Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $13.40  
AQU-2   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.20  
AQU-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
AQU-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 0.10
AQU-5   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $9.30  
AQU-6   Win (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
AQU-7   Win (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $14.00  
AQU-8   Win (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE NO TRACE 5 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 5.70  
DAME CINCO 1 3 4 4   31 2¼ (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 6% 16.60 7.50 P
STARSHIP DEFIANT 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00 2.70  
PROUD FOOT 3 4 3 3½   4 4 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 43% 1.30 1.05  
PORTAGE 2 5 5 58   58 5 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 17% 4.80 4.60  
 
AQU-2   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKSON'S DIXIE 3 5 11 1   11 1½ (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 3.10  
TRUE EMPRESS 2 4 5 4   21 2½ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 123 6.00 22% 3.50 6.90 P
HARLAN'S BOND 4 2 32 3   42 3 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00 10.30 S
BANK ON ANNA 5 1 21 2   32 4 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 1.75  
SILKEN DOLLAR 1 3 43 5   5 5 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 41% 1.50 1.65  
 
AQU-3   03/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:13 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE WATER FLOW 1 3 4¾ 4 2½ 13 1 (reynolds patr)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 2.00 66% 0.50 0.75 W
PAPI ON ICE 2 5 5 5 44 3 2 (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 4.00  
SORPRESO 4 2 1nk 2nk 1½ 23 3 (delauro edward)HOWELL TALBERT 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
CONNECT THE BROCKS 3 4 2nk 1nk 3½ 4 411¼ (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 18.40  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 5 1 3½ 31 58 510 514¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 8.00 5% 18.50 2.25  
SCR  BEARY FUNNY               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60    
 
AQU-4   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Damon Runyon Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONIO OF VENICE 2 2 1½ 1   15 1 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 22% 3.60 1.05 W
MISCHIEF JOKE 4 3 2½ 2   25 2 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.80 55% 0.80 0.80 P
AELFGAR 1 4 44 37   39 310½ (sells rache)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00 18.50  
MAD BANKER 3 1 32 49   412 416½ (potts wa)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 8.50  
SCR  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS               (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60    
 
AQU-5   03/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:131 1:383   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 7 4 45 32 3½ 1nk 11 (d'alessandro )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 3.65  
COLLOQUY 3 7 7 6 5 2nk 21 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 40% 1.50 1.60 P
CANDY TYCOON 6 2 2 21 2nk 33 34 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80 3.15 S
LORD GATLING 5 1 35 4 42 4 4 (potts wayne)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 6.00 3.60  
HANG TIGHT 2 5 6 7 7 6 5 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 15.00 18.40  
DATESFREEDOM 4 6 57 53 6 5 610¼ (delauro edw)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 57.50  
PHOEBE'S FROSTY 1 3 1 11 1nk 7 721¼ (arenas m)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
 
AQU-6   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL VARGO 8 1 31 31   1½ 1 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80 66% 0.50 1.65 W
DYNAMITE KARMA 9 6 5 5   2½ 2 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 10% 9.10 8.50 P
MR PHIL 7 2 1nk 2nk   3½ 32 (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00 21.90  
FIRST DEPUTY 5 8 6 6   53 4 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 2.85  
CHARLIE FIVE O 2 3 2nk 1nk   4 56 (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 12.70  
F F ROCKET 4 5 7 710¾   78 6 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 6.80  
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 6 7 810¼ 912¼   9 78 (jones edua)DAVIS A 118 30.00 67.25  
STRIKING SPEED 1 4 4 4   64 811½ (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
HONORARY DEGREE 3 9 912¼ 810¾   8 913¼ (persaud randi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 12.00 16.50  
 
AQU-7   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST East View Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:222 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BROWN SUGAR 2 5 31 1½   12 14 (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 6.00  
BERNIETAKESCHARGE 7 1 2½ 3½   22 24 (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 25% 3.00 0.80 P
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 1 7 53 5   4 35 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 45% 1.20 1.75 S
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 5 3 6 6   5 4 (chichakly amir)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
BUSTIN TIME 4 2 1½ 2½   3 5 (davis robbie)RIVERA R 118 30.00 74.75  
RUMINT 6 4 42 45   69 610 (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 16.60  
SOLOSHOT 3 6 7 712¼   717 725½ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 40.75  
 
AQU-8   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BOURBON 6 2 2nk 12   13 11 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.30  
ZHEN LOU 8 4 3½ 22   23 21 (d'alessandro ra)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 2.80  
NECESSARYANDPROPER 4 1 1nk 32   34 3 (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 43% 1.30 2.30 S
LADY LAWRENCE 1 3 42 5   412 412¼ (progno michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
JEN'S KISS 7 5 53 49   512½ 515¾ (quick j)LUZZI J 120 10.00 7.20  
STONEY LONESOME 3 8 611 620¼   618 617¾ (sells rache)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
KNIGHT TRAIL 5 7 825½ 831¾   726 721¾ (serpe m)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 28% 2.60 7.80  
DACTILOGRAFA 2 6 711½ 727¼   841 873½ (jimenez jose )PAREDES JHOVANY 120 15.00 28.00  
SCR  MANGIA               (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 5.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA               (persaud randi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 30.00    
SCR  WILD MAGIC               (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.