Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $23.20 $23.20 17.20
PEN-2   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
PEN-3   Win (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
PEN-4   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
PEN-5   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
PEN-6   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.60  
PEN-7   Win (3/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:111         1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLES CRY 5 5 58 58   4¾ 1nk (stites w)CHIAPPE R 115 6.00 23% 3.40 10.60 W
HORN OF PLENTY 2 2 24 23   2nk 2nk (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 28% 2.50 5.10 P
ALEXIS S 3 4 47 3   1nk 3¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 11% 8.40 4.20 S
LEGAL DEAL 1 3 36 4   3½ 4 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 2.30  
ROMANTIC GAMBLE 6 6 611 610   6 5 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 3.60  
BEST DEFENSE 4 1 14 13   5 613¾ (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 2.90  
 
PEN-2   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVAGE DRAGON 6 5 3 1nk   2nk 1 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.80 W
CALI HEAT 7 1 2 2nk   1nk 2 (salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.00 P
EMPTY MY POUCH 2 7 4 44   55 33 (gelrod m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00 6.30  
CHASIN' WHISKEY 3 3 6 66   4 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 26.90  
OUR ANDREW B 4 6 5 5   6 5 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 4.50 19.70  
TAPACHILL 5 4 710½ 711   7 6 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 23.00  
REBEL INVASION 1 2 1 32   33 7 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 16% 5.30 4.00  
 
PEN-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUGHTON SHUFFLE 6 2 21 22   23 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.50 11% 8.30 4.40 W
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 5 3 32 4   3 2¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 30% 2.30 2.00 P
UNCLE DAR 7 1 11 12   13 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 38% 1.60 1.30 S
YO NESSROUNDONKERN 2 6 7 6   68 4 (ramirez silvi)RAMOS C 120 8.00 15.80  
LILTONYTWOPHONES 8 4 4 32   45 5 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 8.70  
MAKE ME LUCKY 1 8 814½ 814¼   810½ 6 (stites willia)INIRIO J 122 10.00 53.10  
RENEWING VOWS 4 7 6 710¼   79 710½ (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00 55.80  
GET DOWN BROWN 3 5 5 5   57 811 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
 
PEN-4   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:244 :491       1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANCY SPAIN 2 2 12 1 12 14 1 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 21% 3.70 0.20 W
INVEST WISELY 5 5 5 4 33 35 2 (russell bri)HERNANDEZ A 123 1.50 55% 0.80 2.60 P
B B QUEEN 3 1 22 2 22 24 3 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 124 12.00 33.40  
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL 4 3 44 5 56 511 417 (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 118 20.00 46.90  
SHORT OF DINERO 1 4 33 3 44 410 519 (deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 8.00 18.50  
SCR  BACK ON STAGE               (graham edward)CORA D 123 3.00    
 
PEN-5   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONDON LADY 3 5 54 55   31 1½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00 W
MY SWEET SUMMER 4 3 22 33   4 2½ (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 121 2.00 33% 2.00 3.40 P
CURLIN'S DOVE 6 1 12 12   11 3 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
DISCO DAISY 2 2 32 22   21 4 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 11.90  
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 5 4 4 4   5 5 (stites w)CORA D 121 8.00 8.40  
LET'S GO MO 1 6 69 610   6 6 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00 5.30  
 
PEN-6   12/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:412     1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKOTO 5 3 1 13 12 12 1¾ (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 1.30  
I'M NOT A BABY 1 5 5 34 32 22 2¾ (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 65% 0.50 3.30 P
LUDO 3 1 3 44 4 32 3 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 6% 16.40 9.70 S
STORMY FIRE 2 4 4 5 5 6 4 (demario a)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 3.00  
SPIRITUAL GHOST 6 6 611½ 611½ 6 5 5 (mckenzie daniel)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 5.00  
GREATEST WARRIOR 4 2 2 23 22 4 6 (albright geor)INIRIO J 121 8.00 22.70  
SCR  BUSHWICK BRUISER               (deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 3.50    
 
PEN-7   12/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:144 1:413   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRUSSIAN BLUE 5 7 7 4 2½ 13 1 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 1.60 W
CANOOCHEE 4 5 6 32 1½ 23 2 (ramirez silvi)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 8.00 8.30  
TEACHER DRAMA 1 6 5 5 44 47 310¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 17% 5.00 3.60 S
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 8 4 4¾ 2½ 31 37 413 (zalalas michael)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 9% 9.90 14.60  
BAMBOO GARDEN 2 8 8 77 7 58 515 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 9.40  
ALWAJD 3 3 2½ 6 55 69 617¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 52% 0.90 3.50  
ARCTICA 7 1 1½ 1½ 66 7 718 (flores l)FLORES E 124 20.00 35.20  
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 6 2 3½ 8 816½ 844½ 857½ (lawrence james )ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 9.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.