 3.10 7.70 S
10  DEMOLITION DUKE 7 9 8 9   8 47 (walsh p)LANERIE J 123 2.50 28% 2.60 1.76  
POLSTER 3 3 4 5   45 57 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 15.85  
12  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 9 6 7 6   6 610¾ (dutrow rich)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 9.89  
14  SILVER HALO 10 4 2½ 2½   5 715¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 25% 3.00 4.16  
11  CIGARETTE BOAT 8 5 5 42   7 816¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 19.00  
PRETTY FAST 5 10 10 8   910¼ 919½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 36.51  
CHAMBERS BAY 4 7 9 10   1010¾ 1019¾ (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 81.56  
SCR  EASY OPERATOR               (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 30.00    
SCR  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)               (walsh d)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
SCR  PINFIRE               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
SCR  ZARTOWNIS               (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUNA KEA BOUND 5 2 21 2½   14 110¼ (ewing an)CASTANON L 123 3.00 13% 6.40 4.30 W
WRITE OFF JERRY 2 7 79 57   3 210¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 5.00 30% 2.30 3.63 P
MORE THAN FIVE 3 6 68 79   58 310¾ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.41 S
SOUND DOCTRINE 7 1 11 1½   24 413 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50 3.44  
SMOOTHDINI 4 3 5 67   6 518 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 9.16  
QUARRYMEN 6 4 4 34   46 619¼ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.00 31% 2.20 3.63  
FAMILY FACTOR 1 5 32 45   712 727 (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00 22.97  
SCR  QUENCIO               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A SPREE 3 1 4 54 3 13 1 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 2.53  
HOODLUM 5 5 3 3 11 23 2 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 3.92  
GUN RUSH 6 4 56 43 5 38 314 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.74 S
SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) 1 3 1nk 1½ 21 48 417 (sanchez ama)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.19  
NEPAL UP 2 6 610½ 67 64 510½ 521¼ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 2.98  
P H FACTOR 4 2 2nk 2½ 42 616½ 641¾ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 19% 4.30 9.10  
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS               (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 6.00    
SCR  KNIGHT'S CROSS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANYWHO 5 4 2½ 11   13 18 (sadler john)TORRES A 121 5.00 11% 8.10 5.16 W
CHARRIERE 8 5 7 4   3 28 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 30.46  
HOWL 1 8 32 3   23 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.21 S
UNSUNG MELODY 3 1 1½ 21   44 4 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 6.48  
CHANDANA 2 6 8 8   67 59 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 35.48  
AMARETTI 7 2 5 6   5 613¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 30% 2.30 1.53  
SWEET ALYSSA 6 7 6 7   88 713¾ (husak j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
BACKYARD MONEY 4 3 4 55   78 822½ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 7.68  
SCR  CONDENSATION               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:401   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SPEECH 2 4 21 2 1½ 15 1 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 10.87  
TIMELESS ELEGANCE 3 5 4 32 32 25 2 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 40% 1.50 2.36 P
10  KIMBER SPICE 6 6 65 54 44 3 3 (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 8.00 14% 6.00 3.19 S
MISHKA 5 7 710 610 611½ 512½ 412¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 3.71  
WITHOUT CAUSE 1 2 11 1 2½ 4 516½ (casse mar)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 20% 4.10 7.56  
MO LANTERN 4 3 3 43 5 615½ 629¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.63  
11  HEARTSTRUCK 7 1 54 712½ 729½ 735½ 763¾ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 125 15.00 20.00  
SCR  SHE A BADDIE               (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  SCENIC BEAUTY               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MULIMA               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR)               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LEMON LATTE               (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  DEEP SATIN               (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 2.50    
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE)               (romans dale)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  STAY LOST               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00    
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.