Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $28.80 $28.80 22.80
PEN-2   Win (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.60  
PEN-3   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
PEN-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.00  
PEN-5   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
PEN-6   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 4.40
PEN-7   Win (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $19.80 $19.80 11.80

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:263   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSHEMUP 7 2 31 32 3 21 1½ (moreno tito)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 13% 6.40 13.40 W
LAVINIA SPIRIT 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 11 2½ (kravets bru)VARGAS L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
OLIVIA DEE 1 9 5 53 4 45 3 (martin charle)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 4.10 S
PRACTICAL RACHEL 6 8 913 912 811 5 4 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 14.80  
MILLROSE 5 4 6 6 69 78 5 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 8.00 31.80  
MOMMA KIM 3 7 2½ 21 2½ 32 68 (nunn douglas)CHIAPPE R 119 1.50 55% 0.80 0.80  
MOON POOL 4 5 711½ 811 79 68 7 (beattie sandee )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 65.20  
10  SHORESY 9 6 812½ 710½ 912 911 813½ (schoenthal phil)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 7.60  
AWESOME GLO 8 3 4 42 58 810 916 (kreiser c)CORA D 119 3.00 17.10  
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE               (webb sandra)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
 
PEN-2   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLETCHER 2 1 1½ 21 2½ 1½ 1 (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 2.80  
SHARP TONES 1 6 3½ 11 1½ 2½ 2 (ashby lynn)WOLFSONT ANDREW 117 3.50 2.50  
TREVESSO 5 4 2½ 32 46 310½ 315¾ (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ R 117 6.00 9.70  
SACHMO 3 3 5 5 5 410½ 420 (salvaggio mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 15% 5.50 31.70  
EGOT A POKER FACE 6 5 41 42 36 513 521 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 50% 1.00 0.90  
T REX 4 2 6 611½ 616¼ 619 627¼ (rogers ronald)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
SCR  LACCO AMENO               (woolley tim)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
SCR  MORNING MARCH               (gordon-watson a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  SAKETUMI               (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  WHISKEYMAC               (betancourt j)MOYA F 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGIN OF AIR 6 2 11 1½ 14 16 17 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.00 70% 0.40 0.10 W
FOLE'S NOTION 2 4 4 4 46 47 27 (rathman elish)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 5% 19.00 19.70 P
BAZINGA D 1 1 21 31 24 26 3 (beattie tod)VARGAS L 120 6.00 8% 11.70 13.20 S
MAKE ME LUCKY 3 5 63 6 69 611¼ 4 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 38.50  
SKIMBLE SHANKS 5 3 3 2½ 34 37 5 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 9.60  
TIZ SPEEDY 4 6 5 5 58 511 611¼ (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 22.20  
RIDLEY PARK 7 7 7 7 712½ 717¼ 722¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 10.00 38.40  
SCR  ORASHI               (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION BELLE 5 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 3.50  
FLEETING EMBER 1 5 2nk 2nk   2½ 21 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 11.80  
TIME OF OUR LIVES 2 4 4 4   3 3 (houghton thomas)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 8% 12.10 6.60 S
COMBAT HOOFS 3 2 3 31   4 4 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 47% 1.10 0.50  
SMILEY JONES 4 3 5 56   512½ 518¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 15% 5.80 5.90  
SCR  JUST START DANCIN               (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
 
PEN-5   05/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:121 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 3 2 1½ 1½ 1 15 13 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 1.60 63% 0.60 0.20 W
YES SIR COLONEL 4 3 43 44 4 35 23 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00 4.40  
CURLINGTON 2 4 2½ 2½ 2 4 3 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5.50  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 1 1 3 3 34 25 4 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD               (rathman elish)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
SCR  FORECLOSURE               (moreno tito)INIRIO J 120 50.00    
SCR  GRAN ANDREWS               (farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.00    
 
PEN-6   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBY'S SPIRIT 6 2 42 22   2 1¼ (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 23% 3.40 3.20 W
SKYHOOK 5 4 1½ 12   1 2¼ (perez ruperto)RAMOS C 122 2.00 1.50  
COWBOY JIM 2 1 2½ 33   3 3 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 35% 1.80 3.10 S
NECCO 3 6 52 44   4 4 (murtough step)INIRIO J 122 3.00 4.00  
CHASIN' WHISKEY 1 5 63 5   5 55 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 12.00 14.70  
NOTORIOUS REY 4 3 31 6100   6100 6100 (ippolito ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 14.20  
 
PEN-7   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:143 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REZQUIA 4 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 11 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.90 W
ZIFFY BUG 8 1 31 3 2nk 21 21 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 38% 1.60 0.90 P
BACALL 2 3 76 7 6 5 3 (aguirre anthony)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 14% 6.10 9.40 S
BUILT'IN ABILITY 6 4 2½ 2nk 3.2 3 4 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 20% 3.90 8.30  
JUMP A FOX 3 5 43 4 4 4 5 (meister willi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00 6.90  
ENSUING GRACE 7 8 5 54 5 617½ 623¼ (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00 3.90  
EARLY 5 7 65 66 714¼ 722½ 724¼ (crane clovis)INIRIO J 121 12.00 31.10  
LOOKING FANCY 1 6 810½ 810¾ 818¼ 828½ 830¾ (crane clovis)CORA D 121 50.00 44.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.