Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - April 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.40  
TDN-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-3   Win (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $24.80  
TDN-4   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-5   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
TDN-7   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $55.20  
TDN-8   Win (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:154     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAD RIGHT 5 3 31 3½ 2nk 1nk 1 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 4.20  
HOUSED 4 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 2nk 2 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 35% 1.90 0.60 P
STEP AHEAD 3 2 1nk 1nk 3.2 3 35 (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 4.00 7% 14.00 4.10 S
NAPA DUDE 2 5 53 42 4 45 4 (casalinova ti)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 20.90  
POT COMMITTED 1 1 42 5 5 510 518¼ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00 19% 4.20 4.40  
 
TDN-2   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL'D 3 1 12 14   14 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.20 73% 0.40 0.50 W
MONSTER HUNTER 1 4 4 46   24 2 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 3.10  
NAMBITI 2 3 22 24   34 3 (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 123 15.00 5.30  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 4 2 3 34   47 418¼ (shanyfelt valerie )AVILES YAN 123 3.50 5% 19.00 5.30  
SCR  TIDE RISING               (mahan joseph )PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00    
 
TDN-3   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QADIRA 4 4 2nk 11   15 1 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 11.40  
BULLS N BERRY 2 5 5 5   5 2 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 5.00 16% 5.20 29.60 P
SISTER CODE 6 2 65 6   3 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00 S
NO VIOLENCE 5 7 31 21   25 4 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50 38% 1.70 0.70  
LUNA PRIMAVERA 3 1 42 33   4 5 (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00 14.80  
OH ATLANTA 7 3 76 7   6 611¼ (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 16% 5.30 5.90  
KINDNESS IS FREE 1 6 1nk 43   7 716¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 2.70  
 
TDN-4   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER GABRIEL 4 1 31 3.2   13 1 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 1.60 46% 1.20 0.20 W
STUNT MAN 1 3 2nk 2nk   23 2 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 5.50  
ELLIOT THE DRAGON 5 5 4 4   3 311¼ (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.80 S
KNOCK WOOD 3 4 5 5   5 411¾ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50 14.10  
MEDIA DARLING 2 2 1nk 1nk   4 513¾ (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 27% 2.70 5.10  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
 
TDN-5   04/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:132     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 3 3 5 5 2nk 12 1 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 4.50 2.00  
TIME THE AVENGER 5 5 4 31 1nk 22 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 1.60 1.60  
POKER PARTNER 2 1 2nk 2nk 31 3 311¼ (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 36% 1.80 3.00 S
DESTINO 1 4 3.2 42 43 4 411¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
DARK BARON 4 2 1nk 1nk 59 520½ 539¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 121 3.00 17% 5.00 3.80  
 
TDN-6   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETTIN PEGASUS 2 4 32 3.2   2nk 1nk (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 17% 5.00 2.30 W
BAY MAGIC 5 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (cald)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 3.60  
CHECK OUT LINE 1 5 54 5   5 3¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.00 6.30  
COWCHI 4 3 1½ 2nk   3.2 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
STAR MABEE 3 1 42 4   4¼ 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.60 51% 1.00 1.10  
 
TDN-7   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEISTHEHERO 1 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 12 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 5.00 26.60  
CHARGINA 6 2 6 4   4 22 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00 29.50  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 4 4 5 3   3 3 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00 28.10 S
LIONISTIC 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.10  
MARKET SUCCESS 5 1 42 6   5 5 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 9.30  
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 2 6 31 5   6 6 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.60 5.40  
 
TDN-8   04/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL PRIDE 4 6 5 5   2 1¼ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 14% 6.10 2.20 W
QUICK QUICK WHIT 6 2 3 31   33 2¼ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 4.00 2.30  
STELLARS IN CHARGE 1 5 11 11   1 31 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.80 S
PACE 2 7 6 6   6 4 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00 24.50  
PANTHERA'S FATE 7 1 42 4   4 5 (waltz brian)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 20% 4.10 5.80  
MEXITEXAFORNIA 3 4 21 21   5 611½ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
STREET TRAFFIC 5 3 712½ 715½   720½ 733 (jackson james)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 52.00  
SCR  SAM WHEAT               (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.