Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $9.86  
KEE-2   Win (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $35.30 $35.30 29.30
KEE-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.36 $3.36  
KEE-4   Win (8/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $27.48  
KEE-5   Win (10/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $47.00  
KEE-6   Win (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.08 $3.08  
KEE-7   Win (14/7/9/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $14.16  
KEE-8   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $7.64  
KEE-9   Win (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.58 $7.58  
KEE-10   Win (11/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:123     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SPLENDID 3 3 31 2nk   11 1¼ (tomlinson mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 3.93  
GREYHOUND STATION 4 1 2½ 31   21 2¼ (stall m)TORRES A 118 2.00 38% 1.60 0.46 P
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 2 2 44 4   32 3 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 3.99  
LYNNA 1 4 1½ 1nk   412 430 (cohn g)LANERIE J 125 12.00 5% 19.00 8.34  
SCR  AVA'S STORM               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 4.00    
SCR  BOLT ON THE ROCKS               (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  OH MACARENA               (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
SCR  PIGEON CAY               (reed r)MCKEE J 125 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:213 :441 :56     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSIEUR CANDY 5 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (cohn g)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.65 W
BEER RUN 9 2 6 64   3 2 (ward a)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 64% 0.60 2.59 P
BOLT ACTION 8 10 7 75   6 3 (stall m)TORRES A 125 5.00 10% 9.10 5.62 S
11  COWBOY CACHE 11 9 9 86   7 4 (dutrow e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 3.64  
ROYAL CAROL 1 5 4 3   2 5 (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 8.01  
10  DON CORLEONE 10 3 2½ 2½   4 610½ (miller peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 6.12  
BALTIMORE HEART 3 6 5 42   56 710½ (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 56.11  
GOLDENTOWN 6 8 10 108   1011 811¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 6.01  
TOO FRACING LUCKY 4 4 11 11   810 912 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 50.17  
12  STEEL LINK 12 7 3 5   910½ 1013¾ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 71.56  
MAINTAIN 7 12 12 1210   1113½ 1115¼ (mccutchen jason)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 83.83  
KING HAZELTON 2 11 8 97   1215½ 1224½ (spraggins kenneth )RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 29.18  
SCR  GLACIAL POWER               (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB)               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  PLUNDER               (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
SCR  SIDE EYE               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.50    
 
KEE-3   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUPKAR 1 2 11 1nk   12 1½ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 42% 1.40 0.68 W
ABITIBI 4 4 42 2nk   22 2½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 3.23  
ATLANTIC STRIKE 2 1 32 32   3 3 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 16% 5.10 6.88 S
STAND BY YOU 5 5 54 4   4 4 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.56  
FAIRY CAKES (GB) 3 3 21 5   57 510¼ (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 17.28  
SCR  HOPE OVER FEAR               (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 10.00    
SCR  LA TOURISTA               (pino michael )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
 
KEE-4   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE THE TREES 6 10 1011¼ 910½   5 1¾ (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 12.74  
HOLD MY BOURBON 1 7 3 3   2½ 2¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 21% 3.70 3.40 P
RUN JALEN RUN 8 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 31 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 52% 0.90 1.37 S
SIZE LORD 4 1 1½ 2nk   3½ 4 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
11  ADRIFT 10 8 8 79   7 5 (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 26.27  
EL PELIGRO 7 3 63 4   45 66 (torres concepc)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00 61.48  
RUNAWAY JOKE 2 5 5 5   66 7 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 26.79  
10  LEBOMBO 9 9 911 1012½   8 8 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 24.75  
KNICKS HERO 3 6 4 68   9 913 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6% 17.10 8.93  
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 5 4 74 8   1011¼ 1014¾ (heath g)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 25.94  
SCR  CASA LIMON               (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
SCR  COWBOY LUKE               (quartarolo antho)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  ORIZZONTE               (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  TALBINGO               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  TOSCANO               (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:111 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVAN HARLAN 7 2 32 3 2 2½ 1¼ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 22.50  
DUDE N COLORADO (GB) 9 1 11 1½ 1 1½ 2¼ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 5% 19.00 5.63 P
ESCAPE ARTIST 1 5 5 5 5 33 3 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7.95 S
FREEDOM'S WAY 3 3 6 75 7 54 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20 3.87  
JUDGE DAVIS 5 9 10 10 6 76 5 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 13.76  
10  GREEK ORDER (GB) 10 11 9 96 9 8 65 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 34% 1.90 1.47  
JOHN DUTTON 6 7 43 43 44 6 7 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 51.45  
COMMON BOND 4 6 21 2½ 3 4 8 (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 65.06  
BANISHING 8 8 7 6 87 98 911½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 27% 2.70 6.71  
11  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 11 10 11 11 1011½ 1011 1019½ (jarvis kathy)TORRES A 118 15.00 44.66  
FEBRUARY SON 2 4 85 85 11100 11100 11100 (granitz anth)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 41.85  
 
KEE-6   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERY 2 2 31 3   1nk 1 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 30% 2.30 0.54 W
RHAPSODY 4 1 11 1   2nk 2 (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 22% 3.50 5.12 P
SHE'S COOL 6 3 21 2   3 3 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 14.46  
CALLE AMADA 1 5 5 6   45 4 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 26% 2.80 4.08  
THESE APPLES 3 4 42 4   56 513¾ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 18.33  
YUMA'S SHADOW 5 6 6 5   6 616 (kubinova eliska)ROMAN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 13.65  
SCR  ANTIQUE SILVER               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  PRINCESA CELINA               (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
 
KEE-7   04/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OCEANIC 7 8 75 66   4 1 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 6.08  
11  JUST MIGHT 8 1 1 13   1 2 (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 4.50 5.16  
AXTHELM 5 2 5 89   7 3 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 23% 3.40 2.98 S
WINFROMWITHIN 2 5 32 34   33 4 (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 11% 7.80 7.49  
AMBIVALENT 3 3 8 7   8 5 (forster t)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 8.59  
14  CHERUBIC FACTOR 10 7 4 4   5 6 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 26% 2.80 6.58  
MARK OF THE Z 6 4 2 23   2 73 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 118 12.00 16% 5.10 10.12  
GENTLE SOUL 1 10 98 910½   9 84 (calhoun wil)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.77  
13  LET MY PEOPLE GO 9 9 65 55   65 95 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 16.66  
OLYMPIC RUNNER 4 6 10 1011   10 10 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.84  
SCR  BAL A KAZOO               (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 15.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S TOWER               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
SCR  KANTHARI               (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50    
SCR  NICE ACE               (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  OUTLAW KID               (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
KEE-8   04/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:122 1:37   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CAGLIOSTRO 8 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 1¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 2.82  
DREAMLIKE 1 3 3 4 3 22 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 37% 1.70 0.62 P
BRIGADE COMMANDER 4 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 3 37 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 118 6.00 27% 2.60 9.66 S
HAVILDAR 2 4 64 5 5 4 4 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 14.77  
SINGLE DOT YAHT 7 5 7 7 7 6 59 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 18.12  
GLEN AIRY 6 6 42 31 4 57 69 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 5% 19.00 36.55  
GAME WARDEN 3 8 8 8 88 810½ 712¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 19.31  
EGON 5 7 52 6 65 710 812½ (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 32.61  
SCR  HURRY HURRY               (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  STONEMONT REUNION               (rider m)MOJICA JR 118 50.00    
 
KEE-9   04/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Baird Doubledogdare Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGING SEA 1 1 4 4 3 11 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.79 W
HIDDEN CONNECTION 6 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 21 2 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.53 P
SCYLLA 3 5 52 52 6 43 3 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 118 1.60 27% 2.70 1.14 S
LOVED 4 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 32 46 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.40 3.37  
QUEEN OF MISSOULA 2 7 7 7 7 6 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 29.99  
SADDLE UP JESSIE 5 6 6 6 53 5 610¼ (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 12.85  
CURL GIRL 7 2 31 31 42 77 714 (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 16.07  
 
KEE-10   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:112 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NORTHERN INVADER 10 7 1½ 11 11 12 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 44% 1.30 1.50 W
BELOUNI (FR) 1 5 76 7 4 22 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 21% 3.70 4.88 P
10  NOISES OFF 9 6 3 4 21 3 3 (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 8.46  
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 3 2 2½ 21 5 4 4 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 10% 9.00 4.93  
SCOOBIE QUANDO 6 4 86 96 9 66 55 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 16.85  
LOYAL COMPANY 5 8 98 85 85 76 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.73  
WICKED FINN 8 9 65 52 32 55 77 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00 28.83  
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 7 10 109 10 10 99 88 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 83.59  
DHABAB (IRE) 4 3 5 6 74 87 9 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 15.41  
CHIRON 2 1 44 3 6 10 1010¾ (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 93.29  
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF               (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.