Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
MVR-3   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 5.40
MVR-4   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $19.20  
MVR-5   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-6   Win (2/8/12/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $26.60 $26.60 16.60
MVR-7   Win (5/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $16.60  
MVR-8   Win (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.00  
MVR-9   Win (1/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.40  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNKY ONE 4 2 4 32   2½ 12 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 48% 1.10 0.80 W
IT'S E Z 5 1 1 1   1½ 22 (fadlo)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 6.00 5.30  
WINGS OF HEAVEN 1 4 32 2   3 3 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50 2.40 S
HOT PRINCESS (GB) 3 3 2 42   4 412 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00 22.30  
WINDY DANCER 2 5 532½ 537   545½ 571 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.50 28% 2.60 4.00  
SCR  MY DANIELA               (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50    
SCR  PITY PURCHASE               (langley joshua)TAPARA BRANDON 122 10.00    
 
MVR-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HISTORYINTHEMAKING 4 3 4 2nk   1nk 11 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.60 33% 2.00 0.90 W
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 3 1 21 1nk   2nk 21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.80 P
COWGIRLS HUMOR 1 4 31 4   4 312 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 21.40  
RIVER HUSTLER 5 2 5 5   5 413½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 122 3.00 3.60  
SOMETHING LUCKY 2 5 11 3   36 513¾ (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 15.00 9.70  
SCR  BOLD RUBY               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 12.00    
SCR  PRADA MANDALA               (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
MVR-3   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU BET A FORTUNE 2 3 11 1½   1 13 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 36% 1.80 4.70 W
POKER PARTNER 5 1 21 2½   2 23 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.50 24% 3.30 0.60 P
LUCKY COUGAR 6 2 3 3   3 38 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 4.50  
EL BAMBINO 1 6 54 47   47 410 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 6.00 11% 8.10 4.60  
ROYALLY FLUSHED 3 4 68 6   511 514¾ (short w)BRACHO A 120 15.00 20.50  
MOONLIGHT JOKER 4 5 4 58   612½ 615¾ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 19.00  
SCR  M EIGHTY               (reed r)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
SCR  MON GATEAU               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
 
MVR-4   12/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :461       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH FRONT 4 2 3 2½   2nk 1½ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 8.60  
WOODLAND WALK 3 1 2½ 1½   1nk 2½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 1.80 56% 0.80 0.10 P
GILLIGAN 1 3 1½ 3½   35 3 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 21.60 S
SAVVY LAYLA 2 5 4 41   4 49 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14% 6.10 6.80  
LOST IN MANHATTAN 5 4 5 59   512¾ 517 (romer)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 20.60  
SCR  INSIDE STUNT               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
SCR  PERFECT WAGER               (zawitz joel)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL MAHOGANY               (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN               (urieta johan)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-5   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:163 1:302   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD MUSIC 7 5 5 4 2½ 11 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 W
WHISKEY HELPS 1 7 712¾ 713 63 32 2 (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 4.00 8.70  
NO MAS CERVEZA 2 3 2nk 2 31 21 3 (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 4.50 8.90 S
HARSH TRUTH 5 4 43 58 53 42 4 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 3.90  
BUCKEYE CHARLIE 4 1 3 35 4 5 5 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 6.00 23% 3.40 1.30  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 3 2 1nk 1 1½ 6 610¼ (campbell anthony )VEGA L 124 8.00 22.70  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 6 6 6 612 76 7 719½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00 36.80  
SCR  NOSEY POWER               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON BERTIE 7 3 11 1½   1 13 (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.30 W
FALL CAMPAIGN 6 4 21 3   2 23 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 8.60  
11  BIG BANG BLUE 11 5 4 2½   3 3 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 10.70  
ENCHANTED MELODY 9 6 7 65   7 4 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 10.00 4.40  
12  DULCE VICTORIA 12 7 83 5   5 5 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 6% 16.00 9.60  
ROSE KNOWS 2 12 10 8   8 6 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.60  
PURDY PUMKIN 3 10 94 7   4 710 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 5.40  
POLITICAL ASTRAY 5 11 12 12   9 812 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 6% 16.70 55.60  
VAVITE 4 8 5 4   67 914 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 25.70  
10  MYRA FLEENER 10 1 116 117   1011¼ 1015¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 76.60  
LORI'S EYES 8 2 31 10   1215¾ 1123 (pappada julie )KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 21% 3.90 14.70  
MOON PARTY 1 9 6 9   1113¼ 1223¼ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 72.00  
 
MVR-7   12/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTER SCOTT 8 1 2 22 3½ 11 11 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 7.30  
STAR HAWK 1 2 33 5 4¾ 31 21 (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 3.00 14% 6.40 2.30 P
ZERO GRAVITY 5 8 813½ 811½ 6 42 3 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.50 7.10  
BIG TRUCK 2 3 54 43 2nk 21 4 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10% 9.20 7.30  
STRIKE APPEAL 7 5 66 67 7 6 5 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
COME SEE ABOUT IT 4 6 4 3 5 7 611 (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 52% 0.90 2.00  
DISCLOSURE 6 7 711 711 8 8 712 (bailey ricardo)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 23.60  
GOING IN STYLE 3 4 1 12 1nk 54 818 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 17.80  
SCR  THRU THE VINE               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PINK Z 4 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 6.00  
OUR BUCKWHEAT 1 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00 4.40  
TEAM LEYENDECKER 2 6 4 3.2   3½ 3.15 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 26% 2.90 2.30 S
HITE 7 2 55 5   4 4 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 15.40  
KNOCK WOOD 6 7 66 6   6 5 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 37% 1.70 2.20  
WETZEL 5 3 3 4   5 67 (cline c)HALDAR J 123 10.00 6% 14.50 4.50  
DASH OF FIRE 3 5 7 7   7 7 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 20.90  
SCR  ELLIOT THE DRAGON               (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
SCR  PAINT THE TOWN               (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
 
MVR-9   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G T THREE FIFTY 5 6 2nk 1½   1 13 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 4.00 1.70  
C V JERSEY BEE 6 3 31 2½   2 23 (salcedo ramon)LEON A 123 12.00 11.40  
10  YIPPEE KI YAY 8 1 42 32   46 310½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00 14% 6.30 6.10 S
CONSTITUTION COAL 3 7 53 42   35 410¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 15.70  
HOTROD BOBBY 7 2 7 64   57 512¾ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 11.90  
RAY'S EMPIRE 4 4 8 78   6 617¾ (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 6% 14.70 39.30  
FAST CLIP 2 5 1nk 53   710 724¾ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
I STRONG 1 8 64 8   814 827 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 34% 2.00 3.40  
SCR  I'M HIM               (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 3.00    
SCR  LOTSA MATCHA               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
SCR  WILDCAT PRIDE               (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.