Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.82  
KEE-2   Win (4/2/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.04 $3.04  
KEE-3   Win (3/7/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.52 $6.52  
KEE-4   Win (7/4/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $60.92 $60.92 50.92
KEE-5   Win (12/7/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $51.18 $51.18 43.18
KEE-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.34 $3.34  
KEE-7   Win (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $14.12  
KEE-8   Win (1/9/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $8.06  
KEE-9   Win (4/15/14/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $14.14 $14.14 4.14

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:123 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SITTIN ON GO 5 6 31 21 2nk 21 1hd (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 1.41  
P H FACTOR 6 1 11 11 1nk 11 2hd (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.40 4.37 P
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 2 5 4 4 32 44 3 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 22% 3.50 3.73 S
HOODLUM 3 3 63 54 43 33 4 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.40  
FAITHFUL KING 4 2 21 3 5 57 513¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 16.87  
Q BOND 1 4 5 6 6 610 617¾ (alvarez nery)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 30.00 33.54  
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT               (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :462       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMAWAY 1 4 1nk     1nk 1nk (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 2.00 22% 3.50 0.52 W
CLEVER AGAIN 3 1 2nk     2nk 2nk (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80 3.86 P
MO HAIR SAM 4 6 4     46 3 (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 8.00 21% 3.70 8.41 S
11  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE 7 5 3     3 45 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 7.61  
SACKETT 2 3 6     68 5 (mccutchen jason)CEDILLO ABEL 119 30.00 57.15  
12  MONEYLINE 8 2 55     5 6 (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 39.31  
BAYTOWN BEATLE 5 8 7     711 712 (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 26.43  
MENDELLO 6 7 813¾     814 816¾ (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 30.00 33.98  
SCR  HAPPYFLYER               (o'donnell mar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  JOHNNY COME LATELY               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  SERGEANT CAPPS               (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00    
SCR  TAPIRS VALOR               (hancock john )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  THE TONER               (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:11 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEGESTA 8 2 3 3 31 1 1½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 13% 7.00 2.26 W
TIMELESS ELEGANCE 3 9 10 98 74 43 2½ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 126 8.00 33% 2.00 2.74 P
11  CLARET BERET 10 5 4 5 52 2 31 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.91 S
10  PISCIOTTA (GB) 9 11 12 11 10 9 43 (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.45  
BIG DIG 2 1 65 65 42 33 5 (bahena is)DE CRUZ 126 20.00 42.69  
12  GLO GLO 11 8 5 4 63 8 6 (damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 32.62  
SPEAK UP 6 6 7 87 8 7 7 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 15% 5.80 6.23  
13  MS. LILIBET 12 7 2½ 2½ 1½ 5 88 (williamson brian)ASHTON GAVIN 126 20.00 68.27  
STAR ANISE 1 12 8 76 9 10 9 (brinkman bret)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 26.80  
LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) 4 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 6 10 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 12% 7.00 11.69  
TOFFEE APPLE 5 4 11 1211 12 11 1110¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 33.06  
EXHILARATE 7 10 9 109 11 1210 1212¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 16.71  
SCR  CHOATE               (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
SCR  DREAM ON STORMY               (winston d)OUZTS W 126 30.00    
SCR  MYIYLA               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSIBLE CHOICE 8 8 6 75 6 46 1hd (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 29.46 W
MATURITY DATE 7 9 8 65 34 3 2hd (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 48% 1.10 2.67 P
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 9 3 1 1½ 22 2 33 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8% 11.80 5.30 S
11  ELLIPTIC (IRE) 11 7 3 2½ 12 1 4 (vaccarezza carl)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00 5.27  
GHEE FOR THE WIN 3 5 4 3 44 5 57 (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.55  
MISS HARMONIC 2 1 9 98 7 6 6 (forster t)LANERIE J 118 6.00 10.78  
NO SHOW 1 2 7 8 810 814¾ 722¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.59  
10  QUEEN RHAENYRA 10 11 10 10 910½ 714½ 824½ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00 10.00  
COLETTE'S JOY 4 6 2 42 5 916¼ 926¼ (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 16% 5.40 4.44  
SOLVENT 6 10 1110¾ 1117½ 1131½ 1144¼ 1086¼ (chavez manuel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 84.35  
SONG BRIDGE 5 4 5 5 1018½ 1034¼ 1186¾ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 126 15.00 17.80  
 
KEE-5   04/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:21 :432 :55     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLEAR THE AIR 10 4 4 4   1nk 1 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 24.59 W
DEMOLITION DUKE 3 9 10 10   7 2 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 9% 10.80 1.63 P
12  SALT SPRAY (IRE) 12 3 3.2 1½   2nk 3 (ward a)LANERIE J 124 4.00 41% 1.40 8.07 S
DOUBLE CLUTCH 6 7 7 7   44 4 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 5.92  
11  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 11 8 5 53   5 5 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 48.55  
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 4 11 11 1110   12 6 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 30.00 75.22  
JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) 7 10 9 99   11 7 (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.50 27% 2.70 4.81  
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 8 12 1211¼ 1210½   96 8 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 13.21  
RANSOMWARE 2 5 6 6   8 9 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00 7.45  
CHAPLIN 1 2 1nk 32   6 10 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 12.90  
RIGEL 5 6 8 88   10 11 (sancal murat)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00 60.82  
MACKVILLE 9 1 2nk 2½   33 12 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 27.08  
 
KEE-6   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAGOON GUARD 6 4 2½ 2nk   1 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 38% 1.60 0.67 W
TERM 2 6 56 5   3 2 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 24% 3.10 4.26 P
ROCK N ROLL BOLT 1 1 1½ 1nk   2 311½ (camejo m)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 12% 7.00 3.62 S
MAP TO THE STARS 5 5 44 4   47 414 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 23.12  
SESAME STREEK 4 3 33 33   5 516½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 23.70  
TEMECULA 3 2 611 6100   6100 6100 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 8.43  
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113 1:351   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 7 1 2 2 2 2nk 1 (schultz lindsa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 6.06  
BLISSFUL 3 3 1 1 1 1nk 2 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9% 9.70 13.95 P
IMMENSITUDE (FR) 4 4 43 4 43 32 32 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.20 33% 2.00 2.47 S
HEAVENLY APPOINTED 6 5 5 56 5 4 4 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 26% 2.90 2.61  
FLATTER ME SILLY 2 2 7 67 7 55 5 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 10.00 27.27  
VALENTINA DAY 1 8 8 88 8 6 66 (toye li)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 20.84  
10  CANISY 8 6 33 34 33 76 710½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5.34  
WATCH THIS BIRDIE 5 7 6 77 6 88 814½ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 8% 11.80 4.58  
SCR  QUEEN OF MISSOULA               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  TIC TIC TIC BOOM               (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:213 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFFA'S DAY 5 4 52 4   4 1½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 3.03  
10  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 10 7 7 76   7 2½ (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 118 12.00 31.53  
SWOT ANALYSIS 6 2 3½ 3   2nk 31 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 18% 4.60 9.68 S
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 8 8 65 65   5 4 (brown paul )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 84.44  
CHAMPLIN 9 3 1½ 21   1nk 5 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 25% 3.00 2.61  
12  INSOLITO 11 1 2½ 11   3.2 6 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 118 15.00 36.84  
LUDWIG 1 5 4 55   6 75 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 26% 2.80 4.17  
READY TO POUNCE 4 9 1110½ 1010½   9 8 (pessin l)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 14.80  
HIGHER STANDARD 3 10 9 8   8 9 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 7% 13.70 6.20  
POWERFUL 7 6 8 9   10 10 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 9.54  
BAYTOWN BEAR 2 11 108 1111½   1113¼ 1116 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 74.41  
SCR  BUSHIDO               (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:113 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  COCO CRUSH 8 7 43 53 23 22 1¾ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 13% 6.50 6.07 W
RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) 3 1 1 11 13 12 2¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.20 41% 1.40 0.66 P
15  STAY LOST 9 9 9 9 8 5 3 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 126 6.00 18% 4.70 15.44 S
LIPOCHROME 4 5 2 21 33 33 4 (torres concep)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 10.00 26.75  
SEMANTICS 5 6 5 4 45 4 5 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 126 20.00 5% 19.00 7.37  
MUNEERA 1 2 76 8 7 6 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9.22  
SISTER HONEY 6 3 6 6 6 79 7 (antonucci m)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 7% 14.10 19.03  
HAMPTON YARD 2 8 8 7 9 9 8 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 32.52  
16  WHY WASTE WORDS 10 10 10 10 10 1010½ 9 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 22.88  
I'M A COOKIE LOVER 7 4 3 3 5 89 10 (kerrick lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 74.37  
SCR  DAY DAWNING               (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  DONA WITCH               (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 126 15.00    
SCR  MISS LOVEY DOVEY               (lestingi mary)RIQUELME J 118 50.00    
SCR  MO DIVINE               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 126 12.00    
SCR  MY SEXY BLONDE               (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
SCR  TIDAL TACTICS               (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 126 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.