Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/13/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $9.22  
CD-2   Win (11/10/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $11.58 $11.58 1.58
CD-3   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.74 $5.74  
CD-4   Win (6/8/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $7.34 $7.34  
CD-5   Win (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $9.32  
CD-6   Win (3/9/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $27.24 $27.24 17.24
CD-7   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.92 $8.92 2.92
CD-8   Win (5/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $11.04 $11.04 3.04
CD-9   Win (2/10/5/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $16.54 $16.54 6.54

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/10/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11 1:24   1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGE THE CASTLE 7 9 6 56   44 1 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 6.00 3.61  
BROTHER RICE 2 11 1 1   12 2 (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 5.00 48% 1.10 3.39 P
THANKS FRANK 5 3 32 2   22 3 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 7% 13.10 4.83 S
10  EQUATE 9 2 4 32   3 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 3.49  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 1 4 1010 8   5 5 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 14.28  
13  LEAD FOOT 12 1 99 1112¼   6 6 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 10% 8.80 10.33  
ERASMUS 6 5 78 7   7 713¾ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 15.98  
ONE SHARP TIZ 8 6 5 67   811 815¾ (kubinova eliska)NAVAS YOEL 113 12.00 7% 14.40 12.66  
PERSCRIPTURE 3 10 1110¼ 1011¼   913 916¼ (brennan terr)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 45.81  
11  CAMPBELL COVERS 10 7 88 911   1014 1018¼ (molloy thomas)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00 58.61  
12  CENTRIFUGAL FORCE 11 8 2 42   1119 1133½ (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 20.00 54.29  
GIMME LOVE 4 12 1216¼ 1219¼   1224 1237 (zito nicholas )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 20.00 30.47  
SCR  GUATAPE               (hobby steve)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AORAKI 9 8 4 31   1½ 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 28% 2.60 4.79 W
FLAMING GLORY 5 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 9.84  
TIFFANY 1 2 5 54   34 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 10% 9.00 9.55 S
DAISY DUKE 6 5 6 65   77 4 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 1.88  
GRACE ON GRACE 3 1 2nk 4   5 5 (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5.89  
MACLEAN'S LULLABY 2 4 84 76   67 6 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
10  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA 8 6 3½ 1nk   45 711¾ (mcentee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 21% 3.80 5.85  
BAYTOWN SHINJUKU 4 7 96 8   810 814¼ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 19.39  
STARLIGHT BELLA 7 9 7 9   913 924 (chavez manuel)HISBY RONALD 119 20.00 33.09  
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY               (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50    
SCR  DELICATE               (mccutchen j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  SPEED COLLECTOR               (salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00    
 
CD-3   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOARING BIRD 1 4 3 4   2nk 1½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.87 W
FIGURETI (CHI) 3 5 42 31   31 2½ (wilensky sam)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.48  
SIR OLLIE 7 2 21 1nk   1nk 3¾ (vanden b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 3.16  
FITZPATRICK 6 3 5 5   52 43 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
THE QUEENS JULES 2 1 11 2nk   4 53 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 21% 3.70 11.34  
HERD IMMUNITY 4 7 7 77   66 6 (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 15.00 18% 4.70 20.04  
VOODOO ZIP 5 6 64 65   7 711½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 15.00 17.85  
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
CD-4   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARPER GAL 5 2 32 24   1 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.67 W
MORNING MIRACLE 7 5 43 4   36 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00 2.71 P
NO MAP NEEDED 3 10 10 811¾   59 38 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 12.00 5% 17.60 8.16 S
SONG BRIDGE 6 6 74 69   4 4 (stewart dallas)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 12.06  
WHISKEY WILD 8 1 1½ 14   2 512½ (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 8.00 6.42  
DICE ARM 4 9 86 912¼   912¾ 613¾ (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.54  
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 1 7 53 711½   812½ 714¼ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 4.13  
11  BRIGHT LADY DAY 10 3 2½ 3   69 816¼ (jackson christop)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 21.81  
UOME 2 8 6 59   711½ 920½ (matejka pave)MELENDEZ MARIANO 118 20.00 15% 5.80 21.18  
10  ELLIOTT MOON 9 4 9 1016¾   1024¾ 1050 (kerrick lac)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 26.74  
SCR  BOLD APPEAL               (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:142 1:382   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST HOLLYWOOD 9 3 31 2½ 2½ 11 14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 3.66  
FORT THOMAS 4 8 10 108 8 47 24 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5.15  
TELESCOPIC 5 5 55 54 32 34 34 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 18.75  
ARTEMPUS 6 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 21 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 19% 4.40 2.85  
DEMETRIUS 8 9 8 86 9 711 511½ (frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00 51.49  
DJANGO 7 6 6 6 7 5 612¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 7% 12.90 14.32  
10  PHREDDIE MAC 10 2 43 4 43 610½ 718¾ (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 12.50  
SHALLUS 3 10 9 9 10 915½ 820½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.58  
JUAN VALDEZ 2 7 77 7 6 813½ 921¼ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 48% 1.10 2.39  
BERNIN HOT 1 4 2nk 32 53 1019½ 1039¼ (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 41.34  
SCR  BOOKIE BRENT               (bauer a)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  BORDER WAR               (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  CABERNAYDO               (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  CALL ME CASSIUS               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 12.00    
SCR  GREEN LIGHT               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  SUGAR HOOK               (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATTATH 5 7 3½ 31 1 1 1 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.62 W
GLOBAL SENSATION 7 2 53 6 5 3 2 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.95 P
MOBSTER GUN 6 5 7 52 4 4 3 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 4.82  
KAHALA 2 8 2nk 2½ 2 2 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 13% 6.90 3.88  
ALL WEST 9 1 6 7 65 66 5 (atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 20% 3.90 3.62  
GREENER PASTURES 1 3 1nk 1½ 3 54 6 (garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 118 3.00 3.89  
FLAGS UP 8 4 9 9 9 8 710¾ (morse randy)TORRES A 118 6.00 10.94  
CANDY FOR CARMEL 3 9 8 84 7 77 811 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 3.50 38% 1.70 4.38  
IMPROBABLE STORY 4 6 41 4 8 910½ 916½ (king l)MOJICA JR 118 30.00 49.47  
 
CD-7   05/10/2024 6270ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:134 1:382   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRY HURRY 6 4 32 32 3 1½ 1 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 18% 4.70 3.46 W
SINGLE DOT YAHT 4 3 5 53 4 3 2 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.39 P
NEXT LEVEL 3 6 6 64 65 5 3 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 3.61  
MIDNIGHT RAID 5 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 4 (casse w)LANERIE J 126 2.50 57% 0.80 2.49  
KITTY HAWK (GB) 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 4 5 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.58  
KISSALOT 1 5 4 42 5 614½ 627¾ (lobo h)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 5.11  
 
CD-8   05/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:133 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY DECISION 3 7 7 6 4 1 1 (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 30% 2.40 4.52 W
RAGTIME LADY 7 8 8 74 8 4 2 (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 10.83 P
GRECIAN GODDESS 9 4 5 4 3.2 2 3 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 9% 10.20 2.26 S
GOLD LIGHTNING 5 10 9 85 7 55 48 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70 4.93  
11  BELLA HAZE 10 1 1 11 2nk 3 511½ (santamaria)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 6.85  
CAIRO STREET 8 2 2 21 1nk 6 614 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 13.34  
BELLA CRUELLA 6 3 3 3 5 7 720½ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 50.33  
LADY HELENA 4 9 10 10 10 1011½ 822¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9.09  
SMILING ELLIE 1 6 65 9 9 910 923¼ (casse mark)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.38  
FANCY LOOKER 2 5 4 5 6 810 1023¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.55  
SCR  LIUZZA               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SCR  LOOKSTER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH               (kintz matthew)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAC DADDY TOO 5 8 75 6   5 1¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.27 W
LUNAR MODULE 4 2 3 3   3 2¼ (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8% 12.10 6.99 P
10  TILTED TOWERS 8 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 3½ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 15% 5.50 3.19 S
PURE PANIC 6 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 4½ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 3.13  
BEYOND BEST 3 9 1012¼ 1011¼   9 5¾ (troiani nic)TORRES A 118 30.00 41.56  
TIMELESS BOUNTY 7 5 4 4   42 6 (ocasio osvaldo)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00 35.60  
EFFICIENCY 2 10 8 8   8 72 (santamaria car)TORRES A 118 20.00 11.56  
11  SOLIDIFY 9 7 9 9   7 8 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00 13.92 DH
LIKE A SALTSHAKER 1 6 63 7   6 8 (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 49% 1.00 3.32 DH
12  HOCUS (GB) 10 4 5 5   1014¾ 1029¾ (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 16.55  
SCR  ALEMAN               (jarvis kath)CORREA L 118 30.00    
SCR  COURT SNORT               (powell leonard)ACHARD ALEX 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.