Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-4   Win (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-5   Win (10/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
TUP-6   Win (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TUP-8   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TUP-9   Win (5/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $19.80 $19.80 13.80

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   04/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY BAY RAE 2 5 5 4   1nk 11 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.50 W
ZORINA 6 6 6 54   4 21 (moreno ca)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 10.70  
MUSICAL DIVA 3 1 2nk 3½   3 33 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 18% 4.70 4.40 S
AVOIR 1 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 4 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 2.00 37% 1.70 1.50  
CALEBS LADY 4 4 3½ 1nk   5 57 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 4.50 5.20  
CAN'T WANT THAT 5 3 4 6   6 612 (eikleberry kevin)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00 19.00  
 
TUP-4   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUTION CARDINAL 7 6 5 31   1nk 1 (story chad)MAWING A 121 3.50 11% 8.40 1.50 W
MOON SHINE TIME 6 4 3½ 1½   2nk 2 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 59% 0.70 4.80 DQ↓3
DON JUAN BUBBA 5 1 2nk 2½   3.2 3 (eikleberr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 1.00  
ARIZONA DAVIN 1 5 4 54   4 4 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 121 4.00 14.60  
MARVELOUS MARK 2 3 6 7   5 5 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00 43.70  
PARETO'S PRINCIPLE 3 7 7 66   6 610 (esquibel ma)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 7% 14.00 16.00  
GONZAGA BAY 4 2 1nk 44   710¾ 717½ (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
 
TUP-5   04/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:102 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR LOVE MUFFIN 3 3 3 4 3 1 1 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 7% 12.90 3.20 W
10  I'M NOBLE 8 1 2½ 1nk 1½ 2 2 (person a)CRUZ M 122 5.00 33% 2.00 2.30 P
MOUNTAIN BREEZE 1 5 610 7 5 5 3 (moreno carlo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00 9% 9.60 7.60 S
HEIR (FR) 6 8 710½ 6 74 43 4 (fuentes r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 20% 4.00 5.40  
GREENBRIER 2 6 57 5 64 6 5 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 25.60  
INNOCENT MAN 5 4 4 3 4 8 6 (sepich f)CORBETT W 116 6.00 11.70  
WARRENS CANDY MAN 4 7 810¾ 8 8 7 7 (perez s)MAWING A 122 6.00 7.20  
COLOR ME LEGENDARY 7 2 1½ 2nk 2½ 33 811½ (silva jr)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 3.50  
SCR  NYQUILER               (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00    
SCR  WHISKEY VISION               (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:22 :444       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVIAN 5 1 11     1 1nk (christian billy)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 14% 6.20 1.00 W
FIRST EMERALD 6 3 21     2 2nk (christian billy)CRUZ M 124 0.80 45% 1.20 1.40 P
WRIGHT WINGED 3 2 33     34 34 (gutierrez qu)CORBETT W 124 4.00 20% 4.10 7.20 S
DANIELLE'S SECRET 2 5 614     611½ 47 (lawrence he)IRONEYES R 119 15.00 34.30  
POETIC PURSUIT 1 4 510     510½ 5 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 4.10  
ROSES FOR SUZZETT 4 6 4     48 6 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 43.60  
SCR  TOTHEMOONANDBACK               (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KO OLINA 1 4 1½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (ferguson la)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 64% 0.60 2.00 W
CHARMANT E 2 7 41 1nk   2nk 2¼ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.40 P
WORK N FLIRT 6 8 5 3½   3 3 (valerio raymond )REYES R 117 4.50 5% 18.60 3.00 S
KIRA FEVER 7 2 7 7   7 42 (kenn)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 11.40  
SUPER ANNIE 8 1 8 8   8 5 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 12.80  
SPRINKLES 3 3 62 63   4 6 (matt wendell)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 13.10  
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) 4 5 2½ 41   54 710 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 1.60  
LADY OF THE RIVER 5 6 31 5   65 812¼ (perez s)CRUZ M 122 15.00 50.20  
 
TUP-8   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:213 :441 :561     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE DOCTOR 4 5 5 4¾   2nk 1 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 124 1.40 59% 0.70 0.10 W
ROLL DEM BONES 3 2 1nk 1½   1nk 2 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00 11.60  
NEW EVERY MORNING 6 1 31 2½   3½ 3 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 15.90 S
JOKER MATT 2 4 4 5   41 4 (bourdieu martin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 10% 9.20 4.60  
LIL LATIGO 1 6 6 6   6 511½ (lauf)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00 69.90  
SO CAL MEMORY 5 3 2nk 3½   53 612¾ (cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00 28.30  
SCR  PERFORMATIVE               (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
 
TUP-9   04/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:11 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW 9 1 1 11 1½ 1 1¾ (schnell don)PENA BRYAN 118 4.50 33% 2.00 8.90 W
GOALINE 6 4 2 43 32 33 2¾ (belvoir vann)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 20.00 45.60  
VINNIEBOB 3 6 54 54 64 4 31 (story chad)CRUZ M 124 4.00 3.40 S
ADMIRALTY PLACE (GB) 4 3 4 3 2½ 2 4 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 0.60  
EARTHLY TIGER 2 2 6 64 4 55 5 (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 15.10  
PURE CANE SUGAR 1 7 7 76 8 7 6 (toye joe)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 7.20 DH
GOLDEN AFFAIR 8 9 9 8 7 6 6 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 40.70 DH
R BARRACUDA 7 5 3 21 54 811 814½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00 9.90  
EXTRA BEAT 5 8 8 911 913¾ 919 919¼ (drys)DA FAUSTO 118 20.00 39.10  
SCR  CALCULATED SPIN               (davis c)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.