Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
MVR-2   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $20.20  
MVR-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-4   Win (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
MVR-5   Win (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $23.20  
MVR-6   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $31.20  
MVR-7   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
MVR-8   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $48.00  
MVR-9   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $11.60  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:121 1:263   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA SURE BET 3 6 7 611½ 35 2 1 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 25% 3.10 2.30 W
TRAMA QUEEN 4 2 21 25 2nk 1 2 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 3.50 8.90  
RUNNETH OVER 6 3 5 511½ 59 45 311 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.10 S
LADY CAIRO 7 1 11 15 1nk 3 413¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 49% 1.00 2.10  
HEART OF THE BEAST 5 7 69 39 4 5 518¼ (mckanas j)DIAZ I 124 2.50 1.40  
BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 2 5 4 712½ 614½ 613 631¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 12.00 26.50  
CRYSTAL M 1 4 35 410½ 718½ 717 748½ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 39.30  
 
MVR-2   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M EIGHTY 2 1 2 2   2nk 1½ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.50 9.10  
SIR MASON 1 3 1 1   1nk 2½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 0.80  
XERXES 5 5 5 55   55 3 (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 24% 3.20 4.10 S
MR. BLUTARSKY 3 2 4 3   33 4 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.80  
THIRTYEIGHT WISHES 4 4 3 44   44 5 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 21% 3.90 9.10  
STILL WICKED 6 6 65 611   615 628¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50 12.30  
 
MVR-3   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :454       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAY BEE GEE 4 5 3½ 11   12 1¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 2.00 62% 0.60 0.80 W
LUCKY ROAD 6 1 2½ 21   22 2¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 26.10  
HIGH CUPPER 3 3 6 6   34 3 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 6.90  
ROSY APPLE 2 4 41 4   4 43 (moral)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 2.50 1.50  
ISLAND WINTER 5 6 5 5   6 5 (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 4.00 9% 10.20 8.50  
DE PURA SANGRE 1 2 1½ 3   5 6 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
 
MVR-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHLOES ANGEL 7 2 4 2nk   1nk 1nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 14% 6.10 2.50 W
SHEZA POP STAR 4 1 31 4¼   2nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.20 P
COWCHI 2 4 2½ 1nk   3½ 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 12.00  
CHECK OUT LINE 5 7 53 5   4 4 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 12% 7.70 10.60  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 3 3 75 7   6 57 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 6.10  
KISSTHECROSS 1 5 1½ 3.2   5 611¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 4.50  
PSYCHOANALYST 6 6 65 6   78 714¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 43.10  
SCR  LADY ABRIL               (papp)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT'S AWISH 5 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 10.60  
BAREFOOT BEACH 2 5 6 5   4 2nk (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 12% 7.40 3.00 P
SUSHI Q 8 1 3½ 3.2   2nk 3 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 8% 11.70 2.10 DQ↓7
NORTHERN JOURNEY 3 8 8 6   5 42 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 19.00  
THE LAST APPLE 4 6 42 4   6 5 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
BEEBLEGEE 7 3 7 7   7 65 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 12.10  
SWEET EMPIRE 6 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 7 (rone mike)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 43.00  
CONGRATS JENSEN 1 7 5 8   8 819 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 20% 4.10 7.20  
 
MVR-6   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH FRONT 6 4 21 2   2nk 1 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 14.60  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 5 1 11 1   1nk 2 (pappada j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 17.70 P
LUCKY JUNIOR 4 8 7 6   6 3 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70 S
LOCK ON 2 5 8 7   32 43 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 10.80  
BOSS BEAR 9 2 4 5   55 5 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
CALL WEST 7 9 9 9   8 6 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 10.00 14.00  
TUFF ATTACK 1 6 31 3   44 75 (romero a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5.40  
GAMBLER 8 3 6 8   9 8 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 9.30  
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 3 7 5 42   7 9 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.40 5.00  
 
MVR-7   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICIALLY YOURS 2 5 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.20 W
MISS SPRINGSTEEN 4 3 42 32   32 2 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 16.70  
COMPUTE THIS 1 6 31 1nk   2½ 36 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.50 36% 1.80 6.20 S
CURLIN PEARLS 6 2 55 4   42 410¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 6.00 17.40  
PARLAY CHARLIE 5 4 69 6   56 513½ (livers charlie)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 8.70  
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 3 1 2½ 5   6 622 (cowans william )BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCR  ROLLIN FREEDOM               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00    
 
MVR-8   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINE 2 3 4 3 32 31 1¼ (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 23.00  
COME SEE ABOUT IT 3 4 21 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 34% 1.90 1.00 P
THRU THE VINE 4 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 25% 3.00 6.30 S
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 6 2 63 53 64 5 4 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 126 4.50 5.20  
FRANCO (MEX) 1 7 7 7 4 4 5 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 6.00  
GLOBAL EMPIRE 5 6 3 4 5 66 610¼ (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 16.20  
MY BROTHER CAM 7 5 5 6 79 713 724½ (ray kevin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 16% 5.20 4.20  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   11/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIER ONE 9 7 7 7 53 3 1¼ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 4.80  
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 4 1 2nk 1nk 11 1 2¼ (tumblin a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
JEBIP 7 8 8 6 21 2 34 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 57% 0.80 3.10 S
ANIMO ROBERTO 5 9 9 9 7 4 4 (tumblin andrew)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 12.00 17.70  
RED COMET 3 2 3 3.2 4 5 5 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 31.20  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 8 6 5 5 95 7 610½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 1.70  
SMOOCHER 1 4 6 8 6 6 713¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 8.00  
LITTLE TOY GUNS 6 5 4 4¾ 8 9 813½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 12% 7.10 8.10  
DANES HEART 2 3 1nk 2nk 3 8 916¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 30.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.