Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.74 $9.74 1.74
CD-2   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.84 $3.84  
CD-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $45.84 $45.84 39.84
CD-4   Win (9/3/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.74 $3.74  
CD-5   Win (1/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.04 $6.04  
CD-6   Win (7/3/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $6.48 $6.48  
CD-7   Win (4/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.88 $10.88 2.88
CD-8   Win (1/5/10/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.64 $4.64  
CD-9   Win (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 0.90
CD-10   Win (3/4/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $91.46 $91.46 81.46

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPYCRAFT 5 1 22 1nk   1 1 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 48% 1.10 3.87 W
LEADER OF MEN 7 6 33 3.2   2 2 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 15% 5.70 1.58 P
SHORTLIST 8 8 55 4   35 310 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.50 17% 4.90 3.62 S
READY PURSUIT 6 4 6 6   5 413 (gonzalez rei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 58.62  
ONE FOR RICHIE 2 2 43 5   4 515¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 3.12  
EPIMYTHIUM 1 3 7 7   710½ 615¼ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.72  
KEEN ON YOU 4 7 812¼ 811¼   812 717½ (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 35.88  
DREAMING OF SMARTY 3 5 12 2nk   610 828½ (burton roger)TORRES A 118 15.00 13.08  
 
CD-2   04/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARNABY 6 7 42 32 32 32 1 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 57% 0.70 0.92 W
HASKELLED 7 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 2 (delacruz mejia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 7.81 P
BEER WITH ICE 3 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 3 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.10 2.23 S
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 8 8 6 55 56 46 46 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 124 3.50 6.91  
STAR NATION 5 6 7 7 68 68 5 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00 16.73  
MOONLIGHT JOKER 4 3 32 42 4 56 610¼ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 62.68  
BRODY'S FLY 2 1 5 6 7 7 713¾ (jones s)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 76.02  
STEP ON IT 1 5 8 811¾ 813 814 819¾ (bush s)ROCCO S 124 5.00 16.41  
 
CD-3   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:213 :443 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTER STAGE 6 2 6 2½   1½ 1 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 21.92 W
CLASSIC PERFORMER 4 4 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00 13.13  
THESTRAL 3 5 4 5   3 35 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 52% 0.90 2.04 S
EVIE'S ENCORE 5 3 7 6   6 4 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 21% 3.80 2.74  
LITTLE BLAZE 2 6 3 4   4 5 (vaccarezza carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 1.98  
PIONEER PARADE 7 1 2½ 32   5 611½ (shorter aaro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7.41  
TRAVAILLE 1 7 5 78   711½ 720¾ (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 5.00 19.24  
 
CD-4   04/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE 9 4 2nk 2nk   1½ 1nk (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 1.40 54% 0.80 0.87 W
COUNTERSTRIKE 7 6 6 32   32 2nk (ennis john)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 7.12 P
ZOOMBIE 6 10 107 106   8 3 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 11.72  
CAROTARI 3 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 18% 4.60 4.10  
BUSHIDO 2 1 31 5   4 5 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00 31.13  
GASLIGHT DANCER 4 8 8 9   9 63 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.81  
KIGALI 8 9 95 7   75 73 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 17.33  
INTO THE SUNRISE 1 3 73 6   5 8 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 24.77  
11  RETAINED 10 5 4 4   6 9 (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 7% 14.20 31.29  
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 5 7 5 8   10 108 (troiani niccolo)CURTIS BEN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 39.32  
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  COLD AS HELL               (lukas wayne)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF               (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
SCR  RED DANGER               (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
SCR  TWO EAGLES RIVER               (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
 
CD-5   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANISH WELLS 1 7 11 1   14 1 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 40% 1.50 2.02 W
SAINT PETER'S BAY 8 2 4 2   24 2 (leitch daniel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.38 P
MIDNIGHT STORMY 3 6 7 88   5 3 (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 26.01  
CHRYSO ALOGO 6 8 63 3   36 4 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 19% 4.10 2.65  
BETTERING 4 5 84 78   69 5 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 23.39  
BLEDSOE 2 4 21 55   4 6 (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 3.00 8.18  
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 7 1 5 67   812½ 721½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 6.03  
CRAFTED 5 3 3 44   711½ 822 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 12% 7.20 5.94  
 
CD-6   04/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHMEUP 7 3 5 6 2½ 11 1 (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 125 3.00 41% 1.40 2.24 W
AMERICAN RAIDER 3 2 65 53 4 33 2 (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 125 6.00 24% 3.20 6.33 P
10  FALCON QUEST 9 9 7 7 6 43 3 (simms jr)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.80 2.27 S
COAL BOSS 1 1 32 3 1½ 21 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 8.06  
SECRET EDGE 5 6 87 86 7 56 510¾ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00 5% 19.00 43.87  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 8 7 2nk 2½ 5 710 614¼ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 125 8.00 11.25  
GOLDEN BUCK 4 5 4 4 8 911¼ 716½ (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 10.00 8.23  
FASTER 6 4 1nk 1½ 31 68 816½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 10.00 20.46  
BATTLE BORN 2 8 99 9 9 810¼ 918¼ (king l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 5% 19.00 9.75  
SCR  SOLIDIFIED GOLD               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITUBA 2 3 33 34 2 1nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 14% 6.20 4.44 W
DREAMING OF MO 5 5 4 45 3 2nk 2nk (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00 16.93  
HAY STACK 8 9 8 6 7 3 3½ (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 22% 3.60 7.09 S
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 6 6 10 9 8 56 4 (ramos rafael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 44.14  
LA PACHANGA 3 4 5 55 43 4 5 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 6.82  
10  ROBIN SAGE 10 10 99 109 10 8 610 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 26.08  
ENZI 7 8 7 88 9 9 713½ (o'donnell marcu)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 59.87  
HOLA GATA 4 7 67 77 6 6 814 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 39% 1.60 1.17  
KILLSHAVE BEAUTY 9 1 2nk 11 1 7 915½ (mckeever andrew)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 17.70 4.91  
PICTURE OF A LADY 1 2 1nk 21 5 1017¼ 1033¾ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 125 20.00 54.70  
SCR  CATMINT               (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
SCR  JOHANNY               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)               (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00    
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00    
 
CD-8   04/27/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-10:14
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:123 1:383   2:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BASKING 1 10 9 55 2nk 15 1 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.32 W
QUEEN OF THE RODEO 7 9 10 10 55 46 2 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 126 10.00 7.23  
11  FORESEEN 10 3 3 3 3½ 35 310¼ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.62 S
HEART HEADED WOMAN 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 25 411 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 126 8.00 20.23  
CHURNING BERNI 8 84 8 99 7 6 511½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 63.35  
MYSTICAL CHANT 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 41 58 619 (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.30 2.68  
RYBAKINA 2 6 4 42 6 711 722¾ (greenhill jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 57.29  
10  AVA'S LOOK 9 73 64 67 821¾ 829 846 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 10% 8.90 6.52  
SOCIAL AFFAIR 3 52 74 7 922¼ 930½ 950¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 20.00 40.86  
SAVA 6 4 53 8 1037¼ 1070½ 10100 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 44.11  
SCR  CHOATE               (nihei michelle)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT-10:46
See original race card.
:211 :442 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEITLOS 5 7 74 73   3½ 1¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 9% 10.50 3.45 W
DAZZLING BLUE 6 8 6 52   2nk 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.71 P
HAPPY AM I 1 5 21 41   1nk 31 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 15.44  
POSITANO SUNSET 4 9 8 84   6 43 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 7.55  
SPEEDY TRAVELER 3 3 11 1½   5 5 (bauer a)TORRES A 118 4.50 18% 4.60 4.23  
10  CURRENT CLIMATE 9 6 52 2½   41 6 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 28.22  
LAST LEAF 2 4 3 6   8 7 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.96  
BACKYARD MONEY 7 2 9 9   96 811¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 19.27  
CONDENSATION 8 1 4 31   74 912½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 4.72  
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
 
CD-10   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-11:17
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BEAUTY N THE BOLT 10 7 5 3   3½ 1½ (delima e)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.73 W
STARCOURT 2 3 3 42   2½ 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 41% 1.40 3.67 P
DARK FURY 5 4 21 1½   1½ 3½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 4.58  
RUBIA 8 9 10 6   5 43 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 125 5.00 12% 7.40 4.51  
10  ARGAN 9 1 11 2½   4 5 (gutierrez)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 7.80  
COMPUTADORA (ARG) 7 10 8 7   6 6 (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.16  
TAMMY'S CRUISER 3 8 9 97   86 7 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 19% 4.20 9.23  
GALADINI 4 2 4 54   75 810 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 8.64  
GREEN FAIRY 1 5 7 10   10 910¾ (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 3.60  
GOLDYS LOCK 6 6 6 86   9 1011½ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 125 12.00 18.68  
SCR  CORRI FELICE               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.