Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Wednesday - December 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
CT-2   Win (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
CT-3   Win (3/10/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $34.00  
CT-4   Win (2/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $30.60  
CT-5   Win (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
CT-6   Win (7/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
CT-7   Win (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $34.00 $34.00 26.00
CT-8   Win (11/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $36.60  

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   12/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR KENNEY 3 4 1½     13 1 (shanley timoth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 25% 3.00 1.50 W
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS 5 5 4     4 2 (shanley timothy)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 34% 1.90 4.10 P
FLOOR IT 6 2 3     3 3 (joy j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 8% 12.10 3.20 S
LONG COOL 7 1 2½     23 45 (comi w)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 4.90  
SMOKIN SMITTY 2 6 6     610 5 (campbell larr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 10.60  
FLASH OF DAY 4 3 5     59 6 (viands r)ADAMS L 115 4.50 12.30  
MONEY MAC 1 7 7     711½ 7 (campbell marshall)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 16.70  
 
CT-2   12/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:222 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOWY JUBA CAT 1 6 21     21 1 (bass curtis)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 11% 8.40 2.20 W
RIVER REWARDS RVF 5 4 32     33 2 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 55% 0.80 1.30 P
SHUTUPN'KISSME 7 1 11     11 32 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 8% 11.50 7.50 S
CORA'S CHOICE 3 5 4     4 42 (walters j)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00 8.10  
GILDED QUEST 8 2 7     65 53 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 15.90  
MY SISTER CLURRIE 6 3 6     7 66 (williams l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 6.60  
CHURCH KEY 2 7 5     54 7 (harrison n)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
LIME AFTER LIME 4 8 814½     813½ 810¾ (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 51.20  
 
CT-3   12/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143 1:421   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE BAR 2 7 96 911¼ 7 2nk 1½ (galligan ge)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 16.00  
10  RRACE DAY WARRIOR 10 8 5 5 4 3.2 2½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 22% 3.50 0.70 P
POLAR WIND 6 10 8 7 6 61 33 (jones micha)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 9.00  
SUBJECT TO CHANGE 8 5 4 4 2nk 1nk 4 (spriggs tos)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 7% 13.00 12.90  
BLAMEITONTHEFUN 7 6 3.2 3.2 1nk 4¼ 5 (shanley timothy)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00 19.40  
MR HOOVER 3 3 2nk 2nk 3.2 5½ 611¼ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 31% 2.30 5.40  
BLUEMOON JUSTICE 4 2 6 6 810¼ 7 714¼ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 10% 9.40 9.90  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 9 9 108 1012¾ 910¾ 97 814½ (martin r)REYNOLDS C 122 50.00 ######  
MAKE WAY 5 4 7 8 1010¾ 107 916 (barber c)ADAMS L 113 30.00 71.70  
HONOR THE FLEET 1 1 1nk 1nk 5 86 1019¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 10% 9.50 8.50  
 
CT-4   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:15     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON FALL 3 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 11 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00 14.30  
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE 8 8 3½ 1nk   1nk 21 (walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 5.00 12% 7.50 5.60 P
JUST MURPHY (IRE) 2 2 4 4   33 33 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 37% 1.70 0.50 S
LORD CLANCY 7 7 8 66   4 4 (figgins l)CHILO JACINTO 121 6.00 29.50  
THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT 4 5 6 7   5 510¼ (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 121 4.50 5.70  
JUBA'S MOCHA 1 4 7 5   710¾ 619½ (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 121 10.00 23.30  
GAMBLING FEVER 6 1 1½ 3½   6 722½ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00 24% 3.20 10.40  
COLONIAL ROAD 5 6 5 8   813¼ 822½ (campbell larr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 38.70  
SCR  SENZA STRIKE               (stehr jos)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 50.00    
 
CT-5   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:142     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER THIS 2 4 9 9   4 1¼ (murdock stephen)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
SPRITZER 8 6 1½ 11   1 2¼ (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 15.60  
SUPERSTITIEUX 3 8 8 7   5 3 (serey mario)HERNANDEZ F 120 4.50 6.60  
SIR SMOAK 6 5 52 5   2 4 (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00 10.60  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 9 9 6 6   6 56 (murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 120 15.00 51.80  
DAD'S LIL SPARK 4 2 7 8   97 68 (bass curtis)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 31.40  
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 5 3 2½ 32   8 7 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 14% 6.20 7.50  
RIVER CROSROAD RVF 7 7 3½ 21   3 811 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.50  
MR CHANCE ROMANCE 1 1 4 42   74 911¾ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 27% 2.70 5.00  
SCR  SCHMEAR               (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN LOOKIN 7 6 7 73   3.2 11 (caiazzo corby)WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50 39% 1.60 2.90 W
TIME THE AVENGER 1 2 3 42   4¼ 21 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 29% 2.50 1.00 P
FAST FORWARD 2 1 1½ 1½   1nk 3 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 8.70  
BATTLE BORN 3 4 2½ 2½   2nk 46 (king l)HO WESLEY 124 4.00 3.10  
RUM CUP 9 8 8 84   64 57 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 124 12.00 7% 14.10 29.90  
AGAIN WE MEET 8 9 9 9   7 6 (sewell lenworth )CHILO MAXIMO 122 50.00 ######  
RUN ROCKY RUN 6 3 6 6   5 7 (reynolds a)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 19.20  
LET'S EAT 5 5 4 3   810½ 819¼ (gillespie a)MAWING A 122 30.00 76.10  
CHEATIN SONG 4 7 5 52   915½ 925¼ (libertini jaso)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 59.90  
 
CT-7   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAR FOURTEEN 2 1 1½ 1½   2nk 1¼ (sells rache)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.00 W
ZEN MASTER 6 3 3 31   1nk 2¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 9% 10.80 4.20 P
KENNY HAD A NOTION 5 4 2½ 2½   3 3 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 3.00  
SUE LOVES BARBADOS 8 8 5 42   44 4 (capuano )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 4.80  
GOLDEN SPOKE 3 5 65 7   67 5 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
TWO BIT KID 1 2 4 52   5 613½ (hetrick kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00 64% 0.60 1.60  
TREJO 4 6 810½ 822¼   817 718¼ (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00 21.80  
MONSTER MASON 7 7 76 66   79 821¼ (mcfarlane bran)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 53.90  
 
CT-8   12/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:15     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYCAMP 6 6 31 31   1 14 (adorno jean)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 17.30  
SUPERSNAKE 1 1 42 4   33 24 (murtaugh j)MAWING A 122 10.00 24.80  
KATALIMA 4 3 6 53   55 3 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 12% 7.20 3.10 S
WINDSOR'S PLAY 3 2 1½ 2nk   2 4 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 7% 12.40 6.00  
BEST VIRGINIA 5 4 5 6   65 5 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 7% 14.00 4.90  
11  TRUST THE NUMBERS 8 8 2½ 1nk   4 610¼ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 53% 0.90 0.90  
WISHING FOR SPRING 2 5 74 7   7 721 (peltroche vaness)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 49.50  
CONNECTING FLIGHT 7 7 8 812¾   811½ 821¼ (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 32.00  
SCR  C TWO               (atkins w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  DASHING LASS               (shanley tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  WOODSONG'S CASTLE               (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.