Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
TUP-4   Win (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TUP-5   Win (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-6   Win (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
TUP-7   Win (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TUP-8   Win (7/11/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $12.20  
TUP-9   Win (3/5/2/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP ATTITUDE 1 5 1nk 1nk   1 1 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 10% 9.40 3.50 W
SWEET AND EZ 4 3 2nk 2nk   2 2 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 6.00 2.60  
MARK OF VICTORY 3 7 7 3   35 3 (lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 15.80  
TEXAS WENDY 7 1 5 6   6 4 (denny travis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 35.20  
DUKE GIRLS 6 2 3 5   5 5 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 48% 1.10 1.70  
NORTHERN LINCHPIN 5 4 4 7   7 67 (essex charles)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 10% 8.90 3.50  
CALIFORNIA DIVA 2 6 66 4   45 77 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 9.60  
 
TUP-4   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:224 :452 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTPORT CAPTAIN 5 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.90 W
KING ZOG 3 4 3½ 2½   2½ 2 (bainum kelly)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.40 2.40 P
DELTA DELTA 6 3 41 4   34 3 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 6.00 7.20  
DIVERSIFUL 7 2 2½ 3   4 4 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 1.80  
GOALINE 2 7 5 5   56 511 (belvoir van)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 8.20  
KNOCKOUT GUY 4 5 73 66   68 612½ (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00 12% 7.50 35.10  
CALCULATED SPIN 1 6 6 76   79 719 (davis c)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
SCR  ROYAL JOKER               (vale)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:111 1:352   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUERTEVENTURA 3 4 5 6 61 2nk 1nk (thomas jonatha)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 60% 0.70 1.00 W
WAR AT SEA 2 2 4 4 5½ 1nk 2nk (ellis w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 0.90 P
LOW EXPECTATIONS 1 5 1nk 2nk 2nk 3 3 (garcia antoni)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00 9.00  
PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) 6 6 6 52 4¼ 43 4 (evans justin)REYES R 120 6.00 10.80  
SEA TO SUCCESS 4 7 7 7 73 5 511¾ (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00 15% 5.80 34.60  
DESHAMBEAU 7 1 3.2 31 3.2 6 613¼ (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
CREATIVE BID 5 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 7 723¾ (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00 51.80  
SCR  DIAMOND RIM               (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00    
SCR  VITALE               (gangidino lis)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00    
 
TUP-6   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 7:05
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:124 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAKURA BLOSSOM 2 4 7 3½ 42 2nk 1hd (powell leonard)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 37% 1.70 2.10 W
PINK WHITNEY 1 5 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 2hd (o'neill doug)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 2.00  
MADISON RAE 7 1 3 41 3½ 3.2 3 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00 1.70  
WHERE IS ZIZI 5 7 1 1½ 2nk 4¼ 44 (garcia antoni)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00 5.60  
LADY MARY LOU 6 2 43 5 5 5 510 (campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 32% 2.10 16.10  
POP CHART 3 3 6 73 76 6 610¼ (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00 43.40  
ZORINA 4 6 5 62 65 7 710¾ (moreno carlos)RADKE K 122 12.00 6% 15.70 43.40  
 
TUP-7   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:114 1:371   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E J WON THE CUP 4 1 11 11 1nk 11 1 (o'neill doug)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 34% 2.00 0.10 W
LAST CALL LONDON 2 6 55 56 32 21 2 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 17% 4.70 3.80 P
NORWEGIAN CALLUM 3 2 4 45 4 4 34 (cappelluc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 25% 3.10 24.70 S
MEEKING 7 7 21 21 2nk 31 45 (mclean bill)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00 13.30  
GENERAL CROOK 5 5 66 6 6 5 517¼ (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 80.90  
FREEZE 'EM 1 3 79 716½ 711¾ 713¾ 625 (martinez esteban)CORBETT W 122 4.50 10.90  
FERRARI RED 6 4 32 3 5 613½ 726¾ (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00 60.70  
SCR  ARIZONA DAVIN               (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
See original race card.
:223 :44 :553     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY JIMMY 9 1 1nk 13   1 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 120 20.00 5.10  
12  TRUTH SEEKER 12 9 1211½ 9   96 2 (barraza s)CORBETT W 124 4.50 6% 14.50 4.20 P
TULANE TRYST 7 3 6 7   3 33 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 32% 2.10 6.30 S
PRAYER OF JABEZ 5 6 4¾ 23   4 4 (kereluk edward)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00 21.20  
TONY'S TAPIT 4 11 8 8   7 54 (silv)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 17% 5.00 9.80  
11  MINISTER OF SOUL 11 2 5¾ 3   6 6 (martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18% 4.60 22.20  
HIGHLAND GHOST 8 7 7 6   8 7 (jauregui j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00 34.70  
10  HOWBEIT 10 8 104 10   108 8 (evans justin)REYES R 120 15.00 41.70  
PRINCIPE CARLO 1 5 2nk 4   2 9 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 8.00  
KINGDOM HEART 2 4 3½ 5   5 10 (cerin vladimir)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 8.00 3.70  
MOOSE MITCHELL 6 12 9 119   128 1110 (papaprodromou )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
EXXEL 3 10 11 129   118 1210¾ (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 20.00 14.80  
 
TUP-9   03/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Queen Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:13 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE DOLLAR 3 5 32 3 41 2 1 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 36% 1.80 1.70 W
PEPPER MILL 5 1 11 11 1½ 1 2 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 21% 3.80 6.40 P
DELUSIVELY 4 6 5 5 5 3 35 (baze robert)CRUZ M 120 15.00 59.30  
GOLDEN GOPHER 1 8 8 85 9 6 4 (silva gab)BRAVO MISAEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 79.20  
ASCENDANCY 2 9 9 9 8 7 5 (jauregui j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 18% 4.60 1.40  
10  GRACE PERIOD (FR) 10 3 42 42 31 45 6 (powell leonard)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
LOVE TANK 9 10 10 10 10 8 7 (dennison h)TOHILL S 120 6.00 17.80  
FREE AND HUMBLE 7 7 7 74 7 9 811¾ (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 5.30  
LOANA 6 4 64 6 6 10 912¾ (hone bart)CORBETT W 120 8.00 25.10  
STRESSED 8 2 21 21 2½ 55 1014¼ (evans justin)REYES R 120 8.00 37.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.