Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $8.30  
CD-2   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $13.72  
CD-3   Win (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
CD-4   Win (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.98 $6.98  
CD-5   Win (11/6/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $7.54 $7.54  
CD-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.62  
CD-7   Win (3/8/1/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $18.26 $18.26 8.26
CD-8   Win (11/9/8/13/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $12.78  
CD-9   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.02 $4.02  
CD-10   Win (2/16/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $23.44 $23.44 13.44
CD-11   Win (9/6/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $9.92 $9.92  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:21 :442 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY JOKE 8 3 3 21   12 1 (heitzman eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 3.15  
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 1 2 22 34   3 2 (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 3.48 P
AIR FORCE CRUISING 5 4 12 11   22 310 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.95 S
WHOLEHEARTEDLY 7 9 9 8   4 414 (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 19% 4.30 13.04  
MUNYHUNGRY 4 8 89 6   510 518 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 15.95  
BEEZER 9 1 6 5   612½ 619¼ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.03  
SCAT DANZ 2 7 79 912½   917 728 (cash norman)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 35.85  
WILD WEST JUSTICE 3 6 43 4   714 832 (caramori ca)TORRES A 118 6.00 16% 5.30 8.72  
GUILTY AFFAIR 6 5 5 79   816½ 933½ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.32  
 
CD-2   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:113 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE NITE LIZZIE 4 1 4 31 2½ 1 1 (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5.86  
ESME 5 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 2 2 (king l)MOJICA JR 124 3.50 44% 1.20 3.73 P
SHE'S MAGIC 2 5 3½ 4 42 34 36 (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00 2.65  
I GOTTA BOLT 1 2 5 5 5 56 4 (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 3.82  
BLUE GUITAR 3 4 2nk 2nk 3½ 44 5 (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 15% 5.60 1.67  
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS               (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
SCR  NEW BEAT               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 2.00    
 
CD-3   05/11/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:144 1:39   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATHYNMARISSA 1 6 53 5 52 1½ 12 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 39% 1.60 1.88 W
LAST CALL (ARG) 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 22 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.46 P
BOSS LADY BAILEY 3 7 7 7 7 4 32 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 6.10  
JOHANNY 4 3 3 4 3 32 43 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.20 3.05  
CATMINT 7 5 4 3 4 54 5 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.62  
BAG LADY 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 64 69 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 10.52  
JE SUIS RAPIDE 6 4 64 63 63 79 715½ (king l)MOJICA JR 124 30.00 41.91  
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
 
CD-4   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEK HEIRESS 1 6 7 85   31 1¼ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 19% 4.40 2.49 W
YO PUEDO 6 1 2½ 42   21 2¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.13 P
DE' ANS EIGHTY 8 3 3 2½   11 3¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 47% 1.10 1.44 S
SISTER KISSES 2 5 42 53   4 43 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.00 4.84  
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 7 4 1½ 1½   5 5 (toner j)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 8.31  
PROTOMAGIC 3 7 63 31   6 6 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00 12% 7.10 16.18  
RED HOT JEANIE 5 2 52 6   7 713 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 7.57  
WILD ACCLAIM 4 8 8 7   8 818¾ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 44.73  
 
CD-5   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERACRUZIN 6 1 5 32   1½ 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 13% 6.50 2.77 W
11  MACAW (IRE) 10 2 2nk 1   2½ 2nk (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 32% 2.20 2.69 P
CHULLIGAN 4 4 6 6   3 3 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 11% 7.80 8.47 S
PHENOMENAL DREAM 7 9 1011¾ 910   4 4 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.76  
PENROD 3 8 8 8   610 5 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 3.87  
BIG VELVET 9 3 4¼ 54   58 6 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 11.95  
BAJAN BOY 2 10 9 1010½   913½ 718¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 8% 11.70 20.92  
MAINTAIN 5 6 3.2 43   710½ 819 (mccutchen jason)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 29.53  
FRIO RIVER 1 7 7 7   811½ 921¼ (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 6.00 18.62  
KALL KARL 8 5 1nk 2   1019½ 1055¼ (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9.04  
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL               (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED CRAKEN 3 7 7 76   4 1½ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 2.81  
DAZZLEMESILVER 7 1 3 32   1nk 2½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 5.26 P
SHOW TIME 1 6 4 42   2nk 3 (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 70% 0.40 3.13 S
FLIPARINO 6 2 87 8   6 4 (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 10.00 4.67  
CANAVALL 4 5 11 11   31 5 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.24  
WESTERN GHENT 2 8 52 54   7 67 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 123 8.00 14.35  
CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 8 3 64 6   8 7 (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 13.30  
ARTWELL 5 4 21 21   55 8 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 10.00 11.94  
SCR  MERLOTTI               (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:121 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ROCK'N A HALO 12 7 11 11 11 5 1½ (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 7% 13.90 8.13 W
ARMY OFFICER 1 10 6 53 5 21 2½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 6.53 P
10  ST. ARMANDS KEY 10 6 5 6 31 11 32 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 10.00 12.55  
FUNNYFLAME 2 4 42 32 4 31 44 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.31  
11  EL MATADOR 11 1 7 7 6 6 54 (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 29.51  
ZVEREV 8 12 12 12 10 9 6 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 22% 3.60 5.00  
FORTUNE SELLER 5 5 2½ 21 2nk 4 7 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 5% 19.00 44.73  
GORILLA TREK 7 11 106 105 8 7 86 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 29.20  
TIFAREEH 4 9 9 8 7 8 9 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.42  
BOLT AT MIDNIGHT 9 8 85 9 127 11 1010½ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 34.60  
NGANNOU 3 3 1½ 11 1nk 10 1122¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 32% 2.10 5.12  
CEEPEEGEE 6 2 3 42 9 1212¾ 1225¾ (moquett ronald)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00 45.02  
SCR  BEAN MACHINE               (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  KATHEEB               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101 1:221   1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S GESTURE 6 1 3 4   1 14 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5.39  
12  AIR IT OUT 10 3 42 31   2 24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 14.39  
PANCAKE HOUSE 8 6 5 5   4 3 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00 28% 2.50 9.20 S
PEEK 7 2 21 21   3 4 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.00 13% 6.80 4.28  
11  TRUMPTASTIC 9 7 86 8   6 5 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.26  
MANDALORIAN 3 11 1110½ 9   7 66 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.02  
13  PURSUIT OF POWER 11 4 74 7   53 78 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 7% 13.50 11.60  
ROUSSETTE 1 9 9 10   9 89 (stall m)TORRES A 118 6.00 16.76  
BEBEDOURO 5 5 11 11   8 914¼ (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 25.24  
BRIO 4 8 6 63   10 1016 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00 48.85  
WAYLON 2 10 1010 1111¼   1112¾ 1121¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 26.08  
SCR  HE'S ELUSIVE               (jackson chris)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
SCR  MR SCATTER               (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:103 1:352   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT SHOW 2 5 21 31 42 2½ 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.01 W
ALEXANDER HELIOS 1 2 11 1½ 11 1½ 2 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.59 P
WARRIOR JOHNY 3 4 43 42 31 3 3 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 22.03 S
CLASSIC CATCH 7 3 7 7 6 5 4 (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 7.77  
GASOLINE 5 6 64 5 5 4 5 (pletcher to)TORRES A 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.92  
CONFIDENCE GAME 6 1 31 2½ 21 6 614½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 10.64  
HAYES STRIKE 4 7 5 6 7 7 717¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 5.57  
 
CD-10   05/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mamzelle Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING QUEEN 6 2 31 32   1nk 1¾ (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10% 9.30 10.72 W
TOUPIE (GB) 7 3 5 4   32 2¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.79 P
CLOUDWALKER 4 8 8 8   43 3 (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 8.00 8% 11.50 3.12 S
NICE AS PIE 1 11 11 10   75 4 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.80 30% 2.40 4.55  
BIG TROUBLE 2 6 7 7   5 54 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 19.47  
PIPIT 3 9 9 9   9 64 (walsh brendan)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 40.01  
11  NIKI NINE DOORS 8 4 64 6   8 7 (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 13.45  
16  HOT BEACH 11 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 87 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 19% 4.20 7.61  
TIPSY RUNNER 5 10 1210¾ 1211¾   10 9 (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 33.14  
18  FIBBER 12 12 10 11   12 1011¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 72.14  
12  IMABOUTAGO (IRE) 9 5 2½ 2nk   64 1113¼ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 2.82  
15  TIPSY TAMMY 10 7 4 5   11 1217½ (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 34.26  
SCR  PAROLA SICURA               (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  RHAPSODY               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
SCR  MOONLIT LADY               (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  TWIRL AROUND               (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  HONEY DIJON               (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  LET THEM WATCH               (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LA ROSE 6 2 2½ 2nk   11 1 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.50 3.96 W
12  SPEIGHTER WOMAN 11 4 3 3½   42 2 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17.99  
MUGEN 1 1 4 4   21 33 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 12% 7.30 4.03 S
ELLEN JAY 8 11 11 53   3 43 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.10 1.15  
ON COMMAND 7 8 54 6   54 55 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 21% 3.80 9.97  
ENDLESS GLOW 4 6 107 11   810½ 6 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 11.07  
BOURBON DIOR 3 10 8 8   77 710¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 24.18  
ELEGANT VISION 5 3 1½ 1nk   6 815 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 20.86  
TOTAL CLASS 2 7 7 9   912½ 917 (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 71.63  
10  DREAM ON STORMY 9 9 9 10   1013½ 1020¼ (winston d)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 86.90  
11  NOW HIRING 10 5 6 75   1118½ 1135 (fields chri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 93.91  
SCR  CHIC N DA WADDA               (toye lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  CLOSING PRAYER               (baker james)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  GAL CAPONE               (pittman bonnie)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
SCR  ROCKAWAY REEF               (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.