Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (11/3/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $16.24 $16.24 6.24
CD-2   Win (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $9.12 $9.12 3.12
CD-3   Win (12/13/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 13 1 1 $8.74 $8.74 0.74
CD-4   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.32  
CD-5   Win (4/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $10.38  
CD-6   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.72 $5.72  
CD-7   Win (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.46 $3.46  
CD-8   Win (3/1/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $29.70 $29.70 21.70
CD-9   Win (7/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $37.88  
CD-10   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $9.12 $9.12 5.12
CD-11   Win (9/4/6/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $5.98 $5.98  
CD-12   Win (3/10/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.88 $9.88 1.88

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST HARBOR 7 2 2nk 1   12 1 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.12 W
CHIQUITA REINA 1 5 31 2   22 2 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 2.79  
IUKA MISS 2 6 6 68   56 3 (stall m)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.80 1.71 S
11  DIGITAL CURRENCY 10 7 5 57   46 4 (camejo m)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 26% 2.80 10.16  
10  MS I SPEIGHT 9 3 4 45   35 5 (heath desti)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 45.80  
MAYLEN 6 9 8 89   79 6 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 6% 16.50 4.48  
LADLE 5 1 1nk 34   6 710¼ (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 17.35  
PAYNT YOUR WAY 4 10 9 79   812½ 814¼ (howey quinn)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 14% 6.10 22.49  
GATHER THE FACTS 3 4 7 911   914½ 918½ (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 18.79  
TAPWRIT WARRIOR 8 8 107 1014   1018½ 1023 (vasquez german)GILES EMMANUEL 118 30.00 59.41  
SCR  MORNING MIRACLE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60    
SCR  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE)               (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 124 20.00    
 
CD-2   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:14 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASTA LAVISTA BABY 7 9 8 63 7 6 11 (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 5% 19.00 3.56 W
MOR HAPPY HOURS 1 5 4 4 5 31 21 (vance d)CANNON DECLAN 125 4.50 5.87 P
NOBLE BERNADETTE 8 2 3 3½ 1½ 1nk 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 22% 3.50 3.18 S
PITTORE D'ORO 9 8 9 9 8 5 4 (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 118 8.00 15.24  
VALERIE BLUE 3 6 6 7 3½ 2nk 5 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 8.53 DQ↓8
AMERICAN MAESTRA 2 4 2nk 2½ 2½ 42 6 (gallagher )RODRIGUEZ A 125 30.00 47.59  
K'ANTHEIA 4 1 5 52 6 7 716 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 49% 1.00 2.11  
LADY JUNE 5 7 7 8 10 826½ 851¼ (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 15.00 27.25  
TERRITORIALITY 6 3 1nk 1½ 4¾ 9100 9100 (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00 19.23  
10  VOSTRA 10 10 10 10 9 10100 10100 (jones s)GILES EMMANUEL 125 20.00 63.65  
 
CD-3   05/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :453       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  LONG NECK PAULA 11 7 1nk     1 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.37 W
MINTY 4 1 3     2 2 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.53  
MISS MAKENNA 6 6 5     4 3 (brinkerhoff)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 21.96  
MISS ELLE 1 4 6     36 48 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.82  
KEYANA 7 11 9     79 512½ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 6.53  
LA FANTASTICA 8 9 10     810 613¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 10% 8.80 5.00  
POUNDS IN TOWN 5 2 4     6 713¾ (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 24.12  
12  PRECISENESS 10 8 2nk     5 814½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.64  
CALCETINES 3 5 7     911 916½ (fernandez kelly )HISBY RONALD 119 20.00 44.18  
SLANDEROUS 2 3 8     1011½ 1016½ (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.20  
10  EMY 9 10 11     1119½ 1133½ (torres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 48.29  
SCR  ACHIEVE               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL               (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00    
SCR  RUN CAMILA RUN               (decker anna)MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 20.00    
 
CD-4   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGKOR 6 2 2nk 1nk   12 1 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.00 2.16  
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 4 1 1nk 2nk   22 2 (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 29% 2.40 5.54 P
SCOTLAND 3 5 5 32   34 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.40 35% 1.80 1.63 S
KAVOD 1 4 3 5   45 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 4.43  
MAJOR BLUE 5 6 6 6   57 510½ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 10.99  
GILCREASE 2 3 4 4   68 615¾ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 9.26  
 
CD-5   05/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILLIANT BERTI 7 9 53 4 4 22 1 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 4.19  
ROCKY JOY 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 12 2 (lobo paulo )DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 4.00 52% 0.90 1.55 P
11  CURLIN GUNNER 11 8 9 9 6 67 3 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 25.57  
12  CHASING KITTY 12 2 32 31 3½ 35 4 (bindner m)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 16.63  
HEART OF OSCAR 3 5 42 5 52 56 5 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.18  
10  TAPIT FOR THE WIN 10 10 8 8 9 7 612¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 22.31  
SPOONIE 5 1 21 2½ 2nk 4 713 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 17.27  
THERMOSCOPE 9 4 7 63 74 810 816¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.11  
TORNADO ROAD 8 6 6 7 8 911 918¼ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 28.97  
LUCCHESI 1 11 117 11 10 1013½ 1018¼ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 29.84  
MODERN DAY WARRIOR 2 7 10 10 11 1115 1123½ (ward a)FLORES R 125 5.00 18% 4.60 12.57  
SARPEDON 6 12 12 12 12 1218½ 1236 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 31.73  
SCR  BOOKIE BRENT               (bauer a)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  DEMETRIUS               (frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 125 15.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  JUAN VALDEZ               (mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/02/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:09 1:203   1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLEWARDEN 5 4 2½ 2½   1nk 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 37% 1.70 1.86 W
CLASSIC LEGACY 6 3 6 4   2nk 2hd (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.34 P
UNDERHILL'S TAB 4 1 1½ 1½   31 34 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 5.22  
SHOPPER'S REVENGE 1 5 42 5   44 45 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 4.50 5.81  
COLD AS HELL 3 2 31 3   5 513¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.43  
EARL OF DASSEL 2 6 52 6   610½ 618¼ (ramirez ricardo )CONNER TYLER 123 15.00 23.42  
SCR  MR. KEATING               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEROUS LOVER 8 1 32 2½   12 15 (schultz lind)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 36% 1.80 0.73 W
SASSY WALKER 6 4 5 4   32 25 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 16% 5.40 7.77 P
IN COLOR 1 8 8 5   4 37 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 123 4.00 7.95  
THREE POLKS 5 2 21 1½   22 4 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 12.57  
NEUTRALIZE 4 5 11 3   5 510 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 9.95  
CHANISA 2 7 42 63   6 615¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 23% 3.30 4.80  
JUDY ELAINE 7 6 7 76   79 720 (brown paul )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 29.72  
ITSABLINGTHING 3 3 6 88   813½ 832¼ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 24.37  
 
CD-8   05/02/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:122 1:362   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TALL BOY 12 2 2nk 21 2½ 2nk 1nk (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.85 W
BARBERINI 7 8 7 64 6 4 2nk (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00 28.45  
RECKONING FORCE 5 10 10 11 11 6 3¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5.54  
MIRANDA RIGHTS 8 1 31 3 32 3½ 4 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.27  
DRIPPING GOLD 1 11 116 9 97 8 5 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 10% 9.50 4.10  
11  FREEDOM'S WAY 11 3 1nk 11 1½ 1nk 6 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 13.62  
SIR LONDON 3 4 6 7 7 75 7 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 60% 0.70 5.96  
AMERICAN DIAMOND 2 7 8 8 8 9 8 (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00 16.03  
HE'S GOT SWAGGER 9 5 95 10 108 10 94 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 20.06  
RISK MANAGER 4 12 128 1210 12 11 104 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50 3.48  
10  READY TO PURRFORM 10 9 4 4 4 54 114 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 17.80  
WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) 6 6 5 5 5 12 1212¾ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 31.73  
SCR  FAIR DINKUM               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  HIDDEN STASH               (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00    
SCR  WIND TWIST               (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
 
CD-9   05/02/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kentucky Juvenile Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:22 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST MEMORIAL 5 6 3 3   22 1 (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 115 12.00 17.94  
STRUMMIN 3 1 6 58   4 2 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 118 8.00 22.30  
AKINMUSIRE 2 7 7 710¼   5 3 (dutrow e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 6.96  
SHOOT IT TRUE 6 5 1½ 1nk   12 4 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 1.40 32% 2.20 0.76  
TUXEDO PARK 1 3 57 6   6 58 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 118 10.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
MENSA 8 4 2½ 2nk   3 6 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 23% 3.40 2.70  
TURNBUCKLE 7 8 8 810¼   810 710¼ (rutledge la)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 38.83  
JET SWEEP JOE 4 2 4 4   7 811½ (mcentee paul)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 23% 3.40 9.82  
SCR  THE QUEENS M G               (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00    
 
CD-10   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST St. Matthews Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O BESOS 5 2 53 4   2½ 1 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 16% 5.20 3.56 W
BOURBON BASH 4 1 3 11   1½ 2 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 5.51 P
SURVEILLANCE 2 3 1½ 21   31 35 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 12.20  
BANGO 3 4 2½ 31   41 47 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.00 39% 1.60 0.46  
NECKER ISLAND 1 5 4 5   5 511½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 11.41  
SCR  MANNY WAH               (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  RICHIESONAROLL               (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   05/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Opening Verse Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:113 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) 7 5 4 5 21 2nk 1nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 30% 2.40 1.99 W
10  TALK OF THE NATION 8 4 1 11 11 1nk 2nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 10% 8.80 4.02 P
SMOKIN' T 2 6 63 4 53 4 3 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 25% 3.00 3.65 S
CHURCHTOWN 1 3 32 31 42 32 4 (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 8.09  
SKYRO 5 10 10 9 75 6 5 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 24.17  
ACCREDIT 6 7 7 8 64 7 6 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 26.62  
11  STITCHED 9 2 2 21 31 5 7 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 16.27  
ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) 4 8 86 7 10 8 88 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 11% 8.40 4.84  
HARLAN ESTATE 3 1 5 6 8 9 911¼ (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 28.26  
12  TIVERTON (GB) 10 9 97 10 9 10 1011¾ (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00 61.84  
SCR  AH JEEZ               (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  QUALITY G               (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
 
CD-12   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:103 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PIKE PLACE 8 5 4 4 21 1½ 11 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00 13% 6.60 3.94 W
HARLEEZY 3 8 6 5 5 33 21 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 10.00 17.31  
LONG CROW 6 6 7 76 6 5 3 (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 4.62  
MUCHO MOJO 2 2 2½ 2½ 11 2½ 4 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.88  
MY ROMEO LIMA 1 1 1½ 1½ 31 44 59 (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 8% 11.00 2.49  
SANT' ANTIMO 7 4 3 3 43 66 615¾ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 7.77  
AMERICAN HERO 5 7 8 8 7 7 719 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.52  
MR. PETERKIN 4 3 5 6 8 8 827¾ (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 23.82  
SCR  POWER ALLEY               (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
SCR  SEVEN FLAT               (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.