Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $21.62 $21.62 13.62
CD-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $9.92 $9.92 5.92
CD-3   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $20.86 $20.86 14.86
CD-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.02  
CD-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.12 $6.12 0.12
CD-6   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
CD-7   Win (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $11.42  
CD-8   Win (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $12.84 $12.84 6.84
CD-9   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 0.10
CD-10   Win (2/4/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $6.18  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111 1:241   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIFT GORGEOUS 7 2 3 2½ 2 1½ 1nk (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.81 W
DEFAULT 2 5 2 31 3 2½ 2nk (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 34% 1.90 0.82 P
NO CONSEQUENCES 1 6 6 53 5 4 3 (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 31% 2.20 3.26 S
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 4 3 5 6 7 55 4 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 11% 7.90 16.34  
LA PICASITA 6 1 1 1½ 1 3 5 (antonucci jen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 9.99  
INSPECTOR PENNY 5 7 7 7 67 66 614¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 125 5.00 6.47  
JOIA RARA 3 4 4 42 44 7 714¾ (caramori eduardo)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 17.36  
 
CD-2   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:12 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARNABY 4 1 2 31 33 3 11 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.96 W
JAY VEE BEE 6 2 3 21 2 1 21 (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50 3.44  
MY ROMEO LIMA 3 4 44 42 43 2 31 (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 119 2.50 17% 4.90 3.06 S
STIRDATPOT 5 3 1 11 1 42 4 (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 124 3.00 5.62  
LIAM THE BRAVE 1 5 5 53 5 55 5 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 2.67  
AMERICAN HERO 2 6 6 6 6 611 646¾ (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 7.61  
 
CD-3   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT THIS 5 4 4 4 5 1nk 11 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10 9.43 W
YONO 3 3 3 3 2nk 2nk 21 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 3.75  
BIRD KING 4 6 611½ 66 6 5 3 (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 10.26  
DOCTOR NASH 2 2 22 2 1nk 3½ 4 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00 1.62  
OUTLIER 1 1 12 1 3½ 4 5 (cash norman)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6% 15.20 6.49  
THE REDS 6 5 5 54 4 619½ 6100 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 2.50 38% 1.60 2.29  
 
CD-4   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:112 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLICATED 5 3 33 33 1 1 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.01  
HURRY UP HANNAH 4 5 55 5 42 2 2 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 12.60  
RO TOWN 3 2 22 22 2 34 3 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.76 S
BALI BELLE 2 6 65 6 6 6 4 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 30.87  
BREEZE EASY (GB) 6 4 12 12 3 56 510 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.08  
BLING 1 1 4 44 5 46 615 (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80 39% 1.50 1.32  
 
CD-5   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:213 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKSWOMAN 2 2 4 52   3 11 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 16% 5.30 2.06 W
SMART WITH HEART 3 5 21 1nk   2½ 21 (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 2.62  
GROVE ST. 1 3 53 3½   1½ 3 (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 37% 1.70 5.17 S
TAMARA'S WAY 4 4 31 4   54 4 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 5.21  
SHES A SECRET 5 1 11 2nk   43 5 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 2.49  
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE               (heitzman er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
SCR  R QUEEN CANDY               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:103 1:221   1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 5 1 11 11   15 1 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 1.75 W
AMY Z 4 3 31 4   25 2 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 3.61  
CLASSIC MYSTERY 3 4 5 53   37 38 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 26% 2.90 8.80 S
CHARM OF THE SONG 2 2 21 3   4 416½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 7.21  
GOURMET 1 5 4 21   511½ 521¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 51% 1.00 1.44  
SCR  ILLUSION               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  SONGMAKER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
SCR  WHAT'S HER NUMBER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
CD-7   05/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME WARDEN 4 8 53 5 53 31 1 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 4.71  
ROUTE RUNNER 5 3 2 2 3 1nk 2 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00 9.65  
GAME KEEPER 7 2 7 74 11 2nk 3 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 2.50 12% 7.40 4.15 S
RUNNINGFORJOY 8 5 8 8 43 4 4 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 1.56  
HAWKS CREEK 1 7 64 64 75 66 5 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 5% 19.00 20.73  
B SUDD 3 1 1 1 21 5 612½ (von do)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 54% 0.90 6.80  
WESLAN 2 6 4 4 6 78 715¼ (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.75  
BALANTYNE 6 4 3 32 89 812 821½ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 5.93  
 
CD-8   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:083     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD LUCK 7 1 54 3   11 1 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.42 W
LUNDBERG 1 2 1½ 1½   21 2 (hernandez ar)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 5.09  
CHANCE 3 8 77 7   4 3 (drury jr)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.73 S
FUNNY UNCLE 5 7 8 87   7 45 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 12.00 14.12  
G T FIVE HUNDRED 4 6 32 4   54 5 (blair jorda)TORRES A 123 6.00 7.74  
JUNIOR BUG 8 4 6 6   8 6 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 31% 2.20 4.18  
J J'S JOKER 2 3 43 5   6 76 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 6.00 7.88  
CHRYSO ALOGO 6 5 2½ 2½   3 8 (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 23.18  
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/12/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:141 1:381   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT SHOES 5 5 32 3 3½ 11 1 (cox h)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 30% 2.40 2.05 W
APOLLO RISING 3 4 45 47 5 21 2 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 29% 2.50 4.90 P
CAROOM 2 6 6 6 4 31 3 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 4.76  
BERRETTINI 6 3 1nk 1 1nk 54 4 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.77  
DISSOLVED 4 2 2nk 2 2nk 4 58 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 2.00  
EL AHIJADO 1 1 5 5 6 68 613½ (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 124 50.00 26.72  
SCR  ATHENS MOON               (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  IDRATHERBEBLESSED               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50    
 
CD-10   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD MY BOURBON 9 9 7 54   2 1 (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 2.09  
SAHALAT 4 5 8 7   53 2 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.50 33% 2.10 6.03 P
SEND CASH 2 1 1½ 1½   1 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00 4.08 S
CAPITAL CONNECTION 7 2 33 4   3 42 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 5% 17.30 4.63  
GLACIAL POWER 6 3 2½ 2½   42 5 (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 27.19  
MONDOGETSBUCKETS 3 8 911¼ 911   8 6 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 11.39  
MISTER LINCOLN 5 6 43 3   6 7 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9.53  
REAGAN 8 7 6 6   7 8 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.73  
PRINTS MONEY 1 4 56 88   9 915¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.97  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.