Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.10  
CD-2   Win (3/2/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.74 $3.74  
CD-3   Win (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $38.48  
CD-4   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $8.46  
CD-5   Win (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $11.74  
CD-6   Win (11/9/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.96 $7.96  
CD-7   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $11.26  
CD-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.94 $3.94  
CD-9   Win (4/6/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $61.06  
CD-10   Win (9/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $10.10  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANSWER THE CALL 3 5 4 2½   11 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 2.05  
MITOLE'S LEGACY 2 4 3 52   3 2 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 31% 2.20 4.16 P
SINGSATIONAL 1 6 5 6   4 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 6.92  
BALLADRY 5 1 1½ 1½   21 4 (pitts helen)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.27  
JANUARY JUBILEE 4 3 6 4   5 58 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 16% 5.20 2.50  
ANAJULIAFOREVER 6 2 2½ 3½   67 611 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5.28  
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE               (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 10.00    
 
CD-2   05/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:224 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY COME LATELY 3 1 1½     11 1½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 40% 1.50 0.87 W
CHARLIE TOLU 7 3 2½     21 2½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 30.05  
SING SING 1 6 8     5 3 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.05 S
PREDECESSOR 5 9 6     6 4 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 9% 9.90 4.99  
INDIGO WIND 2 2 32     3 5 (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 16% 5.10 10.20  
B GRAYSON 4 8 9     911¾ 610¼ (brinkerhoff v)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.15  
COMPLEX MUSIC 6 4 42     4 712 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 6.15  
10  CUPID'S THUNDER 9 5 76     710¼ 814¾ (hancock l)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00 44.28  
MISCHIEF HUMOR 8 7 53     810¼ 922 (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 44.90  
SCR  MITWAJID               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
 
CD-3   05/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:13 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVERTON (GB) 2 2 32 31 42 2nk 1½ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 18.24  
QUIET RUSH 7 1 42 4 3 3.2 2½ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 7.29  
AVAILABILITY 3 4 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 19% 4.40 0.80 S
CURLINS INCHARGE 6 7 7 6 65 6 45 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.00 36% 1.80 2.71  
ZAPTASTIC 5 5 6 5 53 5 5 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
MASTER OF THE NITE 4 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 4 69 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00 15.16  
SPUNS SON 1 6 53 7 76 7 7 (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.00 18% 4.40 12.37  
SCR  PUCKSTER               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
CD-4   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:213 :441 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHITWOOD 7 1 11 11   1 1 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 3.23  
FLASH OF GENIUS 6 4 21 21   2 2 (pino v)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 23% 3.40 3.11 P
FORGE IN FIRE 1 3 7 713½   512 310½ (medina robert)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 9.21  
PERLIANO 3 5 44 48   412 416½ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 4.47  
LAZARUS 5 2 32 36   3 519 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 20.00 4.98  
CAMPTON 4 7 67 612½   614½ 622½ (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 40% 1.50 5.24  
SUPERCOOL 2 6 5 512   715 724¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.95  
SCR  BRONZE BEAST               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 123 20.00    
 
CD-5   05/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY STREAK 3 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 1 12 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 4.87  
COOL QUARTET 1 3 31 4 4 3 22 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 1.72  
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2 34 (camejo m)TORRES A 118 6.00 19% 4.20 4.70 S
FERRYBOAT 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 (miller f)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00 26.41  
ATKINS 2 1 52 53 5 5 5 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.00 3.37  
BOITANO 6 6 6 7 6 66 6 (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.39  
CLASSIC KING 7 7 74 64 7 7 723 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 29% 2.40 5.82  
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS               (newton troy)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:131 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENDULUM 8 1 7 84 84 6 1nk (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.80 2.98 W
BEDAZZLE 'EM 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 1 2nk (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 19% 4.30 4.98 P
CARNANE (IRE) 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 3 31 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 31.88  
TONALITE 3 3 3 4 42 4 4 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.24  
12  EMBARK 11 7 8 63 6 5 53 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 19.63  
11  LEO TORO 10 5 4 3 3½ 2 63 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 30% 2.30 2.62  
KISS ME AGAIN 7 9 105 95 94 7 75 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.61  
BOLT'S BROAD 4 10 9 10 106 9 8 (ruis sr)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 6.85  
CANDY CRAZE 2 11 52 52 5 8 9 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 39.78  
10  SARANAC LAKE 9 6 11 117 118 119 10 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 38.05  
PHILANTHROPY 1 8 63 7 7 107 11 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 12.75  
SCR  ARGENTINIDAD               (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
SCR  CLAIRE'S JETE               (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  LEMON LATTE               (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  MER SOLEIL               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  MYIYLA               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/01/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10 1:222   1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC PLEASURE 6 2 2½ 2½   1½ 11 (brisset rodolph)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 4.63  
STUNNINGLY 4 4 31 3   3 21 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 17% 4.80 3.19 P
ROSWELL 2 5 4 4   42 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.38 S
MIGHTY MADISON 1 1 1½ 1½   2½ 4 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 3.41  
TAKE SHAPE 3 3 5 63   6 5 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 9.27  
KLIMT'S MUSE 5 6 6 52   56 611 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.59  
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE               (king l)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
SCR  THESE APPLES               (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/01/2024 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnigh Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132 1:381 2:03 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT 7 2½ 22 21 1 16 111¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 0.80 61% 0.60 0.97 W
DAI VERNON 1 77 78 7 55 36 211¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 10.80  
MASQUEPARADE 6 65 66 6 4 26 313½ (atras rob)TORRES A 118 6.00 10.55  
RED RUN 3 43 44 54 34 4 419¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 10% 8.60 6.55  
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 5 1½ 12 11 2 5 519½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 3.59  
MASTER GAME 8 88 8 8 710½ 714½ 639¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 43.53  
O P FIRECRACKER 4 54 55 44 67 612½ 743½ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.56  
DONEGAL FOREVER 2 3 3 33 812½ 820½ 858¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00 8.25  
 
CD-9   05/01/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:22 :45 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE SHIESTY 6 1 11 1½   12 1 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 29.53  
NO NAY METS (IRE) 5 2 43 43   3 2 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 28% 2.60 2.65 DQ↓4
11  SILENT HEART 9 3 21 2½   22 3 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.92 P
MANSA MUSA (IRE) 1 7 5 55   45 4 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 15% 5.80 2.31 S
13  SKETCH (IRE) 11 12 128 12   7 53 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 8.41  
BEAR RIVER 7 6 8 6   55 6 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 56.85  
12  ASPENITE 10 11 9 97   67 7 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00 41.45  
DEBT PAID 4 10 11 11   9 89 (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 20.00 29.92  
REFUEL 3 9 7 7   8 99 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 35% 1.80 4.28  
DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 2 8 10 109   10 1011¼ (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 36.98  
14  THIS IS USCAR 12 5 31 3   11 1113½ (blair jordan)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 24.41  
10  RUNNIN' ROCKET 8 4 65 86   1215½ 1226½ (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 16.31  
SCR  MOLLY'S TOWN               (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
SCR  REEF RUNNER               (fawkes david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FAN THE FIRE 12 5 3½ 3.2 11 1nk 1¾ (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 4.05  
GOD OF WINE 4 1 1nk 1nk 31 2nk 2¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 22% 3.60 6.47 P
11  TIZZY INDY 11 12 12 12 65 42 3¾ (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 10.00 3.10  
QUARRYMEN 1 10 11 8 5 5 4 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.50 22% 3.60 4.11  
DUAL MONARCHY 5 3 52 5 4 3 5 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00 9.83  
REDHILL 2 2 9 93 7 6 6 (pittman bonnie)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00 56.62  
HIGH HEADED 7 8 6 6 8 7 79 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 33.87  
WRITEITONTHEICE 8 11 10 11 11 9 810¾ (hester hal)RODRIGUEZ A 124 30.00 39.31  
GAMETIME GLADIATOR 9 7 7 7 10 10 914 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 32% 2.10 5.58  
SAINT ROCCO 6 4 2nk 2nk 21 8 1018 (delacruz joe)NAVAS YOEL 113 30.00 38.51  
NOT LISTENING 3 9 4 4 9 1111¼ 1118¼ (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 15.00 5% 19.00 37.11  
10  SUMMER IN AIKEN 10 6 8 10 12 1212¾ 1220¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12.35  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.