Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 7.00
TUP-4   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.80  
TUP-5   Win (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
TUP-6   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.40  
TUP-7   Win (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.80  
TUP-8   Win (9/11/7/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $49.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   01/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:123 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEWEL AZUL 1 1 3 5 24 2nk 1 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.10 5.50 W
WILLOWMYGIRL 5 2 2 2 3 34 2 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 6.00  
ROPERS N WRANGLERS 4 3 1 1 14 1nk 3 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 1.60 3.50  
CAIRO MOON 3 4 44 3 47 4 4 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 122 2.00 40% 1.50 0.40  
LUNAR UNIT 2 5 54 4 510 517½ 532¼ (vitali j)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
 
TUP-4   01/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSICAL 2 2 21 21 21 2½ 1¼ (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 4.00 3.40  
ADMIRAL HALSEY 5 1 11 11 11 1½ 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 34% 2.00 2.60 P
SOUTH COAST ROUTE 3 3 4 3 32 3½ 3 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 1.10  
WITHOUT EQUAL 1 6 66 6 48 4 412½ (lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 22.80  
BARON'S SONG 4 4 5 5 512 517½ 527 (zimmerman p)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 40% 1.50 4.80  
ICE STORM 6 5 32 43 613½ 623 634¼ (moreno carlos)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
 
TUP-5   01/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :444       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEEL FREE 7 2 12     15 18 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00 12% 7.20 2.40 W
SHILSHOLE BAY 2 1 22     25 28 (lawrence he)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 6% 16.50 6.40 P
SNOOZY SUZY 4 4 33     37 311½ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 33.80  
KAMIKAZE BLUE 3 5 59     412 412 (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.60 57% 0.80 1.20  
SHE'D RATHER DANCE 1 3 48     513 512 (vitali j)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 2.80  
HAUGHTY KITTY 5 6 610½     615 615½ (simpson shan)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 20.10  
ADORABLE WISH 6 7 712½     720 721¼ (homer jason)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
 
TUP-6   01/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUSH THROUGH 2 7 6 76   6 1 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 5.70  
EAST RAND 1 6 74 6   32 2 (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 7.50  
SIGNOFTHECROSS 6 2 4 44   74 3 (ferguson curt)VALDES ALEXIS 122 1.20 46% 1.20 0.90 S
MAD LUTHER 5 4 32 33   4 4 (matt l)CORBETT W 122 5.00 4.70  
OUR VALLEY 3 5 2nk 1½   12 5 (gleason tim )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
SMOOTH PAPA 7 1 1nk 2½   22 66 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00 28.50  
HOLY EMPEROR 4 3 5 5   5 7 (dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 22% 3.50 10.20  
 
TUP-7   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:222 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY RAY 3 3 2nk 2½   2nk 1hd (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 2.40  
GODDESS OF WAR 8 2 4¾ 3   4 2hd (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 18% 4.50 3.60 P
STARDUST DREAMS 6 7 3.2 1½   1nk 3¾ (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 5.00 16% 5.10 1.80 S
BITCOIN BURGLAR 1 5 5 5   32 4 (zimm)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
DUKE GIRLS 5 4 1nk 4   5 5 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 40% 1.50 3.80  
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 7 1 7 6   6 6 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 27.20  
ENGLISH MEADOW 4 6 6 7   710¼ 710 (person a)MAWING A 124 6.00 13.10  
DADS DIVA 2 8 8 8   812¼ 810¾ (alvarez serg)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 29.70  
 
TUP-8   01/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:224 :472       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 3 1 5 44   33 11 (whitehouse wilton)CORBETT W 124 15.00 23.70  
12  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 9 4 4 5   43 21 (nelson amy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
WESTERN CHARM 4 5 75 66   64 3 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00 43.90  
11  THIRSTY 8 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 4 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00 1.30  
FULL BORE 6 7 89 8   86 5 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 31% 2.20 5.50  
JOHN GREY 5 9 3.2 3   5 6 (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 15% 5.80 2.00  
10  PIRATE MISCHIEF 7 8 911 9   9 78 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 87.20  
FAST AS FAST CAN B 1 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 8 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5.60  
OUR HY ROLLER 2 6 6 7   7 9 (baze robert)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
SCR  HARBOR THUNDER               (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00    
SCR  HERMISTON               (lavanway days)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00    
SCR  PAINTED SMOKE               (diaz luis)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.