Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.20  
TUP-2   Win (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $3.40  
TUP-3   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-4   Win (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.80  
TUP-5   Win (7/3/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $12.00  
TUP-6   Win (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
TUP-7   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
TUP-8   Win (3/8/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 5 2 21 2nk 1 13 17 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 3.60  
METAROSE 3 1 11 1nk 2 23 27 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 31% 2.30 1.80 P
MERINO WOOL 6 6 4 3½ 33 3 3 (rojas murra)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 17% 4.80 4.70 S
SHES GOT THE POWER 4 5 5 4¾ 4 45 4 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 8.00  
AYY LADIES 1 4 63 6 612½ 510 515¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.00  
MIDNIGHT FROST 2 3 32 5 5 619 628 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 4.50 9.80  
 
TUP-2   01/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EVERY MORNING 7 1 3.2 2nk   1 1 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 1.60 0.70  
STEALTH MISSION 4 7 5 4   2 2 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.90 P
SPIRE 2 4 4 5   58 3 (baze robert)RADKE K 124 5.00 18% 4.60 8.30 S
ELUSIVE LOVE 1 6 7 6   4 4 (ortiz sr)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 8.50  
FRANKS FIX IT 5 2 1nk 1nk   35 5 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6.00  
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 3 3 2nk 3   6 611 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
TAINO 6 5 6 712½   714½ 715½ (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 15% 5.50 25.00  
 
TUP-3   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACENDA 2 6 21 2½   2½ 1½ (mendez luis)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 27% 2.70 0.90 W
SHUDDER 1 1 11 1½   1½ 2½ (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 121 5.00 24% 3.10 9.50 P
MAGIC STORM 6 3 31 3   3 32 (silva l)CRUZ M 116 6.00 26% 2.90 4.70 S
R BARRACUDA 4 4 4 42   4 4 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 6.80  
DEKUDYLAN 3 2 5 5   5 5 (birdwell tena)RADKE K 121 3.50 3.80  
GRUMPY BAY 5 5 6 67   611½ 6 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5.20  
SCR  BLING AWAY BABY               (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00    
 
TUP-4   01/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:223 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEFT THE BAR 1 1 13     14 1½ (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 2.90  
TALE OF TRUTH 5 8 47     24 2½ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30 P
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 3 3 35     34 3½ (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 1.60 33% 2.00 1.50 S
SO CAL MEMORY 4 6 58     5 4 (cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00 5% 17.50 3.90  
MONGOLIAN MOON 7 4 610½     6 5 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 122 12.00 17.20  
WEGOTBEERONICE 2 2 23     46 6 (baze robert)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 28.20  
KLIMT RIDE 6 7 813     711¼ 7 (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 36% 1.80 4.30  
ROUGE SUNSET 8 5 710½     812¾ 8 (diaz luis)RAMEY CASH 117 12.00 27.40  
 
TUP-5   01/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:224 :453       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP WARNING 9 4 31     3 1½ (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 5.00  
TIME TO ZOOM 3 1 1nk     1 2½ (tubbs scott)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 18% 4.60 6.80 P
FIGHT ME 6 3 2nk     2 3 (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 33.90  
ARIMONY 1 9 8     5 4 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
GOLD RUSH CANDY 8 6 4     44 54 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 8.00 7% 14.40 3.40  
AYRTON SENNA 7 5 6     8 66 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.70  
LUCKY SMILE 5 8 9     9 77 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
CAJUN FIRE 2 2 5     6 8 (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 10.00 26.80  
ROCKIN MACHEN 4 7 7     7 98 (silva jua)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 12.80  
 
TUP-6   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:22 :442 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECT DIS MONEY 4 2 1½ 11   1 11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 W
ALL THE KING'S MEN 7 1 2½ 21   2 21 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 1.40  
CARPE BELLUM 5 5 4 48   3 3 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 1.40  
PHILBIN ROAD 1 6 66 510   57 4 (silv)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 18% 4.40 12.90  
IOWA HAWKEYE 6 3 34 3   46 5 (caraman m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 6% 15.50 28.50  
WEALTH N HEALTH 3 4 56 611½   6 611¾ (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
DIXON TUFF 2 7 714 719½   718½ 720½ (matt l)CORBETT W 124 15.00 49.00  
SCR  MACNAMARA               (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXTHELEGEND 3 6 711½ 710½ 4 4 1 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.80 W
SALINE RIVER 4 1 1 1 12 13 2 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 27% 2.70 3.00 P
HEIR (FR) 6 2 32 2 22 23 3 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 12% 7.60 4.80 S
PANZER PRIDE 8 7 69 67 37 33 4 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 21.00  
STAR PROSPECT 5 3 2 3 610 6 510¾ (ferguson curt)CORBETT W 122 4.50 3.90  
TABLE FOR TWO 2 4 57 4 5 5 611¾ (fuentes ruben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 14% 6.40 4.00  
CAPIAT 1 8 814½ 812½ 812½ 711¾ 716½ (matt l)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 32.30  
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 7 5 45 5 712 813¾ 818¾ (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 8.00 8.20  
 
TUP-8   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEQUENA TORMENTA 7 1 12 12   1 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 27% 2.70 0.40 W
SAILING ALONG 3 6 5 53   2 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 39% 1.50 6.70 P
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) 6 2 32 22   3 3 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.50 S
OUR SOUTHERN GIRL 2 5 6 6   4 410¼ (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 122 5.00 8% 11.10 22.00  
10  YOUR RINGER 9 4 4 43   611 512 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
VELLA 8 3 22 3   510 612 (trela rosemary)CORBETT W 122 2.50 9.60  
ELDORADO DREAM 5 9 7 7   712½ 714¾ (valerio raymon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00 25.70  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 1 8 912¼ 912   817 818 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 35.90  
THE REIGN SONG 4 7 8 8   919 921 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 51.30  
SCR  LOVELY LOLA               (simpson shannon)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.