Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-4   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.80  
TUP-5   Win (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $2.80  
TUP-6   Win (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
TUP-7   Win (6/3/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-8   Win (6/3/8/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $8.60  
TUP-9   Win (10/9/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $27.60 $27.60 17.60

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTACRY 5 2 3½ 3½   2 1nk (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 10% 9.00 1.70 W
SCOPELLO 2 1 1nk 1½   1 2nk (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 25% 2.90 4.50 DQ↓3
FULL BORE 4 3 2nk 2½   3 3¼ (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00 28% 2.50 5.70 P
COASTAL FOG 1 4 4¾ 42   44 4 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 3.00 2.50  
PASSION OF JOE'S 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (hernandez m)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 2.40  
SCR  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF               (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
 
TUP-4   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:12 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER HUNTER 3 6 6 6 31 2nk 1 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.50 1.90  
HEARTBREAK KID 5 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 2 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 29% 2.50 2.40 P
PHILBIN ROAD 6 5 5 5 2nk 3.2 3 (silva pabl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 28% 2.50 3.30 S
START THEM UP 1 1 42 3½ 5 4 414¾ (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 5.80  
SHADYFIED 2 4 3½ 4¾ 6 6 522¼ (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
JOHN GREY 4 2 1½ 1nk 4 5 622¾ (leon prisci)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 3.20  
SCR  KATALEYA               (hurtado cle)IRONEYES R 108 20.00    
 
TUP-5   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
See original race card.
:224 :45 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOL DEL SUR 6 2 2½ 2nk   1 1 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.00 0.40  
SHIP IT RED 3 5 5 3   45 2 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 6.70  
O'BANION (IRE) 1 4 6 6   6 36 (rosales jorge)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00 S
BEDROCK (GB) 4 1 3½ 4   33 4 (christian b)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00 15.20  
FAR BEYOND 2 6 4 5   55 5 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00 7% 13.40 8.20  
STAY HAPPY 5 3 1½ 1nk   2 611¾ (brown jared)MAWING A 122 8.00 16% 5.20 4.60  
SCR  GODSEND (GB)               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
TUP-6   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY BAY RAE 5 5 5 54   3 1 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 3.50 19% 4.20 3.10 W
MUSICAL DIVA 1 2 1nk 1½   11 2 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 41% 1.40 1.20 P
MY BELLA FOR LISA 7 3 4 33   4 35 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 4.90  
WILD RULER 4 7 6 68   68 48 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 8.00 25.60  
MY QUIET PLACE 2 1 2nk 2½   21 5 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 2.60  
MAYA D 3 6 3 4   53 619 (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.40 14.20  
PRAIRIE MOON 6 4 7 712   714 720½ (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 15.00 48.60  
SCR  GORMLEY GAL               (person a)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:20
See original race card.
:221 :444 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BELL 3 7 7 6   43 11 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 3.00 10% 9.20 1.60 W
DAWN AT LAST 6 8 64 43   2 21 (rosales jorge)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 35% 1.80 17.00 P
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND 8 2 31 2nk   1 3 (brown jared)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 3.40  
LUCKY STEPPER 1 9 9 9   8 4 (weaver gordon)RADKE K 124 5.00 4.80  
PALACE STAR 7 3 21 55   5 5 (perkins fra)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 23.20  
BINALLOVERDRINKEN 9 1 4 3   33 65 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 3.00  
SHOUT IT OUT 4 5 5 77   7 7 (bainum ke)BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00 8% 11.70 10.40  
JUMPING JILL FLASH 5 4 11 1nk   64 812¼ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 9% 10.40 20.60  
THE REIGN SONG 2 6 8 8   910¼ 914¼ (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00 61.90  
 
TUP-8   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:48
See original race card.
:224 :454 :572     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE DOCTOR 9 2 5¾ 4¼   1nk 1 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 3.30  
MR. CLUTCH 8 1 3½ 3.2   2nk 2 (rosales jorg)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 8% 11.00 7.90 P
SPEEDING STYLE 3 3 2nk 1nk   3.2 3 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 19% 4.40 4.40 S
LIE AND DENY 2 6 7 7   6 4 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 8% 11.80 15.20  
MORE HONOR 7 5 61 6   5 5 (tate mary)CRUZ M 124 8.00 25.70  
MY CALL 5 7 94 8   8 6 (dominguez a)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 ######  
TEXAS HEDGE 4 8 84 9   95 710¼ (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00 5% 19.00 32.60  
LITTLE CASINO 6 4 1nk 2nk   4¾ 810¾ (martinez este)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70  
WEAR THE CROWN 1 9 4¾ 5   7 920¾ (toye joe)RADKE K 122 12.00 46.80  
 
TUP-9   03/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:121 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AVALON KING 10 4 1 12 11 1½ 1 (o'brien debbie)CRUZ M 124 4.00 26% 2.90 12.80 W
PLAYOFF BOUND 3 6 68 5 43 2½ 2 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 14.30  
MR NAVIGATOR 4 1 4 3 21 3½ 3 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 2.80  
KALINE 7 8 912 9 9 52 4 (mccartney jack)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00 98.80  
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 5 9 810½ 7 8 6 53 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 2.20  
MOVE OVER (GB) 8 5 5 4 3 41 6 (hernandez l)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
ZUMURUDEE 2 11 1114½ 10 10 9 7 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 8.00 10% 9.10 6.90  
HOLY EMPEROR 1 2 35 6 65 7 8 (dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 19% 4.30 19.80  
11  MAD LUTHER 11 7 710 8 7 8 9 (matt l)RADKE K 124 15.00 32.90  
12  BEAT THE HEAT 12 12 1216½ 1213¼ 1212¼ 1211½ 1012¾ (perren a)CORBETT W 124 8.00 17.40  
PONTI PRIDE 9 10 1012½ 1110¼ 1111¼ 1010¾ 1113¼ (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 20% 4.10 15.50  
SMOOTH PAPA 6 3 2 22 55 1111¼ 1216½ (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.