Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.06 $4.06  
KEE-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.38 $2.38  
KEE-3   Win (4/7/2/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $10.86  
KEE-4   Win (1/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.10 $10.10 2.10
KEE-5   Win (2/4/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.26  
KEE-6   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.82 $7.82 1.82
KEE-7   Win (1/14/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $105.78  
KEE-8   Win (9/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $19.68  
KEE-9   Win (6/1/7/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $52.78  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:131 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S JOURNEY 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 12 1 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 67% 0.50 1.03 W
GLENBROOK GERRY 2 4 43 31 33 33 2 (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.61 P
BRICKLAYER 4 6 57 5 5 44 3 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 13.90  
MONEYSHOT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 22 4 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.20 2.02  
COASTING BY 3 5 610½ 69 611¼ 612 514¾ (cannon stev)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 49.00  
PRIORITY LANE 6 3 3 41 4 512 639¼ (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 7% 12.80 6.67  
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
 
KEE-2   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMA GRACE 1 1 1nk     13 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.20 42% 1.40 0.19 W
KISS CAM 5 4 35     23 2 (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 14.30  
BAYTOWN SHINJUKU 4 3 4     4 3 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 11.69  
CALCETINES 3 5 511½     511 410½ (fernandez kelly )AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 27.94  
HAVEN'T A RED CENT 2 2 2nk     3 514 (ennis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 19% 4.20 4.80  
SCR  HEY SCOOTER               (ginter raym)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE               (demeritte la)MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 30.00    
SCR  BIV               (hancock a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50    
SCR  BELMONTIS               (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
SCR  RUNSWEETLY               (o'donnell marcu)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY               (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABRINA 1 7 77 7   31 12 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 4.43  
BABY SASSICAIA 7 6 66 8   41 22 (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 14.70 7.33 P
UP THE CREEK 4 8 5 42   1½ 32 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5.01  
11  GRAYTON 9 2 2½ 2nk   5 48 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 14.86  
CANDY LOVER 5 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 510 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 22% 3.60 3.23  
10  HEDGE THESE BETS 8 10 10 9   9 612¼ (seglin e)CEDILLO ABEL 125 30.00 74.38  
12  STAGFLATION 10 1 9 10   6 712½ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.89  
LIFE ADVICE 3 4 4 3   7 813½ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.76  
EVERMORE 6 9 8 6   10 915¾ (correas iv)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 28.22  
BEAUTY OF THE NILE 2 5 31 5   8 1016¼ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 17% 4.80 15.00  
SCR  MONARCH               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN               (tomlinson mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
 
KEE-4   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:382   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR DREAM RYE'D 6 5 4 4 1½ 1 1 (walden william)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 29% 2.40 4.05 W
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 3 3 2½ 21 2½ 2 2 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 1.09  
SMILE MON 1 4 67 6 34 3 3 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 2.00 31% 2.30 2.30 S
WHAT'S UP DOC 7 7 7 7 712 411½ 414¼ (ginter raym)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 5% 19.00 27.42  
JOINT VENTURE 4 1 3 3 5 513½ 520¾ (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00 13.30  
POOL GUY 5 6 55 5 6 718 633 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.14  
PRESIDER 2 2 1½ 11 46 618 737 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 9% 10.00 13.27  
SCR  KOLOMIO               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00    
SCR  ROUTE RUNNER               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:121 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVES OF MISCHIEF 1 3 3 3 4 1nk 11 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 2.63  
DEEP SATIN 9 9 9 10 105 4 21 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.34  
BEYOND LUCKY 3 5 1 11 1½ 2nk 3 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 3.89 S
KIMBER SPICE 2 1 42 42 5 64 4 (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 35% 1.80 7.83  
CENTURIA (IRE) 4 8 8 9 63 32 5 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 23% 3.30 6.53  
11  DON'T LOOK BACK 10 6 75 8 8 8 6 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 17.62  
FOR LOVE AND HONOR 8 7 64 7 9 75 7 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 30.00 45.02  
FIGGY 7 2 53 52 31 53 8 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00 6.36  
12  ALWAYS WANTING 11 4 2 21 2½ 97 915 (elliott m)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 19% 4.20 15.06  
BLUE HAIRDO 6 11 1110¾ 11 11 1015 1026 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 51.32  
FUN LOVING 5 10 10 63 73 1120 1142¾ (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 26.34  
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
SCR  CARNANE (IRE)               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  OFF THE LAM               (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
 
KEE-6   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:121 1:38   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 1 1 1½ 1½ 1 1nk 1¼ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20 2.91 W
REYNOLDS CHANNEL 4 3 54 5 43 2nk 2¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 17% 4.90 2.82 P
SECRET CRUSH 6 4 3 32 32 3 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 34% 1.90 0.93 S
SARDIS 5 6 612 610½ 58 45 4 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 20.11  
CROSSING 2 2 2½ 2½ 2 5 510¼ (lauer micha)BEALMEAR C 119 8.00 10.42  
AXED AVENGER 3 5 44 43 611 623½ 657½ (acevedo israel)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 45.65  
SCR  TAPIT'S TALE               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 126 15.00    
 
KEE-7   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME TREAT 4 9 8 7   43 1 (wojczynski j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 51.89  
14  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 9 1 11 1½   12 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 20% 4.00 2.03 P
L J'S EMMA 3 7 9 9   6 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 9% 9.80 3.83 S
YOUR SO SILLEA 6 2 3 5   3 4 (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.82  
DARING DO 5 4 5 3   22 5 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00 5.85  
13  MISS ARLINGTON 8 3 21 2½   53 64 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 25.60  
MARISSA'S LADY 1 5 4 4   7 74 (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 44% 1.30 3.22  
BENEDICT CANYON 2 8 75 6   8 8 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 8.81  
10  JILL JITTERBUG 7 6 6 8   9 9 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.98  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB)               (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SCR  CURRENT CLIMATE               (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE)               (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  RUSTY MY BROTHER               (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  TIME FOR AN ANGEL               (bourke john)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DISTRACTOR 3 6 1 11   1 1 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 8.84  
KNEEDEEPINSNOW 9 4 3 21   2 2 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90 1.73 P
ZIPPIN GIGI 8 1 2 32   3 3 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.68  
SECRET RULES 2 7 6 77   610½ 4 (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.70 3.65  
FITZPATRICK 1 9 8 66   4 5 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 20.30  
BORN FLAWLESS 6 5 95 810   712 614¼ (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.75  
AWESOME AARON 5 8 7 56   510 716¾ (green troy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 31.29  
VULCAN 7 3 5 910¼   913 817¾ (sims matthew)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
UNRAPTURED 4 2 4 45   812 917¾ (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5.39  
 
KEE-9   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:214 :44 :554     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NIKI NINE DOORS 10 5 12 12   16 13 (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 25.39  
LA SALVADORENA 5 10 10 9   5 23 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11.20  
SHORE WAR 2 2 4 54   47 3 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6% 16.20 3.28 S
RILEY JEAN 7 6 5 44   37 46 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 11% 8.30 11.89  
VICKI ROSE 8 3 32 22   26 5 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 7% 13.70 12.39  
MO LANTERN 6 8 9 8   611 6 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.50 41% 1.50 3.55  
MAMBO MASTER 4 7 86 10   912¾ 7 (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 10.94  
GAL CAPONE 9 9 65 7   711¼ 810 (pittma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 85.81  
BOUGIE NOT BASIC 1 4 7 67   811¼ 911¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.00 2.20  
MOONLIT MISCHIEF 3 1 22 3   1014¾ 1017¼ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00 20.54  
12  NOW HIRING 11 11 1112¼ 1113¾   1120¾ 1127¾ (fields christoph)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 83.50  
SCR  DAY DAWNING               (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  FROM SCRATCH               (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND               (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  SATIN BLUE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  TOTAL CLASS               (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.