Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $14.00  
TAM-2   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.80  
TAM-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.80  
TAM-4   Win (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.60  
TAM-5   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $39.40 $39.40 33.40
TAM-6   Win (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.60  
TAM-7   Win (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TAM-8   Win (10/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $12.60  
TAM-9   Win (8/12/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $9.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN JAY 2 3 2½ 1nk   13 17 (mcburney patrick)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50 6.00  
SILVER STYLE 4 6 5 3   33 27 (arriagada j)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.50 61% 0.60 1.00 P
VEGAS PLAYBOY 5 5 6 4   5 3 (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 7.80  
STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 3 2 3½ 2nk   23 4 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 121 5.00 9.20  
BOLD BLUE 1 4 42 5   44 510¾ (morey will)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 4.80  
UNCAPTURED STAR 6 1 1½ 6   611¾ 629¼ (dobber arnoud )ARROYO S 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
SCR  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00    
 
TAM-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN COSTANTINO 4 7 54 3.2   1½ 1 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 120 3.00 1.90  
FLIPPING FISH 5 4 44 2nk   3½ 2 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 122 2.00 65% 0.50 2.10 P
LORD BERRIER 2 3 33 1nk   4 3 (de karl)MARIN A 120 4.00 8% 11.10 6.10 S
REBEL EMPIRE 1 5 1½ 4¼   2½ 4 (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 120 3.50 3.20  
GREAT FACES 7 1 6 6   5 5 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
PRINCELY GOD 6 2 2½ 5   6 616¾ (smith g)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 18.80  
HAIL SOUTHERN 3 6 7 7   711 720¼ (ramirez jose )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00 39.20  
 
TAM-3   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKING IT TWISTED 2 2 1nk 1nk   1 1¼ (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 3.40  
TRUE ATKA 4 4 33 3   32 2¼ (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 6.90  
WAIT A SEC 6 6 55 4   43 3 (buffalo marvi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 36% 1.70 7.60 S
A SMILE A DAY 1 7 6 5   2 4 (mendieta alejan)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00 64.90  
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 7 5 8 8   75 54 (clay pat)CASTANON L 120 10.00 14.70  
SOLAIR 5 3 44 6   6 66 (richards re)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 1.60 39% 1.60 1.90  
WOODS HOLE 3 8 7 7   8 7 (sepulveda car)MARIN A 120 15.00 11.50  
IDEAL BREEZE 8 1 2nk 2nk   5 810 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 4.50 3.00  
 
TAM-4   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGURETI (CHI) 1 7 64 6   32 13 (d'angelo j)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 3.80  
BUFF HELLO 7 2 21 2½   1½ 23 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 54% 0.80 0.60 P
MY MAN VITO 2 6 74 7   7 3 (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 15.00 15.80  
MAKE IT BIG 4 5 53 42   6 4 (sacco g)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 11% 8.10 7.90  
MACHISMO 3 4 32 5   4 511½ (marioth brandon)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00 9% 9.90 27.50  
GOLDEN JUAN 6 1 4 32   5 612¼ (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00 16.20  
THATSAFACTJACK 5 3 11 1½   2½ 713¼ (cahill f)ALLEN D 120 6.00 6.40  
SCR  MADDY'S DREAM               (vazquez eduardo )MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
 
TAM-5   12/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:124 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIDELIGHTCAYUT 5 4 21 2nk 1nk 11 1 (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.70 W
DEEP STRIKE 7 8 75 5 4 42 2 (granitz anthony )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 42% 1.40 2.30 P
OUTOFTHEDARK 8 6 32 3½ 2nk 21 3 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 67.10 S
10  UNCLE KENNY 10 9 8 8 7 6 42 (potts g)WALKER M 118 5.00 5.20  
THE HONEYMAN 9 10 9 10 104 8 5 (d'angelo jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00 42.70  
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 4 5 42 4 5 31 6 (saville niall)CENTENO E 115 8.00 8.70  
LORD KNOWS 6 7 5 6 6 5 7 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 33% 2.00 1.50  
TAP THE SKY 2 1 10 9 94 7 8 (harty eoin)GALLARDO A 118 15.00 23.50  
REAL SENSATION 1 3 6 7 84 94 9 (sacco g)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00 15.80  
GROUP TICKET 3 2 11 1nk 31 10 1010½ (stormfelt j)VARGAS A 118 5.00 13.90  
 
TAM-6   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BUCKSALOT 7 2 3½ 11   1 1 (gatis chris)FERRER C 118 2.00 2.80  
BEAR CREEK 6 6 6 64   3 2 (bowersock )GALLARDO A 121 8.00 12.00  
GUILLAUME 1 7 5 42   2 32 (simone michael)ARROYO S 121 2.50 60% 0.70 1.10 S
GOLDEN TONE 8 1 7 7   6 4 (rivera xavi)HERNANDEZ H 121 12.00 11% 8.50 13.20  
AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 5 3 4 32   4 5 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 5.30  
TAP EM 4 4 2nk 21   5 610¾ (rivera xavier)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
CAMPTOWN RACES 2 8 8 8   78 712¾ (torres pabl)VARGAS A 121 12.00 27.90  
SOVEREIGN OF SPEED 3 5 1nk 5   89 815¾ (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 12.00 21.70  
 
TAM-7   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP HUG 4 9 8 33   1½ 1 (carrascojr victo)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.20 44% 1.30 1.00 W
MISTERCHILLIWILLI 5 4 1 11   2½ 2 (simone v)CENTENO E 118 5.00 27% 2.70 2.40 P
JOYFUL GHOST 9 1 6 4   34 3 (potts g)ALLEN M 118 6.00 5.70 S
ALBOROTO 6 7 43 5   4 411¾ (lopez r)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00 22.30  
B G LEE 7 2 910¼ 911½   69 513 (philipp ka)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 6% 14.90 25.40  
CALZONE 1 8 7 65   5 613¾ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 10.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
MOONSTRIKE (GB) 3 6 2 21   7 724¼ (engler jeff)ALLEN D 118 8.00 8.90  
EL GUAPO 8 3 5 76   812 825¼ (munoz carlo)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 55.70  
HELLO SUCKER 2 5 3 89   915 931½ (mcgoey moni)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 15.00 35.60  
 
TAM-8   12/27/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:15 1:41   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLE ME ROYAL 5 3 4 2½ 2nk 1 1 (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 5.30  
MY NOBLE KNIGHT 7 1 3 4 31 2 2 (barbazoniii l)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 10% 8.70 6.00 P
THREEWHITESOLDIERS 2 8 8 8 6 32 3 (morey will)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.90 2.90 S
10  SKYLANE 8 4 6 5 5 42 4 (nunez mauricio)CENTENO E 119 4.00 42% 1.40 4.50  
DR SCHUSTER 1 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 53 513¼ (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 8.30  
ADIOS FRANK 6 2 2½ 3½ 42 6 614¾ (vinson g)CASTANON L 119 10.00 16.30  
BEYOND REPROACH 4 6 7 6 7 7 715 (seale christopher)FERRER C 119 20.00 18.60  
SPANISH PHAROAH 3 7 5 7 8 88 816¼ (rodriguez darien)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 20% 4.10 2.90  
SCR  CHASENTHEONE               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
SCR  JOSH'S DRAMA               (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
SCR  MR. LEFTY               (munoz carlo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  THAT MAGIC MOMENT               (yanez reyn)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.50    
 
TAM-9   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPERINI 2 7 53 53   2nk 1nk (puckett e)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 3.50  
CHROMED IMPULSE 7 2 1 11   1nk 2nk (roque elis)LOPEZ E 120 15.00 30% 2.40 13.10 P
MEAN TWEETS 8 10 8 42   54 3 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 113 5.00 3.20  
ERLAN 4 9 9 8   7 47 (cascallares nest)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 5% 18.00 7.00  
10  TRUEBELIEVE 9 3 2 21   43 5 (potts wayn)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 4.50 7% 13.60 8.40  
KITTEN'S CLOWN 1 6 64 9   32 6 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00 8.00  
RUNANDHIDE WIND 3 5 42 31   6 712¾ (ramirez l)ARROYO S 120 15.00 12.10  
HESTON 5 8 7 7   8 814½ (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 12.00 7.90  
MY WAY OR NO WAY 6 4 3 6   9 915¼ (munoz carlo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 29.30  
12  WELL PLAYED 10 1 10100 10100   10100 10100 (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00 24% 3.20 7.50  
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH               (ramirez jose )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  GRAND ROCK               (barboza victor)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 6% 15.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.