Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - April 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
TDN-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $2.80  
TDN-5   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $14.80  
TDN-6   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $3.20  
TDN-7   Win (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
TDN-8   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNI MUNI SLEW 2 3 53 3.2   2nk 1¾ (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 21% 3.70 1.20 W
K P SILVER BULLET 1 5 3 5   3.2 2¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 49% 1.00 2.40 P
THE RED MAN 5 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 3 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00 4.00  
CRIMSON ROCKET 4 2 42 4   5 4 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 4.30  
ENZOEXPRESS 3 1 1½ 2nk   4 510 (pizzurro joseph)DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
SCR  GEH SCHNELL               (manning rich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00    
 
TDN-2   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:013     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MAS CERVEZA 4 2 33 2   2 1½ (brown glenroy)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 2.00  
REDDEN 5 1 1½ 1   1 2½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 121 1.00 62% 0.60 0.60 P
AGNELLO CITY 3 4 5 33   3 3 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90 S
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 2 5 43 44   47 410¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 8.70  
PLAYING BALL 1 3 2½ 55   5 513½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 10.40  
 
TDN-3   04/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL AIR FORCE 1 5 54 2½ 12 12 1 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 1.40  
DONAHUE 3 1 21 42 3 22 2 (faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 28% 2.60 4.20 P
ARCHARCH CAT 6 2 11 1½ 22 32 35 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 2.20 S
RAMBLIN CHROME 5 3 4 52 44 4 4 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 26% 2.90 14.80  
NAUGHTY STREAK 4 4 3 3 5 57 511½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.80 3.40  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 2 6 610 610 617½ 613 614¾ (vazquez ivan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 54.80  
 
TDN-4   04/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:141     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYA DEL SUR 3 1 11 1½ 1 1 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 1.50 0.40  
WINDY LU WHO 2 2 32 3 3 2 2 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 119 1.80 42% 1.40 2.20 P
SUZY Q THE QUEEN 5 3 4 42 4 35 36 (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50 S
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 1 5 57 5 5 5 48 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 20.70  
MOBIL CHIC 4 4 21 2½ 2 45 5 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.00 21% 3.80 8.40  
 
TDN-5   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:003     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZA MAGIC 6 1 4 44   1nk 1 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 6.40  
CUE THE BAND 3 4 3 3   2nk 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 51% 1.00 1.90 P
CAUSE OF LOVE 1 6 53 55   5 3 (bookman dona)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5.80  
SOLE FACTOR 2 5 6 67   6 412 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 59.80  
RAINBOW SHIP 5 2 2 22   32 513½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 16% 5.20 1.20  
HITCH CITY 4 3 1 12   4 618¼ (jackson james)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 6.10  
 
TDN-6   04/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:142     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFJAN 1 3 21 2nk 1nk 11 1 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.60 0.60  
HIDDEN ACCESS 3 1 11 1nk 3.2 3 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 24% 3.20 4.90 P
STOP BEING GREEDY 4 2 4 3½ 2nk 21 3 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.80 2.30  
ORO DE MORO MORO 2 4 31 4¾ 4 4 412¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5.20  
SCR  NASTY HABIT               (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   04/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:14     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANCO (MEX) 1 1 7 7 41 1 1 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 62% 0.60 4.60 W
STREET MAX 4 7 6 5 3½ 3 2 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 5.40  
ALGORIX 3 4 44 32 1½ 2 3 (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.70 S
T MONEY 5 5 5 6 6 4 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 9% 10.60 7.00  
EL DE CHIMI 6 6 33 4 53 5 510½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 2.40  
SAY HEY KID 2 8 810¼ 8 8 6 613 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
DIXIE GIANT 7 2 1nk 2nk 7 710½ 719¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 1.90  
LONG RAP SHEET 8 3 2nk 1nk 2½ 812½ 833 (prado eduardo)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 20.50  
 
TDN-8   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTIS OTIS OTIS 6 1 1½ 22   2nk 1 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 1.60  
NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 3 2 2½ 12   1nk 2 (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 27% 2.70 5.90 P
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 2 3 44 34   32 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.80 3.50  
MALIBU CLASSIC 4 4 510 5   5 4 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 6.00 43% 1.30 1.30  
GEMO RAIN 1 5 34 4   4 5 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 28.40  
LOST IN MANHATTAN 5 6 612 611   612½ 611¼ (romero a)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.70  
SCR  FIRST HOMESTEAD               (meyers shane)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.