Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.70 $2.70  
AQU-2   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
AQU-3   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
AQU-4   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 2.50
AQU-5   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.20  
AQU-6   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
AQU-7   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.50 $7.50 1.50
AQU-8   Win (2/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE NAME 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (rodriguez r)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.35 W
LASER SHARP 6 5 4 1nk   1nk 2nk (terranova jo)RIVERA R 114 4.00 11% 8.30 9.10 P
DON VINO VICI 4 6 55 6   4 3 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 7.30  
GAME MISCONDUCT 3 2 3 4   34 4 (delauro edward )OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 15.70  
THUNDERSLAM 5 3 65 5   5 512¾ (johnson clevela)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 30.00  
PAPPOU'S LAUGH 1 4 1½ 3   614½ 626 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 8% 11.60 6.00  
 
AQU-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT EROS GIRL 1 2 13 1   16 1 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.90 W
BEHIND THE COUCH 6 5 55 36   26 2 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 3.30  
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 4 4 6 5   4 3 (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 7 3 3 2   3 412½ (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 2.50  
MIDTOWN ROSE 5 1 44 612½   614½ 518¾ (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 5.70  
TOWERING GAZE 2 7 76 714½   716 620 (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 124 10.00 30.25  
LEFT LEANING LUCY 3 6 23 4   511 721¾ (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 12.00 34.50  
 
AQU-3   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIETAKESCHARGE 6 1 3 21   1nk 1¾ (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 W
P MUTTER PICKLE 2 3 2½ 11   2nk 2¾ (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 73% 0.40 1.45 P
UNICORN CAKE 5 2 4 4   32 3 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 4.20 S
VALENTINE GIFT 3 6 5 67   6 412 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 9.00  
ALLEY'S SONG 4 5 67 55   46 512 (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 20.90  
CONCERTI 1 4 1½ 31   5 618 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 6.60  
 
AQU-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY REPLY 4 5 5 4   21 1 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 117 3.00 18% 4.60 3.25 W
SHE'S AWESOME 7 2 31 2nk   11 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 54% 0.90 1.05 P
ROMAN GODDESS 2 4 4 5   43 3 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 4.10  
MY GIRL JAL 6 6 6 6   6 4 (legall e)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 13.50  
RED PEPPER GRILL 3 7 7 7   7 5 (davis g)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
QUEENS OVER THREES 1 1 1nk 3.2   5 6 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 120 10.00 11.50  
SHAMAN PRINCESS 5 3 2nk 1nk   33 79 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 7.60  
 
AQU-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 4 4 4 3½   1½ 1¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 4.60  
TO A T 6 7 6 6   54 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 15% 5.70 4.60 P
EVERYONELOVESLINDA 2 2 2nk 2½   2½ 3¾ (barker edwar)RIVERA R 119 3.00 2.55  
SHESALITTLE EDGY 3 3 32 41   32 43 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 15% 5.70 5.90  
SOLIB 1 1 1nk 1½   42 5 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 12.90  
TIMED OUT 7 5 54 54   6 6 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 29% 2.50 6.90  
I'M BUZZY 5 6 711 710½   7 7 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 3.65  
 
AQU-6   12/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T BROKE 1 7 711¾ 63   13 15 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.45 W
STARSHIP DEFIANT 3 5 5 4   3 25 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 25.25  
MURSAL 2 6 6 7   67 3 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 14.30  
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 4 1 1½ 1½   23 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 15% 5.90 4.10  
GIVE ME KISSES 5 2 3½ 5   77 5 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.60  
GUNFYRE GAL 7 3 4¾ 2½   5 610¼ (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6.90  
ESSAOUIRA 6 4 2½ 3½   46 712¼ (dutrow e)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 8.90  
 
AQU-7   12/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:392   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNT AGAIN 4 2 32 42 3 1nk 1 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 28% 2.50 2.75 W
SMOKIE EYES 5 1 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 48% 1.10 4.60 P
RACING COLORS 7 6 810 810½ 88 36 3 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20 S
SARATOGA KISSES 2 5 55 55 5 4 48 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 3.75  
JUST A NYQUIST 1 8 68 6 66 6 512 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 116 5.00 4.60  
SHESASCOLDASICE 3 4 78 7 76 5 612½ (ferraro m )DAVIS A 123 15.00 30.60  
BERNING HONOR 6 7 43 31 43 818¾ 731½ (schettino domi)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 25.40  
MAGGIE T 8 3 1 1½ 1½ 714¾ 840 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 3.55  
 
AQU-8   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFUAH 3 5 31 5 5 12 12 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 4.30  
CLEVER FOREVER 2 7 6 6 6 32 22 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 55% 0.80 1.45 P
TWIRLING VINE 5 1 1½ 1nk 11 22 3 (lugovich lis)RIVERA R 124 12.00 10.20  
BEARY FUNNY 4 3 53 4 31 4 4 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 10% 8.70 3.95  
MUGSY FURY 1 8 87 8 7 5 5 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 40.25  
DOMINATION 8 6 7 7 8 8 611¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 11% 7.90 5.20  
DOLLY'S BANK 7 2 2½ 3.2 4 66 714½ (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00 54.25  
SCHERZANDO 6 4 4 2nk 21 7 815 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.