Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - April 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
TDN-2   Win (7/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
TDN-3   Win (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-4   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
TDN-5   Win (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $12.60  
TDN-6   Win (5/7/12/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 2.80
TDN-7   Win (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-8   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:25 1:143       1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO COPY 1 3 2½ 21 2½ 2½ 1¼ (huffman candace)BRACHO A 119 4.00 1.40  
MUTINY 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 2¼ (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 11% 7.70 5.80 P
VISUAL MISSION 2 2 54 5 5 33 31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80 3.20  
OAKS HONEY 5 5 42 4 42 5 4 (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 49% 1.00 1.60  
VICTORY DIVISION 3 4 31 3 32 4 5 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  MISTER MOBIL               (bailey ricardo)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
SCR  SURROUNDER               (johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
 
TDN-2   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIEF ENCOUNTER 4 5 34 31   2nk 1½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 26% 2.80 4.60 W
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 6 3 7 7   5 2½ (poole m)BRACHO A 117 3.00 7.20  
SPUNKY ONE 3 8 8 8   8 31 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 6.50 S
HALO EFFECT 5 2 4 4   32 43 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00 78.50  
DOLCE MARIE 9 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 5 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.50 16% 5.40 1.10  
FEELING EASY 7 7 6 6   7 6 (hamm timothy)PETERSON FERRIN 115 5.00 37% 1.70 6.20  
ZASHIXIARAYAN 8 4 5 5   6 78 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 34.00  
KISSING MEDALS 2 6 1nk 2nk   4 811½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
WILD MARIAH 1 9 911¾ 918¼   9100 9100 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 34.30  
 
TDN-3   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE BLAST 4 5 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.00 W
KADESH 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 13% 6.60 2.30 P
MY BROTHER CAM 2 6 78 4 32 32 3 (ray kevin)DIAZ I 123 4.00 13% 6.90 4.10 S
KERANOS 5 4 4 54 5 43 4 (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00 43.40  
CANDY CRUSHEM 7 3 67 65 66 56 510¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 14.20  
ITASCA 3 7 3 3 44 6 611½ (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
MALIBU CLASSIC 6 2 56 76 717 721¼ 730¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 10.00 10.30  
SCR  BROADWAY SKY               (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00    
 
TDN-4   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:011     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL SCORE 3 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 1 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 24% 3.20 4.00 W
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 6 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 1.10  
CORA CORONA 2 6 5 34   33 3 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 17% 4.90 2.40 S
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE 5 2 3 4   45 44 (lopez jacint)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 28.60  
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 1 5 6 6   5 5 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 22.90  
NATIONAL DIAMOND 4 3 4 5   611½ 613 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 27% 2.80 4.20  
SCR  IT'S E Z               (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
SCR  SOMETHING LUCKY               (doering mark)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
SCR  Z Z BIRD               (vazquez ivan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM 3 3 1nk 1nk   12 1 (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 115 8.00 5.30  
MISS EASY 4 6 6 6   43 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 4.80  
MACHO GIRL 1 7 5 5   22 3 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 6.00 8.20  
MY SUZIE Q 7 1 4¾ 4   33 4 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 5% 19.00 3.40  
FOUR BLESSINGS 5 5 3.2 2nk   5 5 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 8.00 7.30  
BETTY'S SONG 2 4 2nk 3.2   6 611¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50 71% 0.40 1.30  
VIMISOFA 6 2 7 7   710¼ 719¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 65.80  
SCR  DELOVELY               (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50    
 
TDN-6   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOULLESS 3 8 3.2 2nk   1nk 12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 5% 17.70 5.40 W
OLLIE'S FOLLY 1 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (rone mike)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 14.00  
12  D J'S FIRST STEP 11 2 4 4¾   3 32 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11% 8.20 17.60 S
BRIGHTER DAY 4 6 9 911¾   68 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 33% 2.00 5.60  
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN 6 5 5 6   56 5 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 5.00 25% 3.00 9.50  
11  ROLL ON MAX 10 3 2nk 3.2   4 6 (rone penny)DIAZ I 119 10.00 10.00  
DRILIN' FOR GEMS 8 7 6 5   79 713¾ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 27.60  
10  MY HOMBRE 9 1 7 8   1011¾ 813¾ (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00 22.30  
LUCKY VICTOR 5 9 10 1012   810½ 914 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 28.20  
COLORFUL LAD 7 11 8 7   910¾ 1016½ (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 123 12.00 5% 17.70 1.00  
WHY KENNY WHY 2 10 1114½ 1118   1117¾ 1125 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 20.00 56.10  
SCR  BUMPKIN               (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 4.00    
 
TDN-7   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT 5 3 3 2   2nk 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 1.60 37% 1.70 0.50 W
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 4 6 46 3   33 2 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 12.00 12% 7.60 13.70 P
GOING IN STYLE 2 4 12 1   1nk 3 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90 S
CENTSOFWANDER 6 2 6 510   5 4 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 119 10.00 16.10  
DISCLOSURE 7 1 79 4   47 5 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 45.20  
BLESS THE KITTEN 1 7 57 6100   6100 6100 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 10.70  
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 3 5 22 7100   7100 7100 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 31% 2.20 3.90  
SCR  DAVID'S GEM               (johnson l)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY DAISY 4 5 4 31   1½ 1 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 12.90 0.60 W
THEODOROPOULOS 2 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 2 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 3.50 68% 0.50 5.80 P
PEARLINTHEROUGH 3 7 63 5   46 3 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 28.50 S
CITRINA 1 3 1½ 1nk   3 4 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 2.50 2.90  
JUMP INTO SANITY 6 4 7 7   5 512¼ (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00 38.10  
BELLAVALENCIA 7 1 3 4   6 615¼ (flores christi)HALDAR J 119 6.00 11.20  
CONTESSINA 5 6 53 6   7 718 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11.40  
SCR  BEING CREATIVE               (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN               (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.